Friday, October 23, 2026

Exhausted By War

 ​Battle Fatigued,

​
  Trilateral peace talks with Russia, Ukraine and the US should start up in 3-4 weeks, after Israeli and US midterm elections, and likely another concerted attack on Iran, and after Russia pounds the electrical, transportation, fuel, military and storage infrastructure of Ukraine for another month, ahead of winter. Ukrainians are fleeing their cities to take refuge in EU countries. Russian advances on the ground are accellerating in both the north and the south of Ukraine.
  EU countries face a winter of heating and electrical generation fuel shortages, and potentially crippling diesel shortages, which will depend upon developments in both current wars. European countries are already subject to rioting and higher interest rates on bonded debt as all of their costs rise and real economies shrivel from high fuel and feedstock expenses and low availability.

​  Richard Cook (excerpt) Monetary Reform for the 2028 Election: Monetary Wars Begin in the US: 1795-1832. Part 1.4
Fortunately for the nation, President ​John Adams, nominally a Federalist but also an ardent patriot and distrustful of banks and debt, made peace with Napoleon after a period of naval skirmishes called the “Quasi-War,” so that Hamilton’s desired war against France never took place.
​  Instead, a dozen years later, Jefferson’s successor, President James Madison, fought a short but violent conflict with Great Britain that ended with the Capitol and White House being burnt by British troops but also with General Andrew Jackson’s stunning victory over British regulars at New Orleans after the peace treaty had already been signed on the basis of status quo ante bellum.
​  The War of 1812 also saw the last attempt by the U.S. to conquer Canada at the Battle of Lundy’s Lane. The U.S. had previously failed to take over Canada during the Revolutionary War. From now on, the U.S. would be sharing North America with an aggressive Great Britain growing in power. The head of the Canadian state was, and would remain until today, the British monarch.
​  Returning to Thomas Jefferson’s electoral victory in 1800, Hamilton said what he had always believed: that the Constitution was a “frail and worthless fabric.” (Age of Jackson,p. 15) Jefferson’s fiscal policy, implemented by Treasury Secretary Albert Gallatin (served 1801-1814), was to slash government expenditures, reduce reliance on the financiers who ran the First Bank, and diminish the Bank’s role in the growing US. economy.
​  Jefferson and Gallatin cut military spending nearly in half, eliminated excise taxes, and abolished “unnecessary offices.” The resulting budget surplus, combined with tariff revenues from a growing economy, was directed at paying down the federal debt. The Jeffersonians also understood that the federal government didn’t need to borrow money to spend on promoting manufactures, because the expanding private sector was doing that on its own.
​  Rather than continuing to run up the debt to ensure support of the government by the financial elite, the Jeffersonians did the opposite. Countering Hamilton, they saw the financial aristocracy, whose wealth lay in pieces of paper of artificially inflated worth, as the greatest threat possible to both agricultural and, as time went on, manufacturing value derived from honest skilled labor. They also understood that the best way to defeat the Money Power was to make peace, not war.
​  The Money Power always viewed war as their pathway to control, and continue to do so today. “Endless war” might well be their motto, with any competing power subject to attack under whatever pretext is convenient.​   https://www.globalresearch.ca/monetary-reform-2028-election-monetary-wars-begin-us-1795-1832-part-1-4/5944123

The Super-Entity That Owns the World​ , An analysis by Eric Buesing​   https://michelchossudovsky.substack.com/p/super-entity-owns-world

Voters More Worried About Iran War Than Immigration Or Crime: Polls​   https://www.zerohedge.com/political/voters-more-worried-about-iran-war-immigration-or-crime-polls

​  Plurality of active-duty service members oppose Iran war: poll​ - Veteran-led, progressive advocacy group finds that 49% of people currently serving in the military, veterans, and family members oppose military being used in Operation Epic Fury
​  Though Republicans surveyed in the poll backed Operation Epic Fury at a rate of 77% to 16%, overwhelming opposition among Democrats and independents left respondents opposed to the war overall, 49% to 44%. Veterans were by far the most supportive of the ongoing conflict, with 53% in support and 44% opposing, while active-duty service members opposed it by a 16-point margin and military families by 38 points.     https://responsiblestatecraft.org/military-poll-iran-war/

​  Naked Capitalism, Iran War: Iran Believes Attack Imminent as Netanyahu Reported to Persuade Trump to Launch Before Midterms
​Many of the commentators following the epically stupid Iran war, which has revived the Saudi-Ansar Allah conflict, exhibit frustration and gloom at what looks to be a new and potentially culminating round in a disastrous game of chicken. Netanyahu ​is reportedly amping up Trump to pound Iran again, sooner rather than post-midterms, although we’ll see if those rumors are accurate. But Iran appears to believe them, or at least see danger in not believing them. From the Hormuz Report on Twitter:
​  BREAKING: Iranian officials now believe a joint U.S.-Israeli attack is imminent and instructing the country’s armed forces to directly activate the decentralized “Mosaic Defense” doctrine, with commanders reportedly receiving extensive lists of U.S. economic and political targets to strike if war erupts, per Fars News.
​  A senior Iranian security official warned that U.S. political assets and infrastructure in countries participating in the conflict could be directly targeted. The doctrine disperses military command across 31 provincial commands, designed to allow Iran to continue fighting even if its central leadership is attacked.​   
https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2026/10/iran-war-iran-believes-attack-imminent-as-netanyahu-reported-to-persuade-trump-to-launch-before-midterms-global-stocks-fall-as-oil-price-increases-continue.html

Vance Blindsided By Grieving Military Husband Who Blasts 'Fundamental Failures' Of Iran War​   https://www.zerohedge.com/military/vance-blindsided-grieving-military-husband-who-blasts-fundamental-failures-iran-war

​  US evacuating Middle East bases as Trump weighs new Iran strikes – NBC
The Pentagon and State Department reportedly made similar preparations before launching the war against Iran in February​   
https://web.archive.org/web/20261022040355/https://rt-english.com/news/647505-us-relocating-troops-diplomats/

  ​Gilbert Doctorow on the Ukraine War, The war’s end game explained
The present actions of the U.S. President and the response of his Russian counterpart must be set against what happened in the opening weeks of Trump’s second term, when he briefly suspended provision of U.S. intelligence to Kiev and otherwise showed a predisposition strongly favoring Russia over Ukraine...
​..Vladimir Putin was not listening then. He continued his war of attrition, his gently, gently approach to conduct of the war. And that remained the Russian course until six weeks before the Duma elections when, for a variety of reasons, the Kremlin leadership changed course to massive destruction of Ukraine, to beat them into submission by missile and drone attacks that are rendering Kiev and other Ukrainian cities uninhabitable and forcing the urban population to flee the country.
​  On the one hand, the Kremlin saw that it was heading for electoral defeat if it did not respons to the broadly popular demands to end the war here and now by destroying Ukraine. On the other hand, serious damage to 40% of Russia’s refining capacity and broader infrastructure destruction from drones supplied by Britain and other Western countries and launched from Ukraine, was no longer tolerable and had to be stopped at all costs.
​  The results of the Russian daily attacks are there now to see: multi-kilometer long lines of cars at the Western frontiers of Ukraine seeking passage into Western Europe, where the​ir arrival will strengthen the hand of the Rightist, anti-immigrant and pro-Russian parties, causing political mayhem and weakening EU resolve to continue aiding Ukraine.
​  Donald Trump’s ‘deal’ with Vladimir Putin over diesel fuel has been widely misunderstood. Yes, the price of diesel dropped by 5% yesterday in response to news that Moscow is now sending a couple of tankers of diesel to the USA today. But Trump knows full well that the Russian deal will not change the electoral trends against him for the upcoming midterms. The sense in the deal was to give positive proof to Putin that there is a broad rapprochement coming. It was to embarrass the EU over its pigheaded refusal to reconsider its ban on Russian hydrocarbons.
​  Trump has possibly understood that in the midterm elections he will lose control of one and possibly two houses of Congress. But even if the worst case he still has until January 1st to exercise his powers over foreign policy and to change the world order in the direction he seeks, which means an accommodation with Russia and China hammered out in a Yalta-2 arrangement.. The forthcoming meeting of all 3 leaders in China may be the opportunity to do that, And in the meantime he will continue to apply maximum pressure on Kiev to kneel, kiss the ring and sign a peace that will be largely favorable to Russia.​   https://gilbertdoctorow.substack.com/p/the-wars-end-game-explained
​
  Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-10-23
Two big changes. Renewed US-Israeli strikes on Iran now have a timeline: NYT reports a target list for after the midterms, and Drop Site reports a third carrier group heading in. Meanwhile, Houthi missiles reached Riyadh and the Red Sea end of Saudi Arabia's Hormuz bypass, and Aramco sent its Dhahran HQ staff home. 
​  The AI selloff hit the whole index (Nasdaq 100 -2.9%, SOX -5.8%), Treasuries finally worked as a hedge, and France now borrows above the US; Russia-Ukraine talks slip to mid-November and metals are still being sold.
​  Iran: strike plans move from rumour to target list​: NYT: the US and Israel have drawn up plans for renewed strikes after the midterms. Likely targets are energy infrastructure, nuclear facilities and missile and drone stocks (zerohedge, YuriPodolyaka)
​  Some US planners think an "intensive three-day campaign" could change Tehran's position. That is eight months into what was sold as a four-to-five-week war (glcarlstrom)
​  Trump: the US is "not negotiating" and "something" will happen "fairly soon"...
​..Tehran's reply, per WSJ: if the air campaign restarts, it will hit airports, pipelines and other civilian targets in Gulf states, not only US bases and warships (WSJ)​...
​..US bases: leaked images show damage the Pentagon hasn't acknowledged​ - MeidasTouch/VALOR photos from bases in Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Kuwait, the UAE and Bahrain show destroyed barracks and dining halls. At Prince Sultan, one strike damaged an AWACS and two KC-135s and reportedly injured 10-12 (TheApeOfGoldST, clashreport)
​  Muwaffaq Salti, Jordan: a ballistic missile got past interceptors and hit barracks on July 17, killing three. Troops say they heard the wounded calling from inside the flames (TheApeOfGoldST)​...
​..Hormuz: IRGC hits ship-to-ship transfers and threatens US bases over escorts​ - The IRGC says it hit 4 "violating ships" transferring oil ship-to-ship in the northern Gulf, and 3 more hit mines in the western Strait (MenchOsint). Videos show the strikes; UKMTO reported nothing (MenchOsint, BrettErickson28)
​  The IRGC calls it a "serious warning": US bases become targets if Washington keeps escorting ships through the Omani route (BrettErickson28)
Trump says Iran is "making up fake" attacks (zerohedge)
​  Bahrain: families say the Pentagon blocked an evacuation because it would "look bad at home", and then the airport was hit. Some paid tens of thousands to get out on their own (clashreport)​  
Sources say they were threatened with disciplinary action for sharing.​..
​..Iran-US: a third carrier group reportedly inbound, Russian Il-76s at Bushehr, and Kushner's phone leaks​ - Military build-up
​  Drop Site: the USS Theodore Roosevelt group and the 13th MEU (~10,000 personnel) are moving from Japan to join the Bush and Washington groups in the Arabian Sea. CENTCOM's Gen. Cooper is reportedly pushing for major combat operations, possibly before Israel votes next Tuesday (maxosintintel)
​  Same report: Trump has called off seven major strikes on Iranian or Houthi targets since July. Tehran expects Israel to hit its air defences first, then US strikes on southern Hormuz defences and possibly an island seizure (maxosintintel)​  Against that: senior Israeli officers see "no reason to strike Iran before US elections" (Ynet) (FirstSquawk)
​  FT: UN ambassador Waltz admits the US could still be in a stalemate a year from now, and says the blockade of Iranian ports can be held "for the foreseeable future" (MenchOsint)​...
​..Tehran's posture​ - Iran has fully activated its "Mosaic Defense" plan: 31 largely independent provincial IRGC commands, each pre-authorised to fire and holding target lists (GeromanAT). GeromanAT says it was never switched off...
​..Netanyahu reportedly told the IDF to "overthrow the Iranian regime" (zerohedge). Haaretz says that with dismal polls he is looking "to Iran for salvation" (haaretzcom)
​  Russian Il-76s reportedly landed at Bushehr to evacuate Rosatom staff from the nuclear plant, and may be delivering weapons. The last evacuation was February 28, the day the war started (HormuzLetter, Nostre_damus). 
​  Peter Thiel, who still backs Trump: "I think we should not have done it... Maybe we don't have the hard power" (AFpost, MarioNawfal)
​..Kushner's phone​ - A Vanity Fair excerpt from the book "Princes and Thieves" says Dutch military intelligence got access to a Russian GRU hack of Kushner's iPhone (michaeldweiss)
​  It alleges a ~$750M UAE account funded through Azerbaijan plus a ~$1B account in Israel, at least $2B in total from MBS and MBZ (BreannaMorello). More than $10B was discussed at first (TheApeOfGoldST)
​  Kushner calls it "outrageous fabrications", and his lawyer says they will sue Vanity Fair and Simon & Schuster (TheApeOfGoldST, zerohedge). Middelkoop questions the timing (wmiddelkoop)
​  It matters because Kushner is still running Iran-war diplomacy that involves the same two royals​   
https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-10-23

