Friday, April 10, 2026

Precariously Balanced

 Taking A Deep Breath,


  There are so many weak points in the politics of all parties to the wars in the world now, that each party must guard, constraining room for maneuver and attack. Additionally, too much of an attack upon another party might trigger a desperate response. An attempt tocut off the ability to respond may trigger the feared response. 
  Frenemy alliances are apparent, as may be the case between Trump and Netanyahu (if he still lives), and is clearly the case between Trump and Macron, Starmer & Merz.
  All of this occurs in the context of declining total global real economy, which economy is built upon oil, gas and coal, with other mined minerals. It is fed by mechanized agriculture, with 2/3 of the grain output derived from fertilizers, which are derived from oil and natural gas. 
  Many people barely survive on the food supplied through these expedients, and they are threatened with death by starvation. Other people continue to be under direct, genocidal military attack. 
  These threats of starvation and genocides-in-progress are increasingly disturbing to the gentle citizens of western liberal democratic nations. This disturbance to the bodies-politic is still increasing. People see the deaths of the innocent and helpless, and see themselves and their own families, as threatened. 
  In the present wars, Russian forces are grinding forward slowly in Ukraine, not making sudden moves, not spooking European leaders or banks into any sudden moves.
  Israel as a political state is riven with discord. Israeli families and businesses are extremely fatigued of the war. Israelis see their own mobilized-reservist family members pressed into extended duty on the new Lebanese battlefields, where they are taking significant losses. More are being called up. Ultra-Orthodox Israelis are not yet pressed into this involuntary service. 
  Benjamin Netanyahu, might have been killed in early March, as might have been Itamar Ben-Gvir. They now present as questionable video apparitions.  
What could possibly be a workable political reset within Israel? It would have to be arranged quietly first, before revealing these leaders to be deceased. It would have to give something to the far-right and religious factions they represent, but not the continuance of war. They would have to accept it as a "win". The negotiators for those parties would need to know their weakened position during negotiations, but keep the secret until later. 
  Could such a secret be kept? How might Netanyahu's trial figure into that? The procedings can be closed for security  reasons... the clock is ticking.
  Iran is in a chronically bad political state, from decades of US economic sanctions and covert military attacks. The government is widely unpopular because it has treated the people repressively, as if a hot war was ongoing for these decades. High inflation, unemployment, and scarce food and fuel have been ubiquitous. 
  Under current US and Israeli attacks, the IRGC seems to be in a stable, arrangement for prolonged attritional-war, receiving supplies and targeting information from China and Russia via secure overland routes. Iran needs to outlast Israel, and outlast the American news cycle, which is increasingly hard upon Trump and incumbant Republicans. 
  This is a midterm election year, and gas prices keep rising. The worse economic consequences have yet to hit. Can they be delayed until mid November?
  European globalist leaders are finished following American leaders, but they have been left in a ditch with no winch to pull them out. They accepted being cut off from Russian oil and gas, and now they have nothing, not even their pride, as Trump insults them unchivalrously in public They cringe  as Trump demands extorniate rates for inadequate supplies of these critical resources for their collapsing industrial economies. They can't yet admit that they need Russia.
  European nationalist leaders are under direct attack from EU globalists, and they have to live through it. Hungary's Orban faces his most difficult election Sunday, which has had heavy EU social media influencing against him, and polling results (artificially?) showing him behind, which is to be used against him should he win in the ballot counts.
  This weekend should entail a holding pattern for war fronts, with Orthodox Easter ceasefire in Ukraine, Hungarian elections, and peace talks between the US, Israel and Iran in Pakistan, while Israel is holding its fire in Lebanon to allow the talks with Iran to proceed. Israelis need the breather from Iranian missiles and drones, since they and the US are essentially defenseless against Iranian heavy  missile attacks now. 
  Israel will have direct negotiations with the Lebanese government in Washington this coming week, a rare thing. They have been at war since 1948 and lack formal diplomatic relations. Israel has never respected any ceasefire agreements with Lebanon to date, and is intent upon carving out a "buffer zone" from southern Lebanon, at the expense of all of the people who have homes there. 
  The government of Lebanon is not able to negotiate for the real Lebanese army, which is Hezbollah. Hezbollah is a party in the Lebanese Parliament, but the Lebanese government is a weak and factionalized construct, left to them by their former colonial masters in France. 
  Israel has always refused to negotiate with Hezbollah, and has impossibly demanded that Lebanon disarm Hezbollah, a poson-pill to any agreement.
  Israel does not have an economic plan for the future after expansionist-wars, except IMEC (India Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor), whereby flows of oil, gas, data, trade and banking from India and the Mideast, to Europe, are controlled through Haifa, Israel. All other alternate trade routes need to be suppressed to make this one work for Israel (Looking at You, Iran).   https://escapekey.substack.com/p/stranded-in-haifa
  Overall, the US-Israel are stocking up on air-defense systems and bombs, while aircraft carriersapproach theeater of operations presaging more attacks and a ground operation in the near future. Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the UAE have recently attacked Iran, "standing shoulder to shoulder" with the US & Israel.
  [I must wonder if Trump might decide to step down and let JD Vance take over the presidency in October, fall upon his sword to save the Republicans in midterm elections, but it is just a thought. Trump has never shown any inclination towards anything like that.]

​  ‘Nightmare for Civilians’: Israel Inflicts 1,400+ Casualties on Lebanon War’s Deadliest Day
“Civilians in Lebanon are already paying an unbearable price with children, health workers, and journalists amongst those killed
—the latest attacks will only escalate this devastating human toll,” said one campaigner.​   
https://www.commondreams.org/news/israel-lebanon-civilian-slaughter

​  Iran rejects Islamabad talks amid ongoing war on Lebanon
Iranian sources told Al Mayadeen that reports of a negotiating delegation arriving in Islamabad are false, adding that no talks will take place while the war on Lebanon continues.​   
https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/iran-denies-islamabad-talks-amid-ongoing-war-on-lebanon--exc

​  Trump 'Preparing' US Military If Talks Fail, Proclaims Iran Has 'No Cards' - As Tehran Demands End To IDF Attacks On Lebanon
Iran makes clear Lebanon fighting must end or else Pakistan talks "meaningless" - as its delegation arrives in 'locked down' Pakistan. Speculation abounds related to ongoing Pentagon transport flights into Mideast region.
​  Trump threatens more military action if Iran doesn't 'comply', says Iran has 'no cards' - also as Israel-Lebanon talks scheduled in Washington next week. US delegation headed by Vance en route to Islamabad.   
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/pakistan-streets-lockdown-iran-delegation-arrives-us-talks-fighting-hasnt-ceased

​Iran's Press TV: Qalibaf: ‘Time running out’ for US-Israel to honor ceasefire, stop attacks on Lebanon   https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2026/04/09/766558/Iran%E2%80%99s-Parliament-speaker-warns--%E2%80%98Time-running-out%E2%80%99-for-US-Israel-to-honor-ceasefire

​  Lebanon says ceasefire must be in place before Israel talks
A senior official in the Lebanese president's office has told the BBC that Lebanon will participate in direct negotiations with Israel next week only if there is a ceasefire in place beforehand...
..In a statement addressed to residents of northern Israel on Thursday night, Benjamin Netanyahu said there was "no ceasefire in Lebanon".
He added that "after repeated requests from the Lebanese government to open peace negotiations with us, I instructed the cabinet last night to open direct negotiations with Lebanon in order to achieve two goals: One - disarming Hezbollah. And the second - a historic and sustainable peace agreement between Israel and Lebanon".
​  Direct talks between Lebanon and Israel would be highly unusual, with the two countries historically communicating through intermediaries. Efforts to establish negotiations have been ongoing since a ceasefire agreement in November 2024, with US envoys previously mediating indirect talks between the two sides.
​  In Beirut, rescue teams are continuing to recover bodies after the heaviest Israeli air strikes since the start of the latest fighting.
​  More than 300 people were killed and over 1,000 wounded, according to Lebanon's health ministry, when Israeli jets carried out a 10-minute blitz across Lebanon on Wednesday.​ The IDF said it had targeted "100+ Hezbollah headquarters, military arrays, & command-and-control centres".​  
[AKA: "apartments buildings"]​    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c93en5q2zl3o

  "We'll talk while bombing your children."  Netanyahu orders 'direct negotiations with Lebanon under fire'
Israel is refusing to pause its bombardment of Lebanon during any direct negotiations, with one Israeli official saying talks will take place "under fire"​   
https://www.newarab.com/news/netanyahu-orders-direct-negotiations-lebanon-under-fire

  ​Friday 4/10/26: At least 14 killed in Israeli air strikes across southern Lebanon
World Food Programme says situation in Lebanon is ‘rapidly becoming a food security crisis’ amid Israeli attacks.​   https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/10/israel-strikes-residential-areas-destroys-homes-in-southern-lebanon