​  Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-10-22
The Iran story moved from mediation to strike preparation. The US ordered departures from Saudi Arabia, Trump says Washington is "not negotiating" and something will happen "fairly soon", four outlets (NYT, FT, Haaretz, Drop Site) describe strike plans already drawn up, and Houthi strikes killed four people in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province. 
​  Russia agreed to three-way talks with the US and Ukraine after Witkoff's three-hour meeting with Putin, then fired about 22 missiles at Kyiv with no interceptions reported. Markets also had to absorb a PHP zero-day, a French 10-year yield above 5% and a liquidation that started in Asia and pulled gold and silver down with it.​   https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-10-22

​  Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-10-21
A Qatar-Pakistan "compromise proposal" on Iran took about $5 off WTI, and a diplomat and Ghalibaf shot it down within hours. Meanwhile the FT reported that Israel had a strike package ready for October 10, which Trump shelved until after the November 3 midterms, and a third US carrier group is now sailing to arrive by the end of November. Britain joined Saudi air defence against the Houthis, and Anthropic's draft S-1 (an $80.7B half-year loss) landed on the same day the list of failed data-centre deals reached eight. Ongoing stories: Witkoff meets Putin in St Petersburg today, the French-German bond spread sits near crisis levels and copper premiums keep setting records.​   https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-10-21

​  Lavrov backs Iran, hours after Trump says Russia doing 'very little' to help Tehran
Lavrov accused Washington and Israel of launching what he described as an unprovoked military campaign against the country whilst reaffirming Moscow's commitment to continue supporting Tehran.
​  His remarks came hours after US President Donald Trump defended easing economic pressure on Moscow, arguing that further sanctions could jeopardise negotiations to end the war in Ukraine. He said he also wanted to ensure that Russia did not provide further support for Iran.
​  "Russia is doing very little, if anything, to help the Islamic Republic of Iran, compared to what they could be doing, and I want to keep it that way," Trump wrote on Truth Social​.   
https://www.euronews.com/2026/10/19/lavrov-backs-iran-hours-after-trump-says-russia-doing-very-little-to-help-tehran

​  John Helmer, SERGEI LAVROV TRIES TO LAY RUSSIAN GHOSTS IN TEHERAN
Lavrov means that the requirements for Russian collaboration in military and intelligence-sharing with Iran of the strategic partnership pact of January 2025  are being met now, and will continue to be honoured by the Kremlin despite the “known circumstances” – that’s the euphemism for US warnings and threats, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s summons to Lavrov of July 13, 2026.  
​  Lavrov was defending Putin against his Iranian doubters and attacking the Americans. He was replying to President Donald Trump’s claims, tweeted on October 18 and repeated the next day,  October 19. “Russia is doing very little, if anything, to help the Islamic Republic of Iran, compared to what they could be doing, and I want to keep it that way”,  Trump had written.  Putin, he told reporters, “[is] laying off Iran, that’s nice because we’re hitting Iran very hard, as you know, and economically as well as militarily. And Russia has done nothing there that we can see, and I think that’s a very positive. And of course, we’re negotiating with him on Ukraine. So, I’m not looking to break up negotiations right in the middle… I’m in the midst of negotiating a deal. When you’re negotiating a deal, you don’t do that to the people you’re negotiating with. And the deals — the Ukraine deal. Also, I’m negotiating with them [Putin] on Iran because they’ve been very well-behaved on Iran.”  
​  “Russia could have done a lot more? That’s right, Russia could have done a lot more to help. If you put it bluntly, Russia could have done a lot more to help Iran. Russia has done very little for Iran.”  
​  Trump had been briefed to contradict Rubio’s warning to Lavrov, and to play up Iranian suspicion of Putin’s readiness to betray the 2025 strategic partnership treaty in exchange for Trump’s concessions on Ukraine war terms.
​  Lavrov asked Araghchi and Rezaei to believe Russia’s “commitment to this fundamental document”, and to  set aside Putin’s record. Araghchi’s reply of “never in our history” was a  vote of confidence.​   
https://johnhelmer.net/sergei-lavrov-tries-to-lay-russian-ghosts-in-teheran/

​Larry Johnson on the fragility of the Gulf monarchies: Another Round Against Iran Will Break What Is Left of the Gulf   https://sonar21.com/another-round-against-iran-will-break-what-is-left-of-the-gulf/

Saudi Aramco Evacuates HQ, All Staff Put On Remote Work​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/saudi-aramco-evacuates-hq-all-staff-put-remote-work

​Mapped here: Subsea cable network that enables intercontinental data flow through Strait of Hormuz​   https://www.aa.com.tr/en/info/infographic/54552

​  Iran warns Hormuz undersea cables at risk if infrastructure attacked​ - IRGC’s Yadollah Javani warns Hormuz undersea cables won’t be safe if Iran’s infrastructure is attacked.​   https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/iran-warns-hormuz-undersea-cables-at-risk-if-infrastructure

Netanyahu Says He Discussed ‘Eliminating’ the Iranian Government With Trump​   https://news.antiwar.com/2026/10/20/netanyahu-says-he-discussed-eliminating-the-iranian-government-with-trump/

Lighting up Iranian air-defense radars​ to locate them: Israeli F-35s Launch Multiple Simulated Strikes on Iran Across Iraqi and Syrian Skies​   https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/israeli-f35-launch-multiple-simulated-strikes-iran

​  The proposal, often referred to as Section 219, would go far beyond agreements with Washington’s closest allies
When the Senate returns to session after the midterm elections, it will face sharp debate over a highly contested Fiscal Year 2027 (FY2027) National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA).
​  The House version passed with a slim margin of 216-212, and included a provision entitled, “United States – Israel Defense Technology Cooperation Initiative,” often referred to simply as “Section 219”; the pending Senate bill contains a related, but not identical provision, entitled “Section 1217: United States-Israel Framework for Upgraded Technologies, Unified Research, and Enhanced Security (FUTURES) Act of 2026”...
​..So which parts of Section 219 put the system at greatest risk? It starts with directing the secretary of defense to designate an executive agent responsible for synchronizing U.S.- Israel cooperative efforts to expand and accelerate bilateral defense technology research and development, testing, evaluation, integration, and industrial cooperation, with particular focus on counter-unmanned systems, missile and air defense, AI, quantum, autonomous systems, directed energy, cyber defense and electronic warfare, biotechnology and medical defense, network integration, and data fusion. These are some of our most sensitive, and classified, areas of research and development. Additionally, Senate Section 1217 directs the secretary of defense to “consult with” (i.e. formally seeking and considering views or input of) the Israeli minister of defense in establishing the initiative, providing a foreign nation with influence over access to and integration of U.S. sensitive technology.​   https://israelpalestinenews.org/us-israel-integration-plan-puts-us-military-tech-in-israels-hands/

​  Moon of Alabama, Pentagon Installs New Economic Spying And Sabotage Units
There was some grumbling in Congress when the Trump administration installed Stephen Feinberg, a billionaire from New York, as the second man in the Pentagon. Feinberg had previously led Cerberus Capital Management which has various financial interests in Pentagon purveyors. He had also been chair of the President’s Intelligence Advisory Board from 2018 to 2021, during the first Trump administration.
​  Feinberg first made headlines when the Pentagon invested billions to take equity stakes in more than a dozen private businesses. There are serious concerns that Feinberg is directing money to businesses he himself and/or Donald Trump’s family are interested in.
​  His newest endeavors though seem to be less concerned with business. They look like​ attempts to duplicate the Central Intelligence Agency within the Defense Department.​   
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/10/pentagon-installs-new-economic-spying-and-sabotage-units.html

​  Increasingly Toxic To Candidates, Pro-Israel AIPAC Retreats From Endorsements And Direct Donations
AIPAC isn't abandoning the political battlefield, but is choosing to emphasize stealthy means of influencing election outcomes. AIPAC will continue operating its cryptically-named United Democracy Project independent super PAC. That entity is prohibited from coordinating with candidates or giving them money, but can spend a limitless amount to promote favored candidates or undermine their opponents.​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/increasingly-toxic-candidates-pro-israel-aipac-retreats-endorsements-and-direct

Israel Detains NY Congressional Nominee In West Bank Olive Grove, Sets Free After Learning Who He Is​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/harvesting-headlines-israel-detains-ny-congressional-nominee-west-bank-olive-grove

"We Should Not Have Done It": Thiel Breaks With Trump Over Iran War, Warns America May Not "Have The Hard Power"​   https://www.zerohedge.com/political/we-should-not-have-done-it-peter-thiel-breaks-trump-over-iran-war-warns-america-may-not

Sell The Bailout: Skydance Tumbles As Musk's $1 Billion Check Reminds Everyone Paramount Needs One​   https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/sell-bailout-skydance-tumbles-musks-1-billion-check-reminds-everyone-paramount-needs-one

1.4 million Palestinians still acutely food insecure in Gaza​   https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248714/1-4-million-Palestinians-still-acutely-food-insecure-in-Gaza

​  Israeli Strike Burns Gaza Mother Alive in Front of Toddler, ‘Without Generating Any Headlines’​

A Palestinian toddler watched, screaming in horror, as her mother was burned alive in an Israeli airstrike on their Gaza City home early Wednesday that left the wounded girl orphaned—and received almost no coverage in US corporate media.
​  Reem Asaad Awad was killed when an Israeli helicopter attacked her family’s apartment in the Rimal neighborhood at approximately 3:48 am.
   https://israelpalestinenews.org/israeli-strike-burns-gaza-mother-alive-in-front-of-toddler-without-generating-any-headlines/

‘You see us burning, you stay silent’: Family’s agony over mother and sons burned to death in Gaza tent​   https://israelpalestinenews.org/you-see-us-burning-you-stay-silent-familys-agony-over-mother-and-sons-burned-to-death-in-gaza-tent/

​  Ministry of education calls for protecting Gaza schoolchildren
With the death of five schoolchildren in recent Israeli attacks, the Palestinian ministry of education has issued a stern warning over the unrelenting targeting of students and children in the Gaza Strip.​  https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/10/20/372299/

​  Israeli colonists on Monday evening attacked farmers and torched two vehicles in the Wadi al-Shaer area, east of Salfit, according to local sources.
They said that colonists assaulted olive-harvesting farmers and set two vehicles ablaze in the area.​   
https://english-wafa-ps.translate.goog/Pages/Details/176075?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp

IOF, settlers carry out 20 attacks on Palestinian olive harvesters in West Bank​   https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/10/19/372250/

​  US Officials Face Fresh Pressure After Another American ‘Brutalized’ by Israeli Settlers in West Bank
Just days after Israelis assaulted 63-year-old Washington Post photojournalist Heidi Levine in the illegally occupied West Bank, settlers who have invaded the Palestinian territory attacked another American there, spurring calls for action by US officials.
​  “Over a dozen masked settlers just attacked Turmus ‘Ayya. Burned an American home and severely beat an American citizen, Chicagoan Mohammed Sakat,” Jasper Nathaniel, an American journalist who covers the Israeli occupation of the West Bank, wrote on the social media platform X, sharing footage of the bloodied man and floor.​ “One town over from Abu Falah and was attacked on the same day,” he noted.​   
https://israelpalestinenews.org/us-officials-face-fresh-pressure-after-another-american-brutalized-by-israeli-settlers-in-west-bank/

Israel issues tenders for 1,080 new settlement units in Occupied Jerusalem​   https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/10/19/372247/

​  HEBRON, October 19, 2026 (WAFA) – The Colonization and Wall Resistance Commission said Israeli occupation authorities have issued two new declarations designating 182.81 dunums of land in the towns of Battir, Sa'ir, and Ash-Shuyukh, in the Bethlehem and Hebron governorates, as “state land,” in a move that consolidates colonial control over Palestinian land.​   https://english-wafa-ps.translate.goog/Pages/Details/176085?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp

‘We will build palaces for Jews in Gaza’: Right-wing activists establish new outpost near border​   https://israelpalestinenews.org/we-will-build-palaces-for-jews-in-gaza-right-wing-activists-establish-new-outpost-near-border/

​  Netanyahu map shows RSF 'friendly' to Israel and UAE, backing for separatist movements
Israeli leader broke the Middle East into competing blocks in new security presentation showing Ethiopia and Greece as 'friendly' states
​  Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu unveiled a map of the wider Middle East showing his country and the UAE aligned with a paramilitary in Sudan, accused of committing genocide, and separatists in Libya, Yemen and Somaliland.​   https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/netanyahu-map-shows-rsf-friendly-israel-and-uae-backing-separatist-movements

​  Netanyahu Says His Directive to the Israeli Military Is to ‘Overthrow the Iranian Regime’
The Financial Times reported that Netanyahu wanted to restart the bombing campaign against Iran earlier this month
, but that Trump decided to wait until after the US midterms​   
https://news.antiwar.com/2026/10/21/netanyahu-says-his-directive-to-the-israeli-military-is-to-overthrow-the-iranian-regime/

​  Israeli attacks target six areas in southern Lebanon​ - Israeli occupation forces carry out airstrikes, artillery shelling, and demolitions across six areas in southern Lebanon, including Wadi al-Hujair.​   https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/israeli-attacks-target-six-areas-in-southern-lebanon

​  Israeli Defense Minister Katz Says Over 60 Lebanon Villages Have Been Destroyed​ - DM boasts that 200,000 permanently displaced using ‘Gaza model’​   https://news.antiwar.com/2026/10/19/israeli-defense-minister-katz-says-over-60-lebanon-villages-have-been-destroyed/

"At least six months after the war": Zelenskyy again changes his mind about holding elections​   https://en.topwar.ru/291938-minimum-cherez-polgoda-posle-vojny-zelenskij-snova-peredumal-provodit-vybory.html

​  Andrew Korybko, There Might Be A Cover-Up Going On Over The Latest Lithuanian Drone Incident
A reputable Polish outlet cited unofficial defense findings to report that the explosives-laden Ukrainian drone that crashed there on the same day as a major attack against St. Petersburg had actually been launched from within Lithuania itself and didn’t enter the country from Poland like Vilnius claimed.
​  Lithuania claimed that an explosives-laden Ukrainian drone that recently crashed in its territory on the same day as a major Ukrainian attack against St. Petersburg entered the country from Poland, while Poland said that it’ll demand an explanation from Ukraine about this after the news became public. Some in Russia have long suspected that Ukraine has been flying drones over NATO airspace for facilitating strikes against their country’s second-largest city. This latest incident lends credence to that.​   
https://korybko.substack.com/p/there-might-be-a-cover-up-going-on

​  Alberta votes to remain in Canada but take more control from Carney gov’t​ - Most Albertans opposed independence in yesterday’s election but voted for greater control over immigration and election integrity, among other issues.​   https://www.lifesitenews.com/news/alberta-votes-to-remain-in-canada-but-take-more-control-from-carney-govt/

French Police Identify Antifa as the “Ideologically Distinct Group” Behind the Riots Despite Democratic Denials​   https://jonathanturley.org/2026/10/22/the-greatest-trick-the-devil-ever-pulled-french-police-identify-antifa-as-the-largest-ideologically-distinct-group-behind-the-recent-riots-despite-democratic-denials/#more-250812

​  Sulfur comes from Saudi heavy, sour crude these days: The Sulfur Crisis Threatening the World's Food Supply​ - By Kurt Cobb 
Disruptions to Persian Gulf sulfur exports have driven prices sharply higher, threatening phosphate fertilizer production worldwide.
Mining companies and fertilizer producers are competing for increasingly expensive sulfur, putting additional pressure on agricultural costs.
Fertilizer shortages, high energy prices, and a potentially historic El Niño could combine to threaten crop yields and global food security.​   
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/The-Sulfur-Crisis-Threatening-the-Worlds-Food-Supply.html