​  Iran War: Ceasefire Negotiations a Ruse to Buy Time for Ground Attack as Hormuz Stays Closed
The apparent slowdown in Iran war developments due to pending negotiations over an already-broken two week ceasefire is illusory. The damage to the real economy compounds with every day the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, and now at a faster rate since tankers and bulk carrier carrying pre-war cargoes from the Persian Gulf have now all made their deliveries. As we’ll soon explain, conditions on the energy front have gotten even worse due to fresh Iran strikes against Saudi facilities reducing output.
​  As we and many others surmised, the direct talks between the US and Iran set for Saturday in Islamabad look more and more to be a trick. The US continues to increase force levels in the theater. And it is not credible that the US did not understand that that Iran required the ceasefire to include all fronts, and explicitly, Lebanon. Trump and Netanyahu agreed that Israel did not have to comply. Iranians and other supporters are angry that Iran solicited and got Hezbollah support, yet Iran has not intervened after the vicious and large-scale Israeli strikes into Lebanon. Today, Hezbollah has struck back hard but that does not answer questions about why Iran has chosen to hold its fire.​   
https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2026/04/iran-war-ceasefire-negotiations-a-ruse-to-buy-time-for-ground-attack-as-hormuz-stays-closed-hezbollah-hits-israel-hard-after-savage-bombing-saudis-move-back-syria-against-israel.html

​  Speculation Surges That Pakistan Talks Are A Delay Tactic Ahead Of Expanded US Action On Iran
Trump has vowed to keep troops positioned for a fight "until such time as the REAL AGREEMENT reached is fully complied with." As direct US-Iran talks are set for Islamabad Saturday morning, there's been an avalanche of speculation that the ceasefire could be 'cover' for a greater Pentagon force build-up and bigger impending operation...
..With a two week timeline in place to reach a deal, is this interim period merely for rearming and regrouping of forces on each side?
Clearly, the US wasn't prepared for the fierce, sustained Iranian counter-attack on American regional bases and Gulf allies.
​  Open-source data of military logistics flights between the US, Europe, and the Mideast region suggests there is indeed an ongoing build-up and posturing of forces happening on the eve of the Pakistan summit.
​  Still, it's clear that Trump needs an offramp, or else face the kind of endless military quagmire which would likely inevitably lead to the GOP getting decimated in next fall's midterm Congressional elections.​   
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/speculation-surges-pakistan-talks-are-delay-tactic-ahead-expanded-us-action-iran

​  Netanyahu’s Likud takes hit in polls, which show most Israelis oppose Iran ceasefire
With dip in support for ruling party, TV surveys show Zionist factions opposed to PM closer to, but still short of, Knesset majority; 79% of respondents back continued fighting in Lebanon​   
https://www.timesofisrael.com/netanyahus-likud-takes-hit-in-polls-which-show-most-israelis-oppose-iran-ceasefire/

U.S. Initiates Major Upgrade For Israeli F-35 Stealth Fighters Amid Ceasefire with Iran​   https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/us-initiates-major-upgrade-israeli-f35

​  Gold & Geopolitics, Daily Digest:​ 2026-04-10
Ceasefire collapsing: Iran conditions Lebanon inclusion or walks. Iran's President Pezeshkian publicly stated continued Israeli aggression in Lebanon "will render negotiations meaningless"...​ CBS reports Bibi personally convinced Trump to exclude Lebanon from the deal after initially agreeing to include it.
​  Strait of Hormuz still effectively closed for energy. Traffic running at less than 10% of normal... Iran limiting to 15 vessels/day max per TASS, roughly 10% of pre-war throughput. Iran's parliament speaker: "We will take management of the Strait to a new phase".
​  Lebanon massacre: 254 killed, 1,200+ wounded in 10 minutes. Israel launched its heaviest single day of strikes since the war began. South Beirut saw mass exodus. Multiple countries - China, Russia, Pakistan, France, Spain, UK, Germany - all calling for Lebanon to be included in the ceasefire.
​  Trump furious about Hormuz fees: "That is not the agreement we have!"
IRGC deeply fractured on ceasefire per FT; many factions "strongly opposed"
​  Iran demands unfreezing of assets within two weeks per TASS
Iran denies launching any attacks during ceasefire; says any strikes were "without a doubt" Israeli or US
​  Three US carrier groups converging on the Middle East timed to ceasefire expiry
13M bbl/d production losses, demand must fall by COVID-scale amounts; physical barrels trading $130-140+
​  Saudi production capacity lost 600K b/d from pipeline attacks
"Tehran Tollbooth" could generate Iran $500B over five years per Reuters analyst
​  Europe has only 10 days of fuel supplies remaining per Corriere della Sera; air travel disruptions possible this summer
Russia's oil revenue doubling to $9B in April per Reuters - sanctions now functioning as "anti-Europe sanctions"
​  Germany resuming talks with Iran after previously declaring "mullah regime finished"
Spain reopening embassy in Tehran
​  Xi Jinping met Taiwan's KMT chairwoman Cheng Li-wun in Beijing - first meeting in 9+ years
Xi: "Full confidence" Chinese and Taiwanese people will be united
​  Zhao DaShuai analysis: "newly found confidence in peaceful reunification" driven by US military weakness shown in Iran
China pushed Iran toward ceasefire to score diplomatic capital with Trump on Taiwan per WSJ​   
https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-04-10

​  Israeli Missile Interceptors Have Dwindled to “Double Digits”: Trump Administration Official
The decreasing supply of interceptors has left Israel increasingly dependent on the missile defense capabilities of the U.S. Navy​   
https://www.dropsitenews.com/p/israeli-missile-interceptors-iran-war

​Left out in office-trailers: Army survivors of deadly attack in Kuwait dispute Pentagon's account, say unit "was unprepared" to defend itself   https://www.cbsnews.com/news/iran-war-kuwait-drone-attack-survivors-us-army/

​  Israel bombed Gaza on 36 of the past 40 days while the war raged in Iran
In that short time, Israel killed at least 107 people, permitted only 8 percent of medical evacuations, and admitted just 20 percent of trucks.​   
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/9/israel-bombed-gaza-on-36-of-the-past-40-days-while-the-war-raged-in-iran

​  Israeli Forces Kill Nine-Year-Old Girl in Gaza
The girl, Ritaj Rihan, was shot in the neck in front of other children while attending a class in a tent in northern Gaza​   
https://news.antiwar.com/2026/04/09/israeli-forces-kill-nine-year-old-girl-in-gaza/

​  Hundreds of Gaza Amputees Stranded in Legal Limbo
A recent Al‑Jazeera investigation sheds light on the growing crisis facing hundreds of Palestinians from Gaza who lost limbs during Israel’s assault and are now stranded in Egypt without legal statusstable housing, or access to long‑term medical care.
​  Many were evacuated for emergency surgeries, only to discover that life outside Gaza has placed them in what survivors describe as a “legal void” — unable to work, move freely, or obtain the prosthetic treatment they urgently need.
​  The report focuses on ‘Ola Jamal, a 36‑year‑old mother who lost her arm in November 2023 while breastfeeding her infant son inside Gaza’s Al‑Nasr Children’s Hospital.​..
​..At the height of the bombardment, doctors were forced to perform amputations at a rate of up to ten children per day, often with minimal anesthesia and no specialized equipment.    https://israelpalestinenews.org/hundreds-of-gaza-amputees-stranded-in-legal-limbo/

​Only if an israeli court declares them to be "terrorists" first...The gallows law: Israel moves toward executing Palestinian children   https://israelpalestinenews.org/the-gallows-law-israel-moves-toward-executing-palestinian-children/

Four Gazans, including girl, killed in Israeli attacks​   https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/04/09/360976/

Journalists martyred in Gaza rise to 262 as reporter killed ​by Israeli strike​   https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/04/09/360979/

Israeli army wreaks havoc on olive groves in W. Bank town of Teqoa​   https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/04/09/360986/

​  Israeli cabinet 'secretly approves record number' of new West Bank settlements
Report on i24NEWS reveals new settlements were approved during war on Iran but kept classified​   
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/israeli-cabinet-secretly-approves-record-number-new-west-bank-settlements

Israel Carries Out Incursions in Syria’s Quneitra as UNDOF Monitors​   https://english.aawsat.com/arab-world/5260643-israel-carries-out-incursions-syria%E2%80%99s-quneitra-undof-monitors

​  Former head of US counterterrorism center: There will be a war between Israel and Turkey
This was written on his social media page by Joe Kent, the former head of the US Counterterrorism Center, who resigned from his post in protest against the US war against Iran.
​  He also responded to US President Donald Trump's statement regarding the country's possible withdrawal from the North Atlantic Alliance:
​"Leaving NATO will not rid us of external conflicts – we will leave NATO to side with Israel when Türkiye and Israel eventually clash in Syria.​"
​  In his opinion, Trump's desire to support Israeli allies could lead to the collapse of the alliance. Kent believes that the American president is even prepared to withdraw from NATO for the sake of Israel.​   
https://en.topwar.ru/280741-jeks-glava-antiterroristicheskogo-centra-ssha-budet-vojna-mezhdu-izrailem-i-turciej.html