Workers are spending more time correcting AI-generated content than doing actual work​   https://www.techradar.com/pro/workers-are-spending-more-time-correcting-ai-generated-content-than-doing-actual-work

  ​Meryl Nass MD, Bet you did not know that libraries have come into the crosshairs of the globalists and are being downsized or sold off, while controversial books have disappeared - Like RFK’s Wuhan Conspiracy and Pierre Kory’s book on ivermectin   https://merylnass.substack.com/p/bet-you-did-not-know-that-libraries

Paul Marik MD spells out what might or might not be obvious: Do We Need Vitamin and Mineral Supplements?​  It depends on what you eat   https://paulmarik.substack.com/p/do-we-need-vitamin-and-mineral-supplements

  Nicolas Hulscher, STUDY: Tart Cherry Juice Increased Sleep Duration by 84 Minutes in 2 Weeks - A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled crossover trial found that adults with chronic insomnia slept 84 minutes longer after 14 days of tart cherry juice consumption.   https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/study-tart-cherry-juice-increased

​  Top MAHA Adviser Calley Means Resigns Amid Reported Frustration Over White House Food-Policy Delays
Calley Means, who has worked on a range of Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) initiatives, did not disclose a reason for his resignation on Oct. 22, and said he has tremendous respect for both Kennedy and President Donald Trump.
​  "They laid out a vision of combatting the entrenched, dark forces in DC that profit from Americans getting sick. More policy and cultural change has happened around these goals in the past 2 years than any time in history - and I know this movement is just getting started," Means wrote on X.
​  "It was an honor to advocate for MAHA moms in the administration and steer policies like Dietary Guidelines reform, psychedelic reform, removing soda from [food stamps], removing food dyes, GRAS reform, and overhauling government food procurement."
​  The White House and the Department of Health and Human Services did not respond to requests for comment by the time of publication.​   
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/top-maha-adviser-calley-means-resigns-amid-reported-frustration-over-white-house-food

  Peter McCullough MD, Philadelphia Eagles Quarterback Jalen Hurt’s Battle with Venous Thromboembolism - Lessons learned from another high-profile case in the national spotlight   https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/philadelphia-eagles-quarterback-jalen

  They seek to murder the bereaved mother to cover up the vaccine-murder of her twins: Prosecutors Seek Death Penalty for Mom Accused of Murdering Twins Who Died 8 Days After Vaccines - Idaho prosecutors are seeking the death penalty for Andrea Shaw, accused of murdering her twin toddlers eight days after they received routine vaccinations. Shaw denies the charges. Under a law that took effect in July 2026, firing squads are Idaho’s primary method of execution. Shaw’s attorney Joseph Filicetti called the prosecution’s intent to seek the death penalty “outrageous.”   https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/prosecutors-seek-death-penalty-andrea-shaw-accused-murdering-twins-death-8-days-after-vaccines/

  Meryl Nass MD on misusing the religion called "SCIENCE": Astroturf “Stand Up for Science” organization tries to stop a trial of Hepatitis B vaccine at birth, claiming to be anti-censorship, while its Board member is the queen of censorship
​  Who is on the Board? Kate Starbird, who was in charge of online censorship under Biden at U Washington, and other questionable characters. Michael Mann, global warming guru​   https://merylnass.substack.com/p/astroturf-stand-up-for-science-organization

​  Federal Court case forces Health Canada to hand over its secret review of undeclared SV40 DNA in Pfizer's COVID shots
Pfizer’s shot carries fragments of the DNA
template it was made from, including an undeclared monkey-virus switch. Health Canada wanted it out. Pfizer refused. Ottawa told Parliament it didn’t matter.​   
https://scoopsmcgoo.substack.com/p/federal-court-case-forces-health

​  Nicolas Hulscher, The Most Comprehensive Ivermectin–Mebendazole Cancer Paper to Date Finds 37 Distinct Anticancer Mechanisms Across 25 Human Cancer Types - We synthesized decades of evidence from over a 100 studies, revealing one of the broadest repertoires of anticancer mechanisms ever documented for an off-patent drug combination.   https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/breaking-the-most-comprehensive-ivermectinmebend

News Cyclist


Tuesday, October 20, 2026

Squeezed Too Tightly

 Home Economists,


  My analysis of our current historical epoch is that global industrial civilization is inflecting from 300 years of fossil-fueled growth into a terminal decline in the amount of physical economy. Oil is the fuel that now correlates 90% with real-economy, but it is all woven together and supply chains are now globalized.
  Our "owners" (Carlin) and the political and technical elites who serve them need to maintain their primacy over the rest of this during this long and painful descent. They are not yet ready to reveal that this is the case, so other emergencies must be instituted to explain events as they occur. Wars in the Mideast and Ukraine currently serve that purpose. Both can be readily manipulated to create and explain shortages and existential threats, while providing an explanation why "things are not back to normal yet".
  There are competing factions of owner-elites. European old-money, the City of London and BlackRock grouping, favor war of attrittion against Russia, to break Russian civil society, return to the asset-stripping of the 1990s, and get ahold of mineral resources, of which Europe is otherwise critically short. These elites have made bad investments in the war already, and at-least need it to continue, so that they do not have to declare those losses. 
  It is getting expensive. Their credit is degrading, and populations are frustrated and angry. This is a weak position for European old-money.
  Western Nationalist power elites, centered in the US want to continue to control flows of oil and resources, and keep the world using the $US financial system, which extracts value for them. The flow of Mideast oil is critical to the petrodollar regime. They have military assets to keep enforcing this, but are at the point of needing to conserve what is left, and to arrange new global power dynamics with Russia and China. 
  Russia and China are civilizational powers, take a long view of history, and do not want to dissipate their own resources in the current power struggles, at least not more than is forced upon them. Iran is similar in that regard, as is Turkey, at the crossroads of civilization, and always conniving. 
  The chimeric creation which is "Israel" effectively spies upon the leaders and people of the world, and brings coercion to bear in every possible way, including propaganda,  bribery, nuclear threat and ongoing genocide of native Palestinians.
  I do not know how this will play out on any given day, but I find that working perspective to hold together pretty well.

  Fabio Vighi, A Spectre is Haunting Europe – and the World.  A Hauntology of War
What is deployed​ ... is the spectre of war as something akin to what Jacques Lacan called the “fundamental fantasy” - the imaginary place where I see myself suffering; the ultimate phantasmatic screen providing unconscious attachment, thus protecting the subject from the void.
​  And Europe is once again the epicentre of such spectral mobilisation. “War-readiness,” as the technocratic elites cynically call it, functions as a fantasy frame populated by images of pain and even annihilation. Psychically, it is meant to function as the deepest defensive barrier against the emptiness of the modern subject at a moment when the belief that the capitalist constellation is socially productive is breaking apart.​..  This is what psychoanalysis calls cathexis: the psychic investment that attaches us even to what harms us.​..
..The hauntology of war, which now provides the EU with its last form of legitimacy, is metastasising across three fronts simultaneously. First, in the data centres, where artificial intelligence is trained. Second, in the bond markets, where governments and corporations borrow vast sums to sustain their exhausted reproductive engine. And third, of course, in the skies over Ukraine and Iran – and in Gaza, where Palestinians are killed daily notwithstanding the ceasefire. If you connect those fronts, you will see not a war between nations in the traditional sense, but the slow disintegration of the global capitalist order itself.​.. In this end-time scenario, the main scoreboard, I argue, is not the battlefield but the bond market.​..
​..The compulsion of profit-making renders us blind to human empathy as well as its destructive consequences and social costs.
Now, the United States has spent the last three years building an artificial intelligence industry on the assumption that such intelligence would remain as scarce as the kind populating the brains of those who blindly follow it as a new religion – as well as expensive and proprietary. Hence, the conviction that whoever controlled the best AI models would control the future. But it takes little wisdom to realise that such assumption is now collapsing​...
..China has taken a different approach. Instead of building the biggest, most expensive models behind closed doors, Chinese companies have been releasing powerful open-source models: free for anyone to use, modify, and build upon. I mean models such as Kimi K3, Qwen, GLM, and DeepSeek, which now perform at roughly 90–95% of the capability of the best American models, at a fraction of the price.​..
..By late September 2026, Chinese models were processing 76.12 trillion tokens per week – up from 4.37 trillion in late April. That is a seventeen-fold increase in five months. The top four American providers combined processed just 14.2 trillion. In other words, the usage has flipped. The rest of the world is now using Chinese AI more than five times as much as American AI, and the gap is widening...
..The entire American AI boom that drives the markets and effectively supports the debt-drenched Western economy – the data centres, the chips, the power plants, the hundreds of billions in borrowing – depends on being able to charge premium prices for AI. If near-equivalent intelligence is available for almost nothing, that pricing power evaporates...​ roughly $2.3 trillion in future work, about half of that is owed by OpenAI and Anthropic – two loss-making companies. The hyperscalers are effectively lending money to unprofitable customers while borrowing heavily themselves to fund the buildout. This, in a nutshell, is the AI bubble, and China’s open-source strategy is the pin that could pop it.​.. Forcing companies to pay $26 to $56 per million tokens for intelligence that the rest of the world gets for $0.50 to $1 is ‘economically unsustainable’​...
..China’s open-source offensive reveals something the Western AI complex desperately needs to conceal: AI need not be scarce, proprietary, or rented. It can circulate as a general capacity...​ Abundance can at least undermine the rentier form that capital has imposed upon it.​..
..While the AI war unfolds, something equally important is happening in the bond market. As even the mainstream media now deign to report, bond yields are surging like a tsunami wave across the Western world​...
..Here is the crucial insight: the bond market is doing the central banks’ job for them. By pushing yields up, it is autonomously tightening financial conditions, without central banks having to raise rates significantly. Since mid-September the bond market has already tightened by nearly 200 basis points across eight major economies. This is making mortgages, business loans, and government borrowing more expensive, thereby unleashing conditions of austerity...
..Youth-led protests over the cost of living, housing, and the collapse of public services are turning the bond market’s abstract violence into a matter of collective anger, frustration, and revolt.​..
..The bond market is a war front, not a trading desk. It is the transmission mechanism through which the system’s explosive contradictions crash directly into the daily lives of millions. When the bond market fights, it doesn’t fight with tanks and artillery; it fights with your mortgage rate, your pension fund, and your local school and hospital’s budget. In short, with your livelihood...
..The war rhetoric from Brussels and London has been escalating for months. Kaja Kallas keeps repeating that Russia may test Europe’s readiness ‘within three to five years.’ Mark Rutte declares: ‘We are Russia’s next target.’ Ursula von der Leyen proclaims: ‘If Europe wants to avoid war, Europe must get ready for war.’ The EU is constructing a “Military Schengen” to move troops faster, on the premise that peacetime rules will not deter Putin. In Britain, the armed forces are reviving the Cold War-era War Book: the plan for national mobilisation, rationing, evacuation, and emergency government.
​  This is the language of a continent preparing for war – the marriage of good will and conscription that accompanies every descent into barbarism. It operates precisely as Lacan’s fundamental fantasy: an imaginary screen, filled with images of pain, erected against the void opened by the collapse of capitalist legitimacy.​..
..Yet when pressed, the same officials concede what their rhetoric conceals. Rutte: ‘We see no imminent threat against NATO territory.’ An EU official: European intelligence services have seen no signs that Russia plans to attack NATO members. And Putin repeats what he has said for years: ‘We have no plans for any military action against Europe. There is no reason for it.’​...
..War-readiness therefore serves three purposes: it justifies vast defence spending as fiscal space collapses; it disciplines populations into accepting austerity, sacrifice and possible conscription; and it creates the political conditions for the QE that the bond market is already making inevitable...
..Is Britain preparing for war? More likely, it is preparing for the appearance of preparing for war. The point is not military capacity but ideological mobilisation: a population trained to accept that young people may have to ‘go out and die’ (Jacob Rees-Mogg dixit) for a country whose ruling class has spent decades dismantling the conditions worth fighting for.​..
..Needless to say, the deeper stakes are financial. Iran’s reported willingness to accept yuan for oil transiting the Strait of Hormuz – and reportedly to offer Europe a euro-denominated transit deal – threatens the petrodollar arrangement that has underwritten American financial dominance since 1974. If oil ceases to demand dollars, dollar demand falls, US borrowing costs rise, and a debt machine already strained by $40.3 trillion in gross national debt and $1.36 trillion in annual interest payments becomes truly unsustainable.​..
..War drives energy prices and inflation upward; inflation keeps rates high; high rates intensify the AI debt burden; the resulting credit distress forces central banks toward QE. In a world of $100-plus oil and war-driven inflation, however, QE further destroys monetary credibility. 
​  The Iran conflict is thus not merely a geopolitical catastrophe. It is the mechanism through which the AI bubble and the bond-market crisis become a real war; and through which the system acquires its justification for the monetary rescue it cannot survive without.
​  QE, followed by further mass impoverishment, mass revolt, and control measures, is written into the script, because within the Western capitalist horizon there is no alternative. The three-front war makes this clearer. The West is fighting on all three fronts with the same weapon: debt-financed spending.​..
..Within this confrontation, the bond market is the mechanism that turns the AI war into a financial crisis. When the cost to insure CoreWeave’s debt against default surges past 1,000 basis points, this is not merely one company’s distress. It is the market pricing the collapse of the AI capex model. (For context, CoreWeave is an AI cloud provider that went from obscurity to a giant, and multi-billion-dollar borrower, in barely three years.)​...
​..War drives energy prices and inflation upward; inflation keeps rates high; high rates worsen the AI debt burden; the resulting credit event forces central banks to monetise. This could be the logic of the next “whatever it takes” moment. It would arrive not as salvation but as the admission that the system can be kept upright only by printing its way past its own contradictions.
​  QE, of course, will not resolve the crisis. It will not restore profitability, repair the AI capex model, or make sovereign debt sustainable. Its function is narrower and more cynical: to prevent immediate default, protect asset values, and buy time for the distribution of losses downwards.​..
..US and Chinese experts are discussing AI governance in the idiom once reserved for nuclear weapons: red lines, mandatory human control, hotlines for incidents caused by autonomous systems. The feared scenario is instructive. An American system detects suspicious activity in a Chinese military network, classifies it as an attack, and responds. Chinese systems detect the response and respond automatically. Within minutes, two defensive systems have produced the appearance of mutual aggression, and the war begins through automated misrecognition.​..
..The CLARITY Act’s stablecoin regime, with its KYC ​(know your customer) requirements and Treasury powers to freeze transactions without court order, is legalised as “consumer protection.” Central banks experiment with programmable money that can be restricted, expired, or made conditional. Under economic duress, tools designed for “illicit finance” become tools of population management: a digital prison whose bars remain invisible until they close.​....If war-readiness functions as a fundamental fantasy, then the task, as Lacan would put it, is to traverse the fantasy. This means refusing any sacrificial identification with nation, flag, or the “defense of Europe,” and instead looking directly at the void which the war rhetoric is designed to cover...​ 
..The system needs our consent, our sacrifice, and our psychic investment. To withdraw that investment is the one variable they cannot price in.​   https://substack.com/home/post/p-221133493

​  Larry Johnson, Europe's Diesel Winter Is Coming, and Washington Is About to Make It Worse
Saudi Arabia went looking for allies against Ansar Allah, and so far it has gotten statements of support. Egypt has declared its readiness to back the Kingdom, but its statement does not commit to any military involvement. Pakistan and Turkey have pledged troops under the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement signed in August, but both governments say their forces will play “a supportive rather than active combat role” against the Houthis. I have watched coalition pledges like these for decades. Cairo has not forgotten its war in Yemen in the 1960s. Islamabad has its own border with Afghanistan and a restless India to think about. Neither is going to send its soldiers into the mountains of Saada, so Riyadh will be fighting this one essentially alone.
​  That matters because Ansar Allah has shown it can reach the Kingdom’s economic core. In the past two weeks the Houthis have struck at Aramco facilities near Riyadh, the Shedgum gas plant in the Ghawar corridor, and the Tanajib oil facility on the Gulf coast. They hit an administrative building at Aramco’s Dhahran headquarters, the company’s historic nerve center. Now they are reportedly targeting Yanbu.
​  Riyadh says little about the damage, and Aramco’s chief executive insists the company’s system is intact and can be restored to its full 12 million barrels a day within days. I don’t believe it...
..Yanbu is the crucial target. With Iran’s navy declaring the Strait of Hormuz closed except to vessels it authorizes, Saudi Arabia’s Red Sea terminal at Yanbu, fed by the East-West Pipeline, is the Kingdom’s escape route to world markets... A pipeline missing more than a third of its pumping stations cannot move anything close to its rated volume, however much crude is waiting in the Eastern Province.
​  Meanwhile Ansar Allah has seized Greater and Lesser Hanish islands and Perim inside the Bab al-Mandab, putting it astride the very sea lanes that tankers leaving Yanbu must use. Damaged production, a crippled pipeline and a contested Red Sea together mean the world loses Saudi barrels three times over: some cannot be produced, some cannot reach the coast, and what reaches the coast cannot be shipped safely.
​  Diesel is where this hits hardest. Diesel moves the trucks, tractors, trains and ships that carry everything else, and Europe is one of the world’s dominant diesel importers. The International Energy Agency’s October report is blunt. Middle Eastern fuel exports are below half of pre-war levels, and diesel markets “will remain tight well into 2027.”The IEA does not expect lost diesel stocks to be replenished before the second half of 2027...
..Don’t expect the Trump-Putin diesel deal to change that. As I have argued before, the Russian barrels are a rounding error... Measured against the world’s lost Middle Eastern distillate exports, it is negligible. It also depends on Russian refineries that Ukrainian drones continue to hit, and on sanctioned tankers to carry it. The deal may make for a good headline. It will not move the supply curve, and so it will not bring down the price of diesel.
​  Europe is already paying the political price. On Saturday, France saw its worst rioting in years. The CGT union estimated more than 500,000 people in the streets protesting the cost of gasoline, energy and food, and more than 270 were arrested. In Milan, a demonstration against wars and rising living costs ended with barricades on fire and shops looted. Protests over the cost of living have spread to Belgium and Portugal. Albania has had five straight days of violent clashes in Tirana...
..This is the context in which Washington is considering new strikes on Iran. The ceasefire collapsed in July and has not been rebuilt. Every round of escalation since then has raised the price of oil, and each one has given Tehran a reason to tighten its grip on Hormuz and its allies in Yemen a reason to widen their target list. Another U.S. campaign will not reopen the Strait. It will further close it. It will push diesel prices back toward their September records just as Europe heads into winter, when heating oil demand peaks.​..
..Europe’s economies were already weak before the war. Factories that run on diesel-powered logistics, farmers who need diesel for the harvest, and households that heat with fuel oil cannot absorb another price spike. The riots in Paris and Milan are a warning of what a long diesel shortage does to a society. If Washington widens this war, it will be choosing to make that shortage longer and deeper, and Europe will pay the bill on its streets.​   https://larrycjohnson.substack.com/p/europes-diesel-winter-is-coming-and