  ​Can't slow down and lose momentum... With Middle East in flames, Trump eyes ‘next conquest’
The president has lobbed threats against Cuba and Greenland repeatedly in recent months, threatening to seize both islands by force​   
https://asiatimes.com/2026/04/with-middle-east-in-flames-trump-eyes-next-conquest/

Tucker Carlson: The Path to Peace requires ending ‘special alliance’ with Israel​   https://israelpalestinenews.org/tucker-carlson-the-path-to-peace-requires-ending-special-alliance-with-israel/

Trump Rebukes Carlson, Kelly, Owens, & Jones Over Iran Comments​   https://www.zerohedge.com/political/trump-rebukes-carlson-kelly-owens-and-jones-over-iran-comments

​  Looking at You, Pete Hegseth: The White House warned staff against improperly using confidential information to place bets in futures markets after suspicious oil trades ahead of President Donald Trump’s March 23 Iran announcement drew scrutiny, according to Reuters.   https://www.zerohedge.com/political/white-house-warns-staff-iran-bets-add-growing-insider-trading-concerns

Media Claims ROGER STONE Persuaded Trump Not To FIRE Tulsi Gabbard​ - 
’Advisors’ say President was all set to can Tulsi for not endorsing Iran war​   
https://modernity.news/2026/04/10/media-claims-roger-stone-persuaded-trump-not-to-fire-tulsi-gabbard/

Automatic registration for US military draft to begin in December​   https://thehill.com/policy/defense/5822914-automatic-registration-military-draft/?

​  Slaughtered by A-10 Warthogs:“It Seems Like Blind American Ignorance”: The New U.S. War on Iraq
In the shadow of its wars in Iran and Lebanon, the U.S. has conducted devastating attacks on the security forces of its Iraqi ally.​   https://www.dropsitenews.com/p/iraq-us-war-iran-israel-lebanon

​  Negative views of Israel, Netanyahu continue to rise among Americans – especially young people
60% of U.S. adults have an unfavorable view of Israel, up from 53% last year.
​  59% have little or no confidence in Netanyahu to do the right thing regarding world affairs – up from 52% last year.
In both political parties, majorities of adults under the age of 50 now rate Israel and Netanyahu negatively.​   
https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2026/04/07/negative-views-of-israel-netanyahu-continue-to-rise-among-americans-especially-young-people/

​  Emergency waivers move arms for Israel, UAE to speed lane​ - Trump admin is pushing deals for weapons that often haven’t been built yet
Amid its war on Iran — now frozen by a tenuous ceasefire — the Trump administration has been exploiting emergency waivers to fast-track controversial foreign arms sales to Israel and Gulf states, tossing Congressional oversight to the wayside.​   https://responsiblestatecraft.org/waivers-arms-sales/

​  Meryl Nass MD sees the same unconvincing AI Netanyahu as I do: Devastation rains down on Lebanon, and some say 100 high rise apartments were bombed in central Beirut. Israel has warned residents to leave. Where is Netanyahu? Who really gives the orders?
​  I have become convinced Netanyahu's recent videos are AI generated. If so, who are the nameless faceless peoplemaking the decision to scuttle the ceasefire?​   https://merylnass.substack.com/p/devastation-rains-down-on-lebanon

​  Will AI Netanyahu-Mask over a remote stand-in Sunday? How will this be managed?  Netanyahu corruption trial to resume as Israel lifts war emergency
The two-week ceasefire agreed between Iran and the US allows Israeli courts to resume the Prime Minister's trial​   https://thecradle.co/articles/netanyahu-corruption-trial-to-resume-as-israel-lifts-war-emergency#google_vignette

​  Iran Ceasefire Allows For Netanyahu's Corruption Trial To Finally Resume
Hearings are scheduled to take place from Sunday through Wednesday. Of course, the fragile truce could collapse at any moment - after Netanyahu, along with Smotrich and Ben-Gvir, have pushed to extend Israel's wars. But normalcy is returning to Israel, and sirens are no longer constantly blaring out. Even Ben Gurion international airport is fully reopened.
​  Netanyahu has long been accused, even within Israel, of seeking to prolong Israel's 'multi-front' wars in order to permanently delay the corruption trial and ensure his time in power is extended.
​  The trial focuses on three corruption cases - including charges of fraud and breach of trust, as well as charges of bribery.​   
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-ceasefire-allows-netanyahus-corruption-trial-finally-resume

Only Iran "Friendly" Ships Allowed Transit Through Strait, As Tankers Pile Up Near Hormuz, Waiting To Cross​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/only-iran-friendly-ships-allowed-transit-through-strait-tankers-pile-near-hormuz

  Food; they don't mention rice-bowls: Iran ceasefire won’t easily ease emerging Asia’s pain
For India, Indonesia and Thailand, the Iran war isn’t just an oil shock — it’s a fiscal, currency and growth threat all wrapped into one​   
https://asiatimes.com/2026/04/iran-ceasefire-wont-easily-ease-emerging-asias-pain/

Amid Shaky Ceasefire, War in Iran Is Starving Sudan​   https://www.justsecurity.org/135989/war-iran-starving-sudan/?

​  Helium Is Hard to Replace
Qatar is responsible for roughly 1/3rd of the world’s supply of helium, which was formerly transported through the Strait of Hormuz in specialized containers...​..What I find interesting about helium is that in many cases, it’s very hard to substitute for. Helium has a unique set of properties — in particular, it has a lower melting point and boiling point than any other element — and technologies and processes that rely on those properties can’t easily switch to some other material.
​  Helium is the second lightest element in the periodic table (after hydrogen), and the second most common element in the universe (also after hydrogen). But while helium is very common on a cosmic scale, here on earth it’s not so easy to get. Because helium is so light, it rises to the very top of the atmosphere, where it eventually escapes into space. So essentially all helium used by modern civilization comes from underground.
​  Helium is produced via the radioactive decay of elements like uranium and thorium, and it collects in underground pockets of natural gas.​   
https://www.construction-physics.com/p/helium-is-hard-to-replace

​The Honest Sorcerer, There Is No "Next Economy"​ - If we ruin this one, well, then that was it   https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/there-is-no-next-economy

​  The Middle East war depleted US weapons. Rebuilding will require China's cooperation.
Beijing has a stranglehold on the critical minerals the U.S. needs to rebuild its weapons cache following five weeks of war.​   
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/04/09/middle-east-war-weapons-china-00864622

​  Do you ​find yourself with as little sympathy for "Sir Kier" as I do? Keir Starmer: ‘I’m fed up’ with Trump and Putin affecting UK energy costs
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer said he is “fed up” seeing energy bills in the U.K. swing up and down because of actions taken by U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin.
​  The comments came as oil prices — which have soared during the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran — fluctuated amid a fragile two-week ceasefire.
Starmer also said Israel was “wrong” to order deadly strikes on Lebanon during the ceasefire.​   
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/09/keir-starmer-fed-up-trump-putin-uk-energy-costs.html

​    Is Kier Starmer covering up Pakistani rape-gangs? Revealed: ALL Members Of Government’s ‘Anti-Muslim Hostility’ Group Have ISLAMIST Links​ - “There is deep cause for concern”  https://modernity.news/2026/04/09/revealed-all-members-of-governments-anti-muslim-hostility-group-have-islamist-links/

After kicking Spain out of Gaza ceasefire center, Netanyahu promises that countries opposing Israel will pay ‘immediate price’​   https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/after-kicking-spain-out-of-gaza-ceasefire-center-netanyahu-promises-that-countries-opposing-israel-will-pay-immediate-price/

"His Master's Voice": US Considers Withdrawing One of Its Military Bases in Spain As “Punishment” for Its Non-Cooperation in Iran War: WSJ​   https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2026/04/us-considers-withdrawing-one-of-its-military-bases-in-spain-as-punishment-for-non-cooperation-in-war-on-iran.html

Russia’s Putin announces Orthodox Easter ceasefire, Ukraine’s Zelensky agrees​   https://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/russias-putin-announces-orthodox-easter-ceasefire-expects-ukraine-to-do-the-same