​  Public opinion on Ukraine is wrong – Italian defense minister
Ukrainians living in italy do not want to return to their country, while Defense Minister Guido Crosetto urges continued support of Kiev despite widespread public opposition​   
https://rt-english.com/news/647374-hard-convince-italians-back-ukraine/

Putin Proposes Summit With Trump And Xi To Negotiate End Of Ukraine War; Zelensky Not Invited​   https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/putin-proposes-summit-trump-and-xi-negotiate-end-ukraine-war-zelensky-not-invited

Oil Tumbles As Qatar, Pakistan Tout 'Compromise Proposal' To End Iran War​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/two-tankers-fire-oman-irgc-boasts-naval-mine-warfare

More reliable logistics? Taiwan delivers 1,520 FPV attack drones for U.S. Drone Dominance Program to reduce reliance on China.​   https://www.armyrecognition.com/news/army-news/2026/taiwan-delivers-1-520-fpv-attack-drones-for-u-s-drone-dominance-program-to-reduce-reliance-on-china

​  Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-10-20
The US and Iran are firing at each other again. The US hit Iran's Konarak naval base, the IRGC claims it downed a 54th MQ-9, and Hegseth met Netanyahu at Ovda while the IDF froze leave. Headlines promising a deal "breakthrough this week" kept circulating anyway. 
​  Trump told Kyiv to find someone else to negotiate as Witkoff heads to Oslo and then Moscow, the day after 16 ballistic missiles hit Kyiv and none were intercepted; France's 10Y closed at a 22-year high as curfews spread. 
​  The Houthi campaign against Saudi energy and the AI credit unwind continue, with fresh damage: FII pushed to 2027, ORCL CDS at a record, Elice -32% on debut.
​  US-Iran exchange fire; Israel moves to a war footing​ - Iran's navy says US forces struck its Konarak base; 2 personnel wounded; CENTCOM has not confirmed (FirstSquawk, MoloWarMonitor)
​  IRGC claims a 54th MQ-9 shot down over Hormuz this morning (MenchOsint, GEROMAN)
Hegseth met Netanyahu at Ovda Air Base; the IDF froze all leave from Thursday and moved to its highest alert (HormuzLetter, GlobeLetter)
​  Houthis hit Saudi oil and airports; FII postponed to 2027 ​- Strikes claimed on Aramco Yanbu, the Shaybah field, Riyadh airport, Abha and Khamis Mushait (MenchOsint, zerohedge)
​  "Davos in the Desert" pushed to 2027 (MenchOsint, ILRedAlert)​...
​..Outside assessments:​ former MI6 chief Sawers: "The Houthis are here to stay" (imetatronink)
The Economist says MBS's gambles on beating the Houthis, reshaping the Saudi economy and relying on Trump are all failing at once (shashj)...
​..Kyiv: 16 ballistic missiles, none intercepted; Patriot transfers stalled ​- 16 ballistic missiles and 200+ drones; 550,000 families lost power; "no early warning from our partners" (ZelenskyyUa)
​  Only 3 cruise missiles downed; MilitarySummary says Ukraine has effectively run out of PAC-3s  a Europe-funded Patriot batch is stuck at the Pentagon, which the US denies (MilitarySummary)​...
​..Diplomacy​ - Trump says it is "time for someone else to negotiate on behalf of Ukraine" (zerohedge, FoxNews) and that Ukraine gives "nothing" back (zerohedge). He also said "Russia has been fine on Ukraine" (TheApeOfGoldStreet)
​  Trump is open to a meeting with Xi and Putin next month (Reuters), probably in China and built around denuclearization (zerohedge), with or without Zelensky (FoxNews)
​  Peskov says a three-way meeting was raised for the APEC summit in China on Nov 18-19, but "no concrete proposals" exist (MilitarySummary)
​  Today in Oslo, Zelensky meets Stubb and Støre, with Witkoff in the room and Kushner on video (MilitarySummary). Witkoff then heads to Russia hoping to meet Putin (GEROMAN)
​  Zelensky is lobbying US senators (AlternatNews). He says missile packages Ukraine's partners already paid for are waiting on Hegseth's signature (GEROMAN)​...  Starlink/Starshield is still throttled and cuts out at 130-161 km/h (MilitarySummary, Kofman via simpatico771).
​..Europe is split:​ Belgian PM De Wever reportedly wants relations with Russia normalized (AlternatNews)
Merz says the Russian threat is underestimated (zerohedge)
​  Zelensky asked the EU for €70bn on top of the €90bn already pledged (SWagenknecht)
​Per the NYT, Washington is floating Europe buying Russian gas again as an incentive for Putin (zerohedge)...
..Israel​ - Hegseth met Netanyahu unannounced at Ovda, with Defence Minister Katz, NSC head Ben Ezra and apparent UAE representatives present. Per Axios and Ynet, the topic was resuming major combat operations against Iran (GlobeLetter, cym27s)
​  IDF command centres are now staffed at wartime strength (HormuzLetter). The timing: roughly a week before Israel's election and two weeks before the US midterms (Nostra)
​  Escalation threats​ - The IRGC says 7 undersea internet cables under Hormuz are on its target list if war resumes (Currentreport1, Nostra, TheApeOfGoldStreet)
​  Tehran says it has "no choice" but to assert control over Hormuz (zerohedge); the IRGC warns that renewed bombing means a "serious energy crisis" (zerohedge)
​  Diplomacy​ - A US-Iran "breakthrough" is again expected this week; nothing is confirmed. The reports cite different outlets: Al-Araby Al-Jadeed (DeItaone) and Al Arabiya (TheApeOfGoldStreet)
​  Qatar says talks continue but warns of a wider regional war (JustDario); Trump says it is a "good situation with respect to Iran" (TheApeOfGoldStreet)
Lavrov is in Tehran (maxosintintel), calling for free navigation through Hormuz, a return to pre-crisis conditions and resumed Yemen talks (TonyNashNerd)
​  Pakistan's Asim Munir is due in Tehran (MenchOsint); China's premier says he is ready to advance cooperation with Iran (DeItaone)
The UAE is talking to both sides: a UAE government-linked 737 visited Tehran again (MenchOsint) on the same day a UAE Air Force jet landed in Tel Aviv (MenchOsint)
​  Weapons are arriving: Chinese Type 59 130mm guns were filmed in Mazandaran (DefenceGeek)​.   
https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-10-20

​  Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-10-19
Two things changed. Putin proposed a Trump-Xi-Putin summit on Ukraine without Zelensky, in the same weekend Trump waived the Graham Act sanctions and said Zelensky doesn't want the war to end. 
​  The Yemen war also widened: Riyadh admitted its first aircraft loss and Egypt approved troops for Saudi Arabia. 
​  The rest is continuation: Hormuz ship attacks at their fastest pace since March, more AI credit stress (Microsoft walked from Nscale), and Macron addressed the nation on the riots, blaming fuel prices from the Iran war.​   https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-10-19

​  Trump Regime Wilding Amid Scandals and Backstabbing​, by Nat Wilson Turner
As disaster looms in the November mid-term elections, the Trump regime is riven with internal dissent and ugly scandal. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Chief of Staff Susie Wiles and Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller are taking leading roles.Last week the centrist Substack Zeteo, had a piece charmingly titled “‘Secretary of Cuck’: How Marco Rubio Learned to Love Waging Trump’s War on the World.”
​  Zeteo takes the consensus DC insider position that Rubio was some paragon of decency and norms before being corrupted by his involvement with the wicked Trump regime, so keep that in mind as we read some highlights of the piece:
​  Rubio has led a swarming assault on free speech, overseen the destruction of U.S. foreign aid, and helped power Trump’s mass-deportation machine, disregarding human rights and basic decency in the process.
​  With Trump naming Rubio his acting National Security Adviser, a role made permanent last month, sources say Rubio has spent a great deal of his time at the White House, ensconced away from the State Department rank-and-file as he works alongside Trump’s inner circle.
​  As with the rest of Trump’s top cabinet officials, Rubio has been entirely subsumed by Stephen Miller, Trump’s nativist deputy chief of staff and top policy official, sources say.
​  Miller and Rubio have an amiable working relationship – in fact, relations between the former intra-GOP enemies are so chummy, and the duo are in such lockstep nowadays, that other Trump advisers tell Zeteo that they wonder how much of it is real and how much fake, put on for a “marriage of political convenience, more than anything else,” a former senior Trump administration official says. But, this ex-official adds, “those sorts of marriages sometimes work.” Largely, two sources familiar with the matter tell Zeteo, the “marriage” involves Rubio doing precisely what Miller tells him to do. Miller and Rubio talk frequently, their connection so tight it eclipses Miller’s relationships with nearly every other senior official.
​  The irony of this is not lost on senior staffers, least of all Miller, who has joked to confidants about how much he has subjugated a former nemesis, the two sources say.​ “Stephen does find it amusing that Marco now sees things the way Stephen does…”
​  The piece then goes on to detail how in 2016, Miller, then a staffer for Alabama Senator (and future US Attorney General) Jeff Sessions, set out to “destroy” Rubio over the Gang of Eight bill and in the 2016 primary planted Breitbart stories casting Rubio as someone who “legalized alien sex offenders.”
​  But now Rubio is fully on side:
Rubio is officially overseeing or complicit in some of Trump’s most egregious and consequential acts: the gutting of U.S. foreign and humanitarian aid; the kidnapping and attempted deportation of college students, often for speech related to Israel; the shipping of Venezuelan immigrants to El Salvador’s infamous torture prison, CECOT, without due process; the deputization of department security agents to assist ICE with its shadowy detention campaign; the expansion of third-party deportations, immigrants renditioned to dangerous countries to which they have no ties; the near-total shutdown of refugee admissions, other than for white South Africans; a visa ban targeting 75 countries; crippling sanctions against Cuba; the defense of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, and maintenance of support for Israel as it continues its genocide in Gaza, its strafing of Lebanon, and its unrelenting violence against Palestinians in the West Bank; the Pentagon-led murder of sailors in the Caribbean and eastern Pacific under the flag of stopping drug trafficking – all while he helps prop up Latin American leaders linked to drug trafficking.
​  A separate Zeteo piece on Miller says:
This is the creep dubbed (rightly so) America’s “prime minister,” by fellow Trumpland denizens.
Other people might have higher-ranking titles, but there is no traditional secretary of defense (or, “secretary of war,” as this administration likes to call it) in Trump’s second administration. There’s no independent Justice Department or U.S. attorney general. There is no secretary of state, and there certainly isn’t a Homeland Security secretary, as we’ve previously known it to be. There is just one gleefully authoritarian West Wing of the White House, which uses its cabinet members and agency chiefs as mere cutouts for Trump’s political whims and wants. But the man barking those marching orders – to Marco Rubio, Pete Hegseth, Todd Blanche, and Markwayne Mullin – is usually Miller. So vast is his reach that Trump administration officials call the 41-year-old aide America’s “shadow president,” among other nicknames.​   
https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2026/10/trump-regime-scandals-backstabbing-bessent-wiles-guilfoyle-grenell-habba-miller-rubio-zacharia.html