​  The Pentagon Threatened Pope Leo XIV’s Ambassador With the Avignon Papacy
The Free Press has documented a closed-door Pentagon meeting in which a senior Trump official lectured Pope Leo XIV’s ambassador on American military supremacy.
[Letters from Leo can now independently confirm The Free Press report that the meeting took place — and that some Vatican officials were so alarmed by the Pentagon’s tactics that they shelved plans for Pope Leo XIV to visit the United States later this year.​ Other officials in the Vatican saw the Pentagon’s reference to an Avignon papacy as a threat to use military force against the Holy See.]
​  In January, behind closed doors at the Pentagon, Under Secretary of War for Policy Elbridge Colby summoned Cardinal Christophe Pierre — Pope Leo XIV’s then-ambassador to the United States — and delivered a lecture.
​  America, Colby and his colleagues told the cardinal, has the military power to do whatever it wants in the world. The Catholic Church had better take its side.
​  As tempers rose, an unidentified U.S. official reached for a fourteenth-century weapon and invoked the Avignon Papacy, the period when the French Crown used military force to bend the bishop of Rome to its will.​   https://www.thelettersfromleo.com/p/the-pentagon-threatened-pope-leo

​  Obama won't order a hit on the Pope, but can he protect him? Is "snub" the right word? Pope Meets With Top Obama Adviser Following Pentagon Threat - Pope Leo continues to snub Donald Trump.   https://newrepublic.com/post/208864/pope-obama-adviser-pentagon-threat

  TOUCHE!  John Helmer, GOD ISN’T GOOD ENOUGH – THE POPE AND THE US BISHOPS ARE THREATENING THE CATHOLIC VOTE FOR TRUMP AND HIS SUCCESSORS 
  In new polling of late March, reported by Newsweek, “Trump’s approval [is] slipping into negative territory among both Catholics and Protestants. Among Catholic voters, 48 percent said they approve of Trump’s job performance, while 52 percent disapprove, a net negative of 4 points… Just weeks earlier, Catholics had leaned the other way. In the prior Fox News poll, conducted February 28 through March 2, 2026, Trump held a narrow edge with Catholics. In that survey, 52 percent approved and 48 percent disapproved, giving him a net positive rating of 4 points.”  “Taken together, the two polls suggest a notable shift among Catholic voters over a period of several weeks, flipping Trump’s standing with that group from a net positive to a net negative. Attention around U.S.-Vatican relations intensified after Vance said he would look into reports that emerged on Monday about the January meeting between Pentagon and Vatican officials.” ...  As the Catholic anti-war movement picks up momentum with sermon support from the diocesan pulpits and the Vatican,  fear of midterm election defeat is growing for Trump.    https://johnhelmer.net/god-isnt-good-enough-the-pope-and-the-us-bishops-are-threatening-the-catholic-vote-for-trump-and-his-successors/

​  Hungary election a US-EU ‘proxy war’ – ex-Austrian foreign minister
Brussels would rather “paralyze” the member state or stage a coup than allow Viktor Orban to stay in power
, Karin Kneissl has told RT​   
https://www.rt.com/news/637672-hungary-election-proxy-war/

​  JD Vance says Brussels’ attempt to sway Hungarian vote is ‘worst foreign election interference he has ever seen’
The U.S. vice president used a Budapest appearance with Viktor Orbán to denounce EU election meddling
, praise the Hungarian leader’s record, and frame Hungary as a frontline state in the fight for peace​   
https://rmx.news/article/jd-vance-accuses-says-brussels-attempts-to-sway-hungarian-vote-is-worst-foreign-election-interference-he-has-ever-seen/

​  Kuomintang​ is the party of Chiang Kai Shek, who the US supported against Mao.     Chinese, Taiwanese will unite, Xi tells Taiwan opposition leader
Cheng Li-wun, the Kuomintang's chairwoman, is the party's first leader to visit China in a decade.
​  While KMT party members regularly fly to China for exchanges with officials, its last leader to visit was Hung Hsiu-chu in 2016.
Cross-strait relations have worsened in particular since the election of Tsai's successor, Lai Ching-te, who Beijing considers a separatist.
​  Lai said in a Facebook post on Friday that "China's ... military threats in and around the Taiwan Strait and the island chain have severely undermined regional peace and stability".
​  Cheng landed in Shanghai on Tuesday evening, saying shortly after her arrival that "the two sides of the Taiwan Strait are not doomed to war, as the international community has feared".
​  The KMT leader also travelled to the eastern city of Nanjing where she visited the mausoleum of revolutionary leader Sun Yat-sen, one of the few Chinese historical figures revered in both Beijing and Taipei.​   
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/east-asia/china-xi-jinping-taiwan-kuomintang-leader-cheng-li-wun-first-visit-decade-6048356

​  Now they understand better than they did in Janary. Shell Moves to Expand Venezuela Natural Gas Operations
The energy giant is eyeing largely untapped Venezuelan offshore reserves and taking advantage of Trinidad and Tobago infrastructure.​   
https://venezuelanalysis.com/news/shell-moves-to-expand-venezuela-natural-gas-operations/

​  US is ‘using Mexico as a garbage sink’ leading to ‘toxic crisis’, UN expert says
“Where standards are weak, what you get is legalized pollution,” he said, adding that imports of hazardous and plastic waste from the United States were worsening the situation.
​  “US overconsumption and economic activity are using Mexico as a garbage sink.”
​  The rapporteur said there were more than 1,000 contaminated locations officially recorded in Mexico’s National Inventory of Contaminated Sites, many of which he said had become “sacrifice zones”, where diseases such as cancer, and medical events such as miscarriages, were normalized.
​  In a preliminary report summarizing his visit, he cited factories spewing hazardous waste into the Atoyac River in Puebla, huge industrial pig farms contaminating drinking water on the Yucatan peninsula and a decade-old mining chemical spill that continued to affect health in communities around the Sonora River.​   
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/apr/07/mexico-us-toxic-waste-un-special-rapporteur?

​I believe her. Is it more timely than we know? Melania Trump delivers statement at the White House denying knowledge of Jeffrey Epstein’s crimes   https://apnews.com/article/melania-trump-white-house-epstein-1df98e9902386609608886f7bd256980

​  He may have trouble finding work now. Erika Kirk Allegedly Acquires Huge New House; Arizona Plumber Faces Backlash for Filming the Property
Viral video of Erika Kirk's alleged new home raises questions about privacy and ethics in the digital age.​   
https://www.ibtimes.co.uk/privacy-breach-erika-kirk-mansion-1791041

​ Ask the Pope for counsel? DNC avoids taking a stance on Israel, AIPAC
The members’ latest vote reflects a party establishment still grappling with how to respond to an increasingly thorny political issue.​   
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/04/09/democrats-punt-israel-aipac-resolutions-00865426

​  Get rid of Chuck Schumer? The ‘Opposition Party’ Has Done Nothing to Stop the Iran War and Much to Goad Trump Into Continuing It
When Democrats pretend to attack Trump, many clearly want more war with Iran.​   
https://greenwald.substack.com/p/the-opposition-party-has-done-nothing

​   Enable huge profits; wall-off legal liability. The Government Claims That Anthropic's 'Mythos' Is a 'Generational Leap' Beyond Other AI Models
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman is doing something no Big Tech owner has ever done: "He's publishing a detailed blueprint for how government should tax, regulate and redistribute the wealth from the very technology he's racing to build and spread."​...
..The reason is a little unsettling: "superintelligence" is nearly upon us, and the effect will be "so mind-bending, so disruptive" on society that America needs a "new social contract" on the order of the Progressive Era of the turn of the 20th century or the New Deal...
​..Anthropic has just given its "Mythos" AI model a limited release. Why limited? Both the industry and the government believe that Mythos is an AI capable of "not just identifying weaknesses in security systems, but exploiting them with autonomous, never-before-seen precision," reports Axios.  
​  The darn thing accidentally escaped the confines of its "sandbox" and strolled through several systems after building a "moderately sophisticated multi-step exploit" to give it the run of the internet.
​  The model demonstrated a "potentially dangerous capability for circumventing our safeguards," Anthropic revealed. "The researcher found out about this success by receiving an unexpected email from the model while eating a sandwich in a park."​   
https://pjmedia.com/rick-moran/2026/04/08/the-government-claims-that-anthropics-mythos-is-a-generational-leap-beyond-other-ai-models-n4951588

  ​It is somewhat more expensive if humans build it, which I prefer. Housing Is Cheap. Capital Makes It Expensive.
The real cost of building a home is measured in thousands—not hundreds of thousands. The rest is extraction.​   
https://futuredude.substack.com/p/housing-is-cheap-capital-makes-it

​  Paul Marik​ MD lays out an approach to first avoiding harm in cancer treatment. Approach to the Use of Repurposed Drugs in Patients With Cancer​   
Cancer treatment must always be individualized. Factors such as tumor type and stage, tumor biology, patient comorbidities, functional status, and personal preferences all play a role in determining the most appropriate plan of care. Repurposed drugs and metabolic therapy can be used in several ways: as adjuncts to conventional oncology treatments or, in select cases, as primary therapy.
​  There is no ideal regimen; however, this guide centers on the primary use of four agents with consistent evidence and broad activity: ivermectin, mebendazole, doxycycline, and curcumin. These form the foundation of treatment, with other drugs and nutraceuticals layered in as needed. Blocking multiple cancer stem cell (CSC) pathways is critical, as CSCs drive resistance, relapse, and disease progression. Limiting glucose intake and/or a ketogenic diet is a fundamental component of the metabolic approach to cancer care, i.e. starving cancer.​   
https://substack.com/home/post/p-189664873