​  Obama On Zionist Settlers: “They took land off people …”
Former U.S. President Barack Obama recently received a honorary doctorate from the Queen’s University in Belfast. He gave a speech at the event with was reportedly attended by some 7,000 people.
​  There is however nothing mentioned about it in mainstream U.S. media. Nor am I able to I find a video or transcript of it. The search engines come up empty. The University itself has only a short writeup with two meaningless quotes.
​  The reasons for hiding or ostensibly ignoring the speech is found in its content.
​  From the local Belfast Telegraph, which seem to have the only decent writeup of the event:
Asked about the conflict between Israel and Palestine, Mr Obama said the hardening of attitudes in Israel after the October 7 atrocity meant a “genuine cessation” was required before longer-lasting solutions could be discussed.
​  “It should pain everybody. It’s a distillation of us being trapped in history and a tribal, elemental, unforgiving divide. It’s a sort of madness,” he said.
​  “The fact is that the Jewish people, for millennia, were oppressed, discriminated against, killed. Europe was responsible for much of it. They understandably sought a refuge.
​  “That is undeniable. What is also undeniable is that they took land off people and they were expelled. And those people understandably said, ‘This is injustice and I want my land back.’​ …
Some Israeli news outlets picked up on this. The Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahoo rejected Obama’s claims.
​  He asserted:​
.. that Jews were “in the land of our forefathers” and were not the obstacle to peace.
One wonders why Benjamin Mileikowski (aka Netanyahoo) is rejecting his Polish heritage.​   https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/10/obama-on-zionist-settlers-they-took-land-off-people.html

In Endorsement Message, Trump Says He Wants a Netanyahu-Led Israel To Help ‘Finish the Job’ Against Iran​   https://news.antiwar.com/2026/10/18/in-endorsement-message-trump-says-he-wants-a-netanyahu-led-israel-to-help-finish-the-job-against-iran/

Hegseth was reminded of how he fired a general who warned about a Patriot shortage.​   https://en.topwar.ru/291810-hegsetu-pripomnili-kak-on-uvolil-generala-preduprezhdavshego-o-nehvatke-patriot.html

​  No Regional Settlement without Lebanon: Iran Sets Out Conditions for Agreement
Iran insisted that any regional agreement must end Israel’s war on Lebanon, accusing Washington​ and Israel of violating commitments while pursuing diplomacy.
​  Key Takeaways​: Saeed Khatibzadeh said ending hostilities across all fronts, including Lebanon, remains a fundamental Iranian condition for a regional agreement.
​  He accused Washington and Israel of violating the Islamabad memorandum and said Iran remains willing to negotiate on the basis of mutual respect.
Khatibzadeh discussed a seven-day Hormuz reopening proposal and called for an immediate ceasefire and an end to the Saudi blockade on Yemen.​   https://www.palestinechronicle.com/no-regional-settlement-without-lebanon-iran-sets-out-conditions-for-agreement/

Hormuz Strait to be reopened if US accepts Iran’s conditions​   https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248682/Hormuz-Strait-to-be-opened-once-US-accepts-Iran-s-conditions

​  Fighting intensifies across Yemen as humanitarian crisis deepens
Clashes between Yemeni forces and Houthis cause casualties on both sides as aid agencies warn of a deepening human crisis.​   
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/18/fighting-intensifies-across-yemen-as-humanitarian-crisis-deepens

​  Saudi Airstrike on Civilian Home in Yemen Kills 10, Including Seven Children: Health Ministry
The Saudi bombing campaign is strongly supported by the US, which provides targeting intelligence and is refueling Saudi warplanes​ 
 The ministry said that another 23 people were wounded, including 12 children and 10 women. Yemen’s Al Masirah TV said the home belonged to a man named Ali al-Qahma and aired footage that shows Yemenis digging through the rubble of the home for survivors and shows some of the casualties, including children who were killed.
​  Health Ministry spokesman Anees al-Asbahi reported several other attacks on Sunday involving civilian casualties, including the killing of a woman and the injury of three other civilians in a Saudi airstrike in Yemen’s Ibb province.
​  https://news.antiwar.com/2026/10/18/saudi-airstrike-on-civilian-home-in-yemen-kills-10-including-seven-children-health-ministry/

​  Fuel tanker drivers suspend shipments to Shabwa over continued seizure of tankers
Dozens of Drivers of petroleum product tankers announced on Sunday that they would halt shipments bound for Shabwa province in an escalation over the continued detention of their tankers by Saudi-backed authorities at the Atiq Improvement checkpoint.​   https://en.ypagency.net/408935

Israeli Forces Kill Two Children in Gaza as IDF Continues Relentless Attacks​ - At least five Palestinians were killed by Israeli attacks on Sunday​   https://news.antiwar.com/2026/10/18/israeli-forces-kill-two-children-in-gaza-as-idf-continues-relentless-attacks/

​  World Food Programme to end aid for half a million in Gaza due to funding shortfall
The UN World Food Programme has warned that funding shortages will leave about 500,000 people in the Gaza Strip without critical food aid in a territory where two thirds of the population remains acutely food insecure. The WFP said it is reducing its monthly assistance from 1.6 million to 1.1 million people.​   
https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20261019-world-food-programme-to-end-aid-for-half-a-million-in-gaza-due-to-funding-shortfall

Gaza Buries 75 Recovered From Rubble as More than 8,000 Remain Missing​   https://www.palestinechronicle.com/gaza-buries-75-recovered-from-rubble-as-more-than-8000-remain-missing/

​  Israeli occupiers injure 2 Palestinians, attack ambulance in West Bank
Attacks also target Palestinian homes near Ramallah, Nablus and Hebron, with electricity cut to 2 houses
, official media reports​   
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/world/israeli-occupiers-injure-2-palestinians-attack-ambulance-in-west-bank/4092949

​  Israeli settlers attack European diplomats in West Bank amid surge in olive harvest violence
Masked Israeli settlers on Saturday attacked a convoy of European diplomats and officials attempting to reach Al-Taybeh village near Ramallah in the occupied West Bank in an escalation of recent violence during the Palestinian olive harvest.
​  The settlers hurled stones at the vehicles and smashed a window of a car belonging to the Belgian Consulate, the Palestinian news agency WAFA reported.
​  Video footage also showed a member of the delegation, identified by Israeli media as Bernard Baudoux, mayor of the French town of Aulnoye-Aymeries, lying on the ground​...
​..IDF condemned the incident, blamed convoy for uncoordinated visit​   https://www.arabnews.com/middle-east/israeli-settlers-attack-european-diplomats-in-west-bank-amid-surge-in-olive-harvest-violence-3006865

​  IDF Failed to Address Warnings Ahead of West Bank Settler Attack on European Diplomats
Messages warning of threats to the delegation reached the IDF hours before the attack
, but soldiers at a military operations room failed to recognize the sender's number and ignored the report​   
https://archive.is/qVaaz#selection-731.0-735.192

​  Palestine urges action after Israeli occupiers attack European diplomats in West Bank
French, Belgian consuls in delegation targeted near Ramallah; Israeli army radio says forces failed to respond for 3 hours​   
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/palestine-urges-action-after-israeli-occupiers-attack-european-diplomats-in-west-bank/4092324

40 Attacks in 12 Hours: Israeli Forces, Settlers Target West Bank Olive Harvest​   https://www.palestinechronicle.com/40-attacks-in-12-hours-israeli-forces-settlers-target-west-bank-olive-harvest/

​  I’m a journalist. Israel detained me for documenting the olive harvest in the West Bank.
Israel is detaining international observers for one simple reason: to prevent us from reporting on its ethnic cleansing project in Palestine.​   
https://mondoweiss.net/2026/10/im-a-journalist-israel-detained-me-for-documenting-the-olive-harvest-in-the-west-bank/

​  Beatings, Yellow Water, Surveillance: Palestinian Journalist Describes Isolation​   
Bushra al-Taweel, 33, reported repeated cell raids, beatings and gas attacks during approximately 50 days in isolation.
​  The Palestinian Prisoners Club said she faces inadequate food, clothing and hygiene, alongside health problems and constant camera surveillance.
Israeli authorities extended her administrative detention by four months, prompting calls for her release and urgent international intervention.​   
https://www.palestinechronicle.com/beatings-yellow-water-surveillance-palestinian-journalist-describes-isolation/