​  Don't chase it too hard. Just be with it. Meditation changes brain activity quickly with a noticeable peak at 7 minutes, research reveals
Meditation is widely recognized for its extensive range of mental and physical health benefits, from reducing stress and anxiety to boosting cognitive and emotional health. What was considered a fringe activity is now a mainstream practice embraced by millions of people around the world. But how long does it take to reap the benefits?
A new study published in the journal Mindfulness reports that the first brainwave changes start at about two to three minutes and peak at around seven minutes.​..
..Researchers led by a team from the National Institute of Mental Health and Neurosciences in Bengaluru, India, recorded real-time neural activity in three groups of volunteers who were performing Isha Yoga breath-watching meditation.
​  These were people with no experience of meditation, novices trained in the technique and highly experienced practitioners. Each person wore a cap equipped with 128 sensors that recorded electrical activity in the brain while they meditated.
​  Typically, the brain begins to shift its electrical patterns within just two to three minutes, from everyday distractions toward a state of relaxed alertness where alpha and theta waves (linked to calm and focus) and beta 1 waves (linked with alert, engaged focus) rise.
​   At the same time, delta waves (associated with drowsiness) and gamma 1 waves also decrease. Although for advanced practitioners, a distinct brainwave signature was already visible at 30 seconds, suggesting they were responding differently from the start of the meditation. Meanwhile, the strongest brainwave changes occurred at the seven to ten-minute mark.
​  One of the most interesting findings was that experienced meditators don't necessarily reach this peak faster than beginners. However, when they do, the brainwaves are significantly stronger.​..                                                                                           
​..The research suggests that even if you lead a busy, high-pressure life, you only need a few minutes to begin seeing measurable brain changes linked to meditation, no matter your experience level or location.   https://medicalxpress.com/news/2026-04-meditation-brain-quickly-peak-minutes.html

​Waiting For It (pictured in garden, between rain showers)


Thursday, April 9, 2026

Partial Ceasefire

 Trying to Keep Up,


  What is hard to find a link for is the report from Military Summary Channel that Kuwait, Bahrain and the UAE attacked the Iranian oil refinery on Lavan Island in the Persian Gulf Wednesday, prompting retaliatory strikes from Iran. It is assumed that Israel encouraged and facilitated these attacks, and also assumed that Kuwait, Bahrain and the UAE do not want to pay Iranian/Omani tolls to cross the Strait of Hormuz. The Ceasefire Lasted Only A Few Hours - Hungary - It Will Get Very Hot Soon - Military Summary 2026.04.8   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=00Yybo4jv6M

  The Israeli state needs expansionist war to maintain a semblance of national political coherence, so it "must" continue to take Lebanese land and attack Lebanese civilian targets, which Iran considers a violation of the agreement with Trumpian representatives, that the ceasefire must be completely regional. 
  Iran has the prerogative to attack Israel by this interpretation, which it has done today following massive Israeli attacks upon 100 civilian apartment buildings in Beirut.

  JD Vance will be lead negotiator in Islamabad, Pakistan Friday, though the Iran-shunned Witkoff and Kushner will also attend in official capacity. It is unclear who will represent Israel and Iran in this, and what the status of other regional states may be. Can an agreement, even an agreement to stop attacks on energy and commerce, be reached?

  How much food and water do the Saudis, Kuwaities and Emirates have for their populations? Qatar and Oman do not seem to want to engage in conflict for reasons of their own national interests.
  Can the US peel itself away from this Mideast conflict it started, the way it is gradually peeling itself away from its roles in the Ukraine War and NATO?

  Jan sent this useful perspective: Only 3 Countries In The World Without A Rothschild Central Bank 
 The Rothschild family is slowly but surely having their Central banks established in every country of this world, giving them incredible amount of wealth and power. In the year of 2000 there were seven countries without a Rothschild owned or controlled Central Bank  https://www.whydontyoutrythis.com/2017/06/the-only-3-countries-in-world-without-rothschild-central-bank.html

  [Oman owns the spit on the other side of the Strait, and will share toll receipts.] Craig Murray,  The Strait Of Hormuz
In international law, Tehran has every right to close the strait of Hormuz to nations with which it is in armed conflict. Two vital points:
1) States who permit attacks on Iran to be launched from their territory can be blocked
2) Iran can block neutral ships from trading with states with which it is in conflict.
​  Plainly UK ships can be blocked under 1). But it is also undeniable that Gulf states have permitted attacks to be launched from their territory. A-10 Warthog attack jets have been routinely used against Iranian ships and were used in the extraordinary operation at the weekend involving special forces on the ground in Iran.​ (If you believe that was a pilot rescue I have a bridge to sell you).
​  Multiple types of helicopter have also been used. The 5th fleet having run away well into the Indian ocean, these short-range aircraft can only be operating out of the Gulf states.
​  HIMARS short-range missiles were also used against Kharg Island – again this has to be from the Gulf states.
​  Iran has the right therefore to close the Strait of Hormuz to ships trading with those Gulf States that are hosting US forces attacking Iran. Which effectively means an almost complete closure of the straits.​   
https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2026/04/the-strait-of-hormuz/

First Two Ships Pass Through Strait Of Hormuz Since Ceasefire As Iran Demands Payment In Crypto​   https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/first-two-ships-pass-through-strait-hormuz-ceasefire

​  At least a month of interruption of supplies is beginning in a few places already. “The Everything Meltdown”: Global Supply Chains Are Collapsing And Most People Cannot Even Imagine The Pain That Is Coming   https://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/the-everything-meltdown-global-supply-chains-are-collapsing-and-most-people-cannot-even-image-the-pain-that-is-coming/

Shipping companies 'see opportunities' but seek clarity on Strait of Hormuz reopening​   https://www.euronews.com/business/2026/04/08/shipping-companies-see-opportunities-but-seek-clarity-on-strait-of-hormuz-reopening

​  "Art of the Deal" posturing at home: Vance Warns Iranians Ahead Of Pakistan Talks: US "Has All The Cards" & "We Want The Nuclear Fuel"
Vice President Vance (who's been tapped to lead talks) warns Iranians: Trump "has all the cards" and cannot have a nuclear weapon. Follows Pentagon/WH declaring "total victory". Iran says it has upper-hand.
​  US, Iran agree to meet for first direct talks in Islamabad. Situation fragile given that Iran is threatening to hit Israel again over IDF's massive Lebanon airstrikes. Tehran says 3 clauses already violated.
​  Iran meanwhile demands stiff fees for ships passing through Hormuz during the ceasefire, and says it holds the final authority on which vessels get to pass. Tehran leaders have asserted 'victory' for Iran, amid positive international reaction to the ceasefire.​..
​..Saudi Arabia's vital East-West oil pipeline carrying crude from the Gulf to the Red Sea for export has been attacked at a pumping station​.   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/watch-live-hegseth-declares-victory-fragile-iran-ceasefire-hailed-internationally

​  Iran Says Ceasefire Must Include Halt To Israel’s Attacks in Lebanon
Pakistan's prime minister, who mediated the ceasefire deal, said it includes Lebanon, but the US and Israel now say it doesn't​   
https://news.antiwar.com/2026/04/08/iranian-media-iran-halting-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-in-response-to-israels-attacks-on-lebanon/

​  Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-04-08
US-Iran 2-week ceasefire agreed — Pakistan PM Sharif brokered the deal. Iran will allow passage through Hormuz under Iranian military supervision with fees charged per vessel. US paused strikes. Talks begin in Islamabad on Friday with Vance leading the US delegation...
..Iran continued missile barrages at Israel AFTER ceasefire — At least five waves of Iranian ballistic missiles hit Israel overnight, including impacts in Tel Aviv and Beer Sheva... Iran's principle: "The last missile will be fired by us."​...
..Israel says Lebanon NOT included in ceasefire — Netanyahu's office explicitly excluded Hezbollah and Lebanon from the deal. IDF struck Sidon promenade killing 8, continued airstrikes across southern Lebanon. Iran's foreign ministry said it will not accept a partial ceasefire without Lebanon. This is the detonator for round two...
..The ceasefire's most consequential detail: Iran and Oman will charge fees on all ships transiting the strait...
​..Deutsche Bank called the war "the inception period of the petroyuan"​...
​..GCC response fractured: Oman co-charges tolls alongside Iran; Saudi, UAE, Bahrain say they won't pay
Iraqi protesters stormed the Kuwaiti consulate in Basra after US strikes launched from Kuwaiti territory​...
​..[If he is still alive, not an AI ghost] Netanyahu isolated — "biggest loser from the ceasefire"
Israeli opposition leader Yair Lapid: "There has never been such a political disaster in our history"
​  Israel was close to running out of air defence — David's Sling interceptor manufactured in early 2026
IDF admits it overestimated damage to Hezbollah, believes Iran can keep firing missiles as long as war continues
​  Democrats intend to impeach Hegseth over war handling. Prediction: Hegseth fired before month end per HealthRanger​   
https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-04-08

  ​Does today's "Netanyahu" look human or AI? There is a lot of skin smoothness and symmetry of movement and facial expression, not the mild side to side movement differences which humans typically exhibit, as did Netanyahu in the past.  Netanyahu Declares Iran Weaker Than Ever | Full Statement | Israel War Victory & Ceasefire Update   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpLo7mA6FqA

Narrative adjustments: More Iran Truce Optimism: Israel To Open Ceasefire Negotiations With Lebanon After Trump Pressures Netanyahu, Oil Drops   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-warns-action-if-iran-fails-uphold-real-ceasefire-optimism-persists-bombing 

Wednesday: Iran declares 'historic victory' over US, says enemy forced to accept its proposal​   https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2026/04/07/766472/iran-declares-historic-victory-enemy-forced-accept-its-proposal

Wednesday: From Dire Straits to Done Deal: Triumphant Trump Re-Opens Hormuz​   https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/from-dire-straits-to-done-deal-triumphant

​  Thursday: Trump Warns Of Action If Iran Fails To Uphold 'Real' Ceasefire, But Optimism Persists As Bombing Largely Subsides  
WH confirms Vice President Vance will lead Kushner-Witkoff delegation in Pakistan, seen as positive in Tehran and Islamabad.
​  Trump warns of more military action if Iran doesn't uphold 'real' ceasefire deal, after disagreement over Lebanon truce status as part of deal.
Despite some last-minute shots in Lebanon by Israel, bombs go largely silent across Gulf and Middle East.
​  Over 250 killed and 1,000+ wounded in Lebanon from Wednesday surprise attack by Israel's military. UAE, Pakistan, and even EU (Kallas) condemn.
Hormuz Strait still effectively controlled by Iran: only a few vessels had passed on Wednesday.​   
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-warns-action-if-iran-fails-uphold-real-ceasefire-optimism-persists-bombing

​  Thursday Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-04-09
Ceasefire collapsed in under 12 hours. The US-Iran ceasefire announced late April 7 unraveled by midday April 8. Israel launched its largest strike wave on Lebanon since the war began (100+ targets in 10 minutes), Iran reclosed the Strait of Hormuz, and airstrikes hit Tehran despite the supposed pause. Both sides declared "total victory"...
..Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed. Only 4 ships transited on April 8, the fewest in April. Iran demands $2M tolls per tanker, payable in crypto per FT. Oil tankers turned back. Norway refuses to send tankers even under ceasefire terms. Iran told mediators it will not open Hormuz or attend Islamabad talks unless Lebanon included in ceasefire...
..Lebanon struck with unprecedented force. IDF hit 100+ Hezbollah targets in 10 minutes across Lebanon — the largest single strike wave of the warLebanese Health Ministry reported 200+ killed, 800+ wounded, with some reports up to 500 dead. Israeli strikes hit near the Belgian FM's negotiation site. Italy summoned the Israeli ambassador after UNIFIL convoy fired upon...
..UAE exposed as belligerent. A UAE Mirage 2000-9 struck Iran's Lavan oil refinery in the Persian Gulf. Iran retaliated by hitting UAE's Fujairah oil facilities and Kuwait's power/desalination plants. Pentagon's Gen. Caine publicly thanked Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, and Jordan for fighting "shoulder to shoulder"...
..Massive insider trading flagged. Someone shorted $950M in oil hours before the ceasefire announcement. A $23M S&P call trade was placed hours before the news. $44K in META 0DTE calls turned into $4M in 30 minutes...
​..At least 3 different versions of Iran's 10-point proposal are circulating. Trump initially called the plan a "workable basis", then the White House denied it was the agreed framework...
​..Israel was not consulted on ceasefire terms per WSJ — Netanyahu got a late phone call from Trump
Netanyahu declared Lebanon "not included" in the ceasefire and said Israel is "ready to resume at any moment"
​  US officials told Newsmax: "We haven't conducted strikes against Iran. If anyone is striking Iran, it isn't our military"
Iran's FM Araghchi: US must choose — ceasefire or continued war via Israel
​  Houthis threatened to escalate if Lebanon attacks don't stop within 24 hours. 
Hezbollah resumed operations​...
​..13M bbl/d of Middle Eastern production offline. Best case 2-3 months to restore. Over 1B barrels of cumulative lost production
Saudi East-West pipeline (7M bbl/d capacity) struck by drone, though damage said to be limited
​  DarioCpx: the pipeline attack with oil still falling is "ultimate undeniable proof the oil futures market is being actively manipulated"
DarioCpx also warned that even if Hormuz reopens, it takes a month for tankers to reach Europe/Asia​...
​..FT confirmed the White House pushed Pakistan into brokering this as "Trump was desperate for an out"
NYT bombshell: Netanyahu sold the war to Trump in a Situation Room presentation with Mossad videos of "future Iranian leaders." CIA called parts 3 and 4 of the pitch "bullshit." Trump said "Sounds good to me" anyway. Vance opposed but deferred
​  Troops are still deploying to the Middle East despite ceasefire — Reuters citing US officials
Silver Santa: "There is no deal, there is no peace, there is no will to stop the war. This is market porn"​...
​..Trump on Truth: "NATO was not there when we needed them"
Hegseth called out allies: "the rest of our so-called allies should take some NOTES"
​  UK's Starmer: not getting drawn into Iran war
Spain's PM Sanchez: "We will not applaud those who set the world on fire just because they show up with a bucket"​   
https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-04-09

​Andrew Korybko, Why Might China Have Pressed Iran to Compromise with the US?   https://www.globalresearch.ca/why-might-china-pressed-iran-compromise-us/5921755

  Celia Farber, Sour Grapes: Israel Not Happy With Two Week Ceasefire Between US and Iran, Says It Is Abiding "Reluctantly," But Stresses The Deal "Does Not Include Lebanon."   https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/sour-grapes-israel-not-happy-with

  Celia Farber, Israel Goes Rogue: "Unprecedented" Bombardment Of Lebanon
Watch Neo-MAGA Besservissers Craft New, Brutalist Versions Of "Kiss Our Asses," While Mocking Americans Who Balk At Civilian Bombings For Greater Israel, Which They're Sneaking In Behind Oct. 7​   https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/israel-goes-rogue-unprecedented-bombardment

US, Israel Insist Iran Ceasefire Doesn't Apply In Lebanon, Which Suffers Huge Airstrikes​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/beirut-suffers-biggest-bombardment-war-israel-insists-iran-ceasefire-doesnt-apply

​  Iran To Allow No More Than 15 Vessels Per Day Through Hormuz: Russian Media
"Iran's approval system for ships granted safe passage - after vetting by the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps - remains unchanged despite US President Donald Trump’s demand for the strait to be reopened."
  "Last week was the busiest week since the start of the war with 72 passages, still 90% below normal volumes, Lloyd’s said," the AP report continues. "Most of the vessels allowed through are connected to Iran, although some Indian vessels have gotten through with diplomatic intervention by the Indian government."
​  There are currently few indicators revealing Iran's intent for what comes next, and it could be that much gets determined on whether Israel will cease its attacks on Lebanon.​   
https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/iran-allow-no-more-15-vessels-day-through-hormuz-russian-media

​  Escape Key, Stranded In Haifa
For a century, every plan to move Middle Eastern energy to Europe has ended at the same place: Haifa.
​  The route has never changed.