‘I Don’t Know Why I’m Here’: Palestinian Mother Pleads to Give Birth outside Prison​   https://www.palestinechronicle.com/i-dont-know-why-im-here-palestinian-mother-pleads-to-give-birth-outside-prison/

​  Washington Post denies Netanyahu’s claims on West Bank journalist attack
​  The​ Israeli PM said the facts surrounding the incident, recorded in a viral clip, “remain unclear”
“Our photographer was clearly marked as Press. She was clearly beaten,” says newspaper’s executive editor​  
​  Footage of the Friday incident involving veteran war reporter Heidi Levine, shared by the newspaper, shows masked Israeli settlers beating and kicking the journalist as she lies on the ground. On the day, about 80 masked Israelis stormed the Palestinian olive harvest in Abu Falah, burning olive trees and throwing rocks at locals, witnesses told Reuters.​   https://www.arabnews.com/media/washington-post-denies-netanyahus-claims-on-west-bank-journalist-attack-3006853

​  No arrests announced, 2 days after settlers’ assault on Washington Post photojournalist Levine
Rubio: Trump is not ‘a supporter of what he’s seeing now on television,’
says US has asked Israel to ‘crack down’ on extremist settler violence; relatives say Levine, who has lived in Israel since the 1980s, has covered war zones for decades and never faced such an attack​   
https://www.timesofisrael.com/no-arrests-yet-2-days-after-settlers-assault-on-washington-post-photojournalist-levine/

Gaza Faces Winter With Shelter Supplies Covering Just 17% of Needs​   https://www.palestinechronicle.com/gaza-faces-winter-with-shelter-supplies-covering-just-17-of-needs/

​  European Council warns companies not to finance Israel's E1 West Bank settlement construction
The body that sets the EU's political direction says companies could face 'legal, economic and reputational consequences'​   
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/european-council-warns-companies-not-finance-israels-e1-west-bank-settlement-construction

​  Child Misk al-Dalu Killed as Israeli Gunfire Hits Gaza Displacement Tents
A heartbreaking farewell to slain Palestinian girl Misk Hazem al-Dalu, who was killed this morning after Israeli forces opened fire on tents sheltering displaced Palestinians in al-Maghazi refugee camp in the central Gaza Strip.​   https://www.palestinechronicle.com/child-misk-al-dalu-killed-as-israeli-gunfire-hits-gaza-displacement-tents/

​  Rooney Has UK Bookstores Scrambling to See If They’re Breaking Terrorism Law by Selling Her Books
Anti-Israel author says her books can no longer be sold in UK because she helps finance the banned terror group Palestine Action​   
https://www.globalresearch.ca/rooney-uk-bookstores-scrambling-breaking-terrorism-law-selling-her-books/5944034

Amid heavy drone activity over Damascus and Daraa | Israeli forces carry out five incursions in Daraa and Al-Quneitra in hours​   https://www.syriahr.com/en/386783/

​  Vanessa Beeley, Lebanese sovereignty is trampled on by Washington and Tel Aviv with the apparent agreement of the state.
President Aoun is directed by Marco Rubio to deprive the Resistance of the means to defend the south from Zionist occupation and ethnic cleansing​   https://beeley.substack.com/p/lebanese-sovereignty-is-trampled

​  In Southern Lebanon, Israeli Troops Strictly Limit Olive Harvest, Expel Workers​ - IDF tries to limit workers to a single day of harvest, insists no UNIFIL can be present​    https://news.antiwar.com/2026/10/18/in-southern-lebanon-israeli-troops-strictly-limit-olive-harvest-expel-workers/

​  Simplicius describes NATO-originated attack: Bombshell: Lithuanian Defense Minister Reveals Ukrainian Drones Used in St. Petersburg Attack Came From Polish Airspace   https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/bombshell-lithuanian-defense-minister

  I stood outside in line for 45 minutes yesterday to vote early, mostly Libertarian, avoiding candidates who had supported vaccine mandates, and those that support Israeli genocide, which narrowed it down a lot. Texas Early Voting Breaks County Records in Warning Sign to Republicans   https://www.newsweek.com/texas-early-voting-breaks-county-records-warning-paxton-talarico-abbott-hinojosa-12592173

Caitlin Johnstone runs the numbers: Anthropic Would Kill 50 Humans To Roll Out The Next AI Model   https://www.caitlinjohnst.one/p/anthropic-would-kill-50-humans-to

Paul Marik MD gives perspective:  Exercise Before or After Eating?​  A simple, practical guide   https://paulmarik.substack.com/p/exercise-before-or-after-eating

After he worked to bury the evidence... Fauci Diary Entry Complains Trump Pushed Lab-Leak Theory 'With No Evidence'   https://www.westernjournal.com/fauci-diary-entry-complains-trump-pushed-lab-leak-theory-no-evidence/

​  COVID Vaccines Triggered Psychiatric Disorders, Including Suicides
Thousands of people reported mental health challenges — including at least two suicides and three attempted suicides — to V-safe after receiving COVID-19 vaccines
during the pandemic. Multiple studies support a link between the vaccines and mental health issues, including psychosis, depression, anxiety and insomnia.​   
https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/covid-vaccines-triggered-psychiatric-disorders-including-suicides-mental-health-issues/

​  ‘The Whole Propaganda Just Stinks’: HPV Vaccine Doesn’t Prevent Cancer, Scientist Says
Vaccine scientist Lucija Tomljenović, Ph.D.
, told Children’s Health Defense CEO Mary Holland that Gardasil doesn’t offer meaningful protection beyond regular cervical cancer screening and that its risks “clearly outweigh” its benefits. She also questioned evidence suggesting that the vaccine prevents cervical cancer and raised concerns about links to POTS, chronic fatigue syndrome and other conditions.​   
https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/hpv-vaccine-merck-gardasil-does-not-prevent-cancer-scientist-propaganda/

​  Russian Climate Physicist, Anastassia Makarieva, Why Does It Rain?​ Asking Timeless Questions in Turbulent Times Has Meaning
 It is a strange feeling to be working, fully absorbed and motivated, on such things as rain and wind while the world grows increasingly unstable and captures our attention in bizarre ways, day after day. Maybe I should be doing something else, like reviving my knitting skills, to prepare to survive the social disintegration that is already discernible further down the pipeline.
​  Yet my favorite line of thinking is that when a system is at a critical point, even the smallest action can, with luck, have the greatest impact on its future. Therefore, investing most of our resources now in changing the worldview by even a tiny bit can be the most worthwhile investment for society as a whole, even if it means forgoing an unquantified improvement in my individual chances of survival in the not-so-distant future. That’s why, for now, I’m largely preparing myself psychologically for upcoming disruptions, while my knitting will have to wait a little longer.
​  In this positive context, let me share with you something very interesting about rain, something I bet most readers have never thought about.​..
​..This scheme illustrates possible paths: as our global civilization becomes less centralized, it could retain very different amounts of its accumulated knowledge. The Seneca Cliff promises a bad scenario: losing it much more quickly than it has been acquired. Yet even going below the historical curve (the solid one) we may not disintegrate fully down to hunter-gatherer tribes, nor should we necessarily lose all knowledge. Even if the Y-axis is logarithmic, some knowledge that we have recently accumulated can remain.
​  There are two questions: What knowledge can be preserved? And what knowledge will actually be needed by a civilization that has managed to stick to the rock and avoid falling all the way down the Seneca Cliff?​...
​..Knowledge written down is not necessarily knowledge preserved: somebody must still understand it, use it and pass it on. Since the carrying capacity of a population is limited, decisions must continually be made, from generation to generation, about what information to retain and what to discard.​
​  In a physiologically stressed population, the information that will be retained is related to easing living conditions.​ The following quotations are from What Can We Learn from Natural Ecosystems to Avoid a Civilization Breakdown? (2016), which I was privileged to co-author with Professors Victor Gorshkov and Peter Wilderer.
​  In animal populations in the course of competitive interaction the least competitive individuals are forced outside the species range where they cannot live normally (they either die or survive but do not leave progeny). Individuals of Homo sapiens forced out of the natural environment where our species came to existence did not perish but were able to spread all over the world owing to the accumulated cultural knowledge.
​  However, human existence outside the natural species-specific environment is associated with excessive physical exercise and emotional stress. When humans colonized high latitudes with their low biological productivity and unfavorable temperature regime they had to exert more physical efforts to obtain food and maintain optimal temperature in their homes. Ecosystem productivity in the tropical zone is about three-four times higher than the productivity in the temperate and boreal zones where the modern technological progress was born. This gives an idea of the very significant amount of overworking that Homo sapiens individuals had to experience outside their natural ecosystem. This genetically encoded dissatisfaction with the unfavorable environment determined the direction of the technological progress, of which there was no need in human populations remaining in their optimal environments in the tropics.
​  In other words, science is generating verifiable knowledge about the world, while society selects from what it generates what it considers useful. So far, largely, the achievements of science were judged by their ability to enhance human transformation of the biosphere because, as noted above, the untouched biosphere is an unsuitable place for most humans to live.
  In an imaginable new global civilization concerned, like most of life, more with persistence than with growth, the necessary knowledge will be about how to organize ourselves and fit into the biosphere without disturbing its functioning. These priorities are diametrically opposed to those by which knowledge has been judged so far. 
​  Knowledge about our environment will have to be preserved during the transition as part of the essential knowledge kit we take along to the next stage. By talking about rain, trees and soil, sharing what we know and filling the information space with these concepts, we help change these priorities and give ourselves a better chance of a less chaotic future.​   https://bioticregulation.substack.com/p/why-does-it-rain

​Technological Relativist (took this picture of Jenny with figs)