What has changed is the scale, the layers of control built on top of it, and the number of alternatives that had to be removed before it became the only option​...
​..The vulnerability that killed the Eilat-Ashkelon pipeline was its dependence on one supplier and one political relationship. When the Shah fell, the oil stopped flowing and the infrastructure became stranded.​ 
The current iteration — IMEC — appears to have been designed to eliminate that vulnerability.
​  Rather than depending on a single supplier, the corridor connects multiple Gulf producers: the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and potentially Oman. Rather than depending on a bilateral political relationship, it operates through multilateral agreements and institutional frameworks. Rather than depending on a single commodity, it carries energy, goods, data, and money simultaneously.
​  And rather than depending on political goodwill for compliance, it embeds conditions into the infrastructure itself through programmable standards, digital settlement layers, and regulatory frameworks that operate automatically.
​  The Abraham Accords, signed in 2020, reopened the route. Within weeks, the Israeli state-owned Europe Asia Pipeline Company and the UAE-based MED-RED Land Bridge signed an agreement to move Emirati oil through the Eilat-Ashkelon pipeline — the same physical infrastructure built in 1968, now carrying UAE oil instead of Iranian oil.
​  In 2023, IMEC was announced at the G20 summit in New Delhi. The corridor runs from India through the UAE and Saudi Arabia, overland through Jordan to Israel’s port of Haifa, and across the Mediterranean to Europe. It includes rail, pipeline, fibre optic cable, hydrogen pipeline, and electricity cable. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen called it ‘nothing less than historic’.
​  The route is the same route proposed in 1932. The terminus is the same terminus. The function — sitting between Gulf production and European consumption, routing everything through a single node — is identical. What has changed is the number of layers built on top of the physical infrastructure, and the degree to which those layers make the arrangement self-enforcing.​..
​..IMEC in 2023 adds a regulatory and digital layer. The corridor’s three pillars — transportation, energy, and digital connectivity — carry not just goods but conditions. The energy pillar delivers hydrogen produced to standards set by the EU’s taxonomy. The digital pillar runs fibre optic cables that carry data subject to cross-border regulatory frameworks. The financial transactions that flow through the corridor clear through settlement systems — mBridge or Agorá — built by the Bank for International Settlements.
​  The compliance conditions are environmental, financial, and regulatory, calibrated through Basel 3.1, the NGFS climate scenarios, and ESG metrics developed at forums including those hosted at Waddesdon Manor between 2014 and 2018.
  Each layer makes the control less visible and harder to challenge.
​  A physical pipe can be shut off by a government. A financial arrangement concealed through shell companies can be exposed and unwound. But a regulatory framework embedded in the capital requirements of every bank in Europe, enforced through institutional protocols that no parliament voted on, operating automatically through programmable compliance — that cannot be shut off by any single actor.​..
..The pattern is consistent across ninety years. The route through Israel does not compete with alternatives. It becomes viable when the alternatives are removed. The removal is accomplished through different mechanisms — war, regulation, physical destruction — operated by different actors, over different timescales. But the outcome is the same each time: the node at Haifa becomes the only option.​..
..Europe loses sovereignty through energy. It cannot develop domestic fossil fuels because the stranded assets framework makes them impossible to finance. It cannot restore Russian supply because the infrastructure has been physically destroyed. It cannot diversify through Iran because the United States and Israel are destroying the alternatives.
​  What remains is imported energy through IMEC, on conditions attached to its digital and regulatory infrastructure. European politicians — von der Leyen, Meloni, Macron — celebrate the corridor as historic while their regulatory architecture ensures Europe cannot build an alternative to it.​..
..The beneficiary of a multipolar world is never the poles. It is whoever sits between them and sets the standards by which they interact. Leonard Woolf made this argument in 1916, in the Fabian Society report that became the blueprint for the League of Nations.​..
​..The energy clearinghouse determines what flows between producer and consumer, and on what conditions. The money clearinghouse determines what denomination those flows settle in, and whether the dollar is required. One corridor, two clearinghouse functions, two powers subordinated through different mechanisms.​ This is the unified ledger — the BIS’s own blueprint for the future monetary system — made physical.​..
​..Ninety-four years later, the architecture is the same — but the scale is now global.
​  The institution that now requires no change is the Bank for International Settlements
 — which published the unified ledger blueprint, calibrates the capital requirements, and built the settlement infrastructure through which the corridor will clear — be it mBridge or Agorá.
​  The central clearinghouse node never moved, but the architecture developed. And the alternatives, this time, are not coming back.   
https://escapekey.substack.com/p/stranded-in-haifa

​  John Helmer on US and Israeli ID cards found near plane wreckage in Iran: WHAT THE CAPTURED RYDER DOCUMENTS REVEAL OF THE US-ISRAELI PLAN TO DESTROY IRAN  — AND WHAT COMES NEXT
​  Alive or dead, US Air Force (USAF) Major Amanda Ryder has just destroyed President Donald Trump’s future.
The document bag (lead image, bottom left) and documents (right) which the Iranian Law Enforcement Force (Faraja) has disclosed and published in the last twenty-four hours, are evidence of the weekend firefight  and destruction of at least four US aircraft  at a desert location near Isfahan, central Iran.  The cache reveals top secret operational details, location maps, time logs, local intelligence sources,  and objectives of a joint US-Israeli plan which was already in motion before the attack on Iran was launched on February 28.​   
https://johnhelmer.net/what-the-captured-ryder-documents-reveal-of-the-us-israeli-plan-to-destroy-iran-and-what-comes-next/#more-93820

​  Iran ‘trapped’ US forces during attempt to infiltrate key nuclear site in Isfahan: Report
The Iranian Foreign Ministry said this week that the alleged US rescue mission in Iran could have been an attempt to steal enriched uranium​   
https://thecradle.co/articles-id/37008

​  Iranian blow-by-blow detail of their ambush: Did Israel tip Iran off to block Trump's "win" & US exit?  Press TV Exclusive: US suffered major strategic defeat in failed Isfahan operation
  The Americans miscalculated, believing that Iran's air defense would be unable to confront the aircraft involved in the operation. However, Press TV learned that the deployment of numerous US aircraft occurred while the Iranian Armed Forces were in full alert, waiting for them. In fact, American special forces fell directly into a trap set by Iranian forces.
​  The Iranian Armed Forces, including the Army, Law Enforcement (Faraja), the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC), and local popular forces, initially did not show a serious reaction to the landing of the first C-130, which was carrying dozens of special forces commandos. Evidence shows this aircraft veered somewhat off the runway while landing at the abandoned dirt airstrip.
​  Minutes later, a second C-130 aircraft approached, carrying specialized vehicles, several MH-6 Little Bird helicopters, and other support equipment. At that moment, Iranian forces on the scene targeted the second aircraft before it could land, turning its normal landing into an emergency one. Two Black Hawk helicopters also arrived shortly after.
​  It was at this moment that the aircraft, helicopters, and commandos who had disembarked from the first plane became perfect targets for the Iranian Armed Forces.
​  After the special forces realized they had fallen into the trap, the White House situation room made a critical decision: the main operation to infiltrate the nuclear site was changed into a desperate rescue operation for the dozens of US commandos trapped under Iranian fire.
​  The Americans immediately sent several smaller aircraft to extract their forces, barely managing to gather the individuals and withdraw them from the deadly situation.The rescue operation was conducted so hastily that some soldiers and officers abandoned their equipment, including, according to the evidence possessed by Press TV, the identification document of an American officer left behind in the area, to save their lives.
​  After the commandos were evacuated, American fighter jets established a line of fire with a 5-kilometer radius to prevent Iranian forces from approaching the abandoned C-130s at the airstrip. The jets also carried out heavy bombing of their own equipment to prevent it from falling into Iranian hands.
​  In this failed operation, US special forces did not even have the chance to fly the special Little Bird helicopters; some were destroyed on the ground, while others were destroyed inside the second C-130 aircraft.
​  Following this disgraceful and heavy defeat, Trump hastily and chaotically held multiple press conferences to cover up the failure and falsely portray it as a pilot rescue operation.    
https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2026/04/07/766446/press-tv-exclusive-us-suffered-strategic-defeat-failed-isfshan-operation

​  Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard has reportedly uncovered a DEEP STATE COUP PLOT to remove President Trump from office by SABOTAGING his war effort in Iran in order to turn the American people and the US military against him.​   https://x.com/JoshHall2024/status/2041871511913459923

The US is sending an artillery brigade to the Middle East.​   https://en.topwar.ru/280623-ssha-usilivajut-svoju-gruppirovku-na-blizhnem-vostoke-artillerijskoj-brigadoj.html

Iraqi Protesters Overrun Kuwait Consulate, Angry Over Role In US Actions​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iraqi-protesters-overrun-kuwait-consulate-angry-over-role-us-actions

​  'No more war criminal in the White House,' says US Senator Markey
Trump is clearly a war hungry madman at odds with the American people,' Ed Markey says, urging for president's impeachment​   
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/americas/no-more-war-criminal-in-the-white-house-says-us-senator-markey/3896903

​  Former congresswoman calls for using the 25th Amendment to remove Trump
Former Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene is demanding that the 25th Amendment be invoked against the US President following Trump's threats to destroy Iran. She wrote this on a social media site banned in Russia.
​  A former Trump supporter, previously supportive of all his initiatives but later disillusioned with him, has demanded the US president's resignation over his recent statements, including the destruction of Iranian civilization. Judging by the former congresswoman's statement, she considers Trump insane. According to her, not a single Iranian bomb has fallen on US soil, yet he wants to destroy Iran.​   
https://en.topwar.ru/280633-jeks-kongressvumen-prizvala-ispolzovat-25-ju-popravku-dlja-otstavki-trampa.html

​  Senator Ron Johnson breaks with Trump on bombing civilian infrastructure: 'Not at war with Iranian people'
Johnson said he supports the president's decision to begin the conflict against Iran before it got too powerful, but does not support actions that could harm the Iranian people
 that the U.S. is attempting to "liberate."​   
https://justthenews.com/government/congress/ron-johnson-breaks-trump-bombing-civilian-infrastructure-not-war-iranian-people

GOP Blocks Congressional Democrats Attempt At Iran War Powers Vote​   https://www.zerohedge.com/political/congressional-democrats-will-seek-iran-war-powers-vote

​  Israeli-Backed Militia Launches Deadly Attack on Gaza Refugee Camp Under Cover of Airstrikes
“We were shocked when [they] entered the neighborhood and began firing at people’s homes and at the children inside those homes.”​   
https://www.dropsitenews.com/p/israel-abu-nasira-militia-attack-maghazi-camp-gaza

​  ‘Cigarette Burns, Nail Wounds’: Toddler Tortured in Gaza to Coerce Father
Israeli occupation soldiers subjected a one-year-old Palestinian child to torture in central Gaza to force his father into making confessions, according to a report by Anadolu Agency, citing Palestinian journalist Osama Al-Kahlout.
​  The child, identified as Karim Abu Nassar, was detained near the Al-Maghazi refugee camp after his father, Osama Abu Nassar, was caught in gunfire while attempting to buy supplies.
​  Eyewitnesses told Palestine TV that Israeli occupation soldiers forced the father to leave his 18-month-old son on the ground and approach a nearby military checkpoint, where he was stripped and interrogated.​..
​..Al-Jazeera reported that Israeli occupation forces “extinguished cigarettes on his body and inserted a nail into his leg” while torturing the toddler in front of his father.
​  The report emphasized the severity of the abuse, noting that the child “did not exceed two years of age” and was subjected to physical harm during detention.
Release of Child, Father Still Detained​: The child was held for approximately 10 hours before being released and handed over to his family through the International Committee of the Red Cross in Al-Maghazi.​   
https://israelpalestinenews.org/israeli-tortute-baby/

​  WHO Suspends Medical Evacuations from Gaza After One of Its Workers Killed by Israeli Fire
Majdi Aslan, a 54-year-old contractor for the WHO, was killed on Monday while driving a vehicle 
for the organization​   
https://news.antiwar.com/2026/04/07/who-suspends-medical-evacuations-from-gaza-after-one-of-its-workers-killed-by-israeli-fire/

Palestinian detainee groups say children increasingly targeted by Israeli policies​   https://english-wafa-ps.translate.goog/Pages/Details/168990?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp

Palestine’s water crisis escalates into “water starvation” threatening millions of lives​   https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/04/07/360867/

Palestinian Journalists Syndicate: 53 Israeli violations against journalists in March​   https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/04/08/360879/

​  IOA forces two Jerusalemite brothers to raze homes in Silwan
According to the Jerusalem Governorate, Nader and Hatem Baydoun were forced to demolish their homes in al-Bustan neighborhood of the district.
​  Ten individuals from the family, including women and children, lived in the two homes, which had been built in 1998 over an area of about 88 square meters.​ Jerusalemite homeowners find themselves forced to demolish their homes at their own expense in order to avoid paying the Israeli municipality exorbitant money in fines and demolition expenses.​   
https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/04/07/360870/

Thousands dead and neighborhoods razed to the ground: Aid agencies fear southern Lebanon is becoming the new Gaza​    https://israelpalestinenews.org/thousands-dead-and-neighborhoods-razed-to-the-ground-aid-agencies-fear-southern-lebanon-is-becoming-the-new-gaza/

​  UNIFIL Investigation Finds Israeli Tank Fire Killed Peacekeeper in Southern Lebanon​ - Spanish PM says all attacks on UN peacekeepers must cease immediately​   https://news.antiwar.com/2026/04/07/unifil-investigation-finds-israeli-tank-fire-killed-peacekeeper-in-southern-lebanon/

​  Israel Blows up Lebanese Town of Naquora​ - Video footage reveals explosive charges exploding what appears to be the entire village
Naqoura was a coastal village on the border with Israel that was the seat of the headquarters for the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL). It was known for its picturesque coastline, citrus groves, and high quality agriculture.​ A video is now circulating of the town being blown up by explosive charges detonating at once.​   https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/israel-blows-up-lebanese-town-of

​  How Israel’s invasion of southern Lebanon created a humanitarian crisis
In the last month, 1.2 million people in Lebanon, or one-fifth of the population, have been forced to flee their homes.

Israel Urges All Vessels to Evacuate South Lebanon Maritime Area up to Tyre​   https://english.aawsat.com/arab-world/5259828-israel-urges-all-vessels-evacuate-south-lebanon-maritime-area-tyre

​  Israeli strike kills eight in Lebanon's Sidon: health ministry
An Israeli strike killed eight people in the Lebanese city of Sidon, the health ministry said Wednesday, as the United States and its allies agreed to a ceasefire with Iran.​   
https://www.spacewar.com/afp/260408003015.52gjsfxi.html

​  Moscow threatens Baltic states, claiming they help Ukraine strike Russia​ -  Moscow has accused the Baltic states of assisting Ukraine in Kyiv’s campaign against Russian oil terminals, with Russia's foreign ministry issuing veiled threats against Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania and blaming them for allowing the use of their airspace by Ukrainian forces.​   https://www.euronews.com/2026/04/07/moscow-threatens-baltic-states-claiming-they-help-ukraine-strike-russia

Cuba has begun receiving electricity from a Turkish floating power plant.​   https://en.topwar.ru/280629-kuba-nachala-poluchat-jelektrojenergiju-ot-tureckoj-plavuchej-stancii.html

Probably needs a new central bank: White House Says Cuban Regime Is "Bound To Fall"​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/white-house-says-cuban-regime-bound-fall

Russian Warship Escorts Sanctioned Tankers Across the English Channel, In Complete Defiance of Starmer’s Threats and the Royal Navy​   https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2026/04/powder-keg-europe-russian-warship-escorts-sanctioned-tankers/

​  France Moves Its Gold Home as the Sovereign Debt Crisis Quietly Unfolds
The Bank of France has just completed a major restructuring of its gold reserves, selling 129 tonnes of gold previously stored at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and replacing it with newly refined, internationally compliant bullion now held entirely within its vaults in Paris. This operation represented roughly 5% of France’s total gold reserves and was not a reduction in holdings but a transformation in form and location.​   https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/france/france-moves-its-gold-home-as-the-sovereign-debt-crisis-quietly-unfolds/

​Commercial mortgage defaults are up."Shocking Levels Of Distress": CMBS Delinquencies Unexpectedly Soar To COVID Highs   https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/shocking-levels-distress-cmbs-delinquencies-unexpectedly-soar-covid-highs

​  Looking presidential: JD Vance’s Anti-Fraud Task Force Uncovers $6 Billion In Suspected Fraudulent Government Contracts
The task force, alongside the General Services Administration (GSA), are beginning to send out letters to nearly 400 businesses with government contracts that they believe could be fraudulent, administration officials told the Caller. There were 895 contracts given to 392 businesses for a total of $6.3 billion, the officials explained, with $3 billion still left to be ​awarded.
​  The businesses will have 30 days to prove to the task force that they have a physical address and are legitimate. The letters will come from the executive director of the anti-fraud task force Scott Brady and GSA Administrator Edward Forst, who one senior administration official said has been instrumental in helping identify the potential fraudulent contracts.
bulk of the contracts were awarded under the Biden administration, a senior administration official told the Caller.​   
https://dailycaller.com/2026/04/08/jd-vance-task-force-eliminate-fraud-six-billion-government-contracts-gsa-edward-forst-taxpayer-waste/

​  Germany: 13-year-old Iraqi repeat offender beats elderly bus driver into a coma after the driver asked his group to be quiet
The 13-year-old Iraqi can expect little in terms of legal consequences for the brutal assault due to his age, says one official​   
https://rmx.news/germany/germany-13-year-old-iraqi-repeat-offender-beats-elderly-bus-driver-into-a-coma-after-the-driver-asked-his-group-to-be-quiet/

  The unknown equation of eating mostly highly-processed products with chemical additives: Why FDA and HHS Are Rethinking Food Safety
For 30 years, the federal government allowed the food industry to determine which ingredients are safe. That’s about to change.​   https://www.themahareport.com/p/why-the-fda-and-hhs-are-rethinking

​  Meryl Nass MD, I did a video for CHD-TV this morning with everything you need to know on the Hepatitis B vaccine for children
Slides below if you don't have time to watch​. Please share with all pregnant women.​   https://merylnass.substack.com/p/i-did-a-video-for-chd-tv-this-morning

​  Largest Real-World Analysis of Ivermectin + Mebendazole in Cancer Patients Shows 84.4% Clinical Benefit — Nearly HALF Report Cancer Disappearance or Regression
​  After just 6 months, 48.4% of cancer patients taking ivermectin and mebendazole reported no evidence of disease (32.8%) or tumor regression (15.6%), while 36.1% reported disease stabilization.​   
https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/breaking-largest-real-world-analysis

​Appreciating Life (pictured with grandkids, Jenny, and a peach tree I planted)