Missing The Party,
All the Iranian negotiators in 2025 were killed — this was more than a clear hint from the Israeli-American alliance. Iran has no choice, it will have to fight. And since it has nothing to lose, it’s better to raise the stakes to the limit and turn the war into an all-out one, using every available means.
Yes, there will be heavy losses, and there will be a risk of the Americans using nuclear weapons. But surrender will also mean losses and death, only later and in installments. Iran has nothing to lose anyway. And soon we will see whether Iran is ready to fight for real. https://johnhelmer.net/the-
This prompted a US warning in response, given US forces are also in the region - but quite a bit further away. On Iran's two-day live-fire naval exercise, US Central Command (CENTCOM) said it will not tolerate any unsafe behavior which threats US forces, and somewhat awkwardly called on IRGC forces to operate professionally...
China and Russia have just sent a big, resounding message to Washington in dispatching their own naval assets which have been sailing near Iranian vessels over the last several days - though this appeared for a prior, pre-planned joint drill.
According to the details of this prior joint exercise:
Ahead of the exercises, Iran issued a Notice to Airmen (NOTAM), warning of live-fire military activity in the airspace surrounding the Strait of Hormuz.
According to the notice, military firing activity was conducted between January 27 and 29 within a five-nautical-mile radius. The airspace—from ground level up to 25,000 feet—was designated as restricted and hazardous throughout the duration of the maneuvers.
In parallel, the three countries just deepened trilateral ties:
In a dramatic geopolitical development... Iran, China and Russia formally signed a comprehensive strategic pact, marking one of the most consequential shifts in 21st-century international relations. While the full text of the agreement is being released in stages by the three governments, state media in Tehran, Beijing and Moscow have acknowledged the ceremony and described it as a cornerstone for a new multipolar order.
The pact comes against the backdrop of decades of growing cooperation between these three states. Iran and Russia earlier concluded a 20-year Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Treaty designed to deepen economic, political, and defense ties, and to blunt the impact of Western sanctions — a treaty that was signed in January 2025 and entered into force last year...
Israeli officials said Tel Aviv prefers that the US attack Iran, warning that refraining from such action would have "consequences." https://www.trtworld.com/
U.S. President Donald Trump made a big mistake when he threatened war on Iran. He was doing that to get concessions from Iran which the country is unable to make...
Saudi Defense Minister Prince Khalid bin Salman (KBS) said in a private briefing on Friday in Washington that if President Trump doesn’t follow through on his threats against Iran, the regime will end up stronger, four sources in the room tell Axios.…
“ At this point, if this doesn’t happen, it will only embolden the regime,” KBS said, according to the sources in the room.…
In a separate briefing on Friday, a Gulf official said the region was “stuck” in a position where the U.S. striking Iran risked “bad outcomes,” but not doing so would mean “Iran will come out of this stronger.” Prince Khalid bin Salman has a realist’s view and is right with this analysis.
The Axios reporter though, Barak Ravid, – well known to be a Zionist asset -, is trying to turn that realist view KBS uttered into a Saudi argument for bombing Iran:
Why it matters: This is a reversal from the public Saudi talking points cautioning against escalation and from the deep concern Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) expressed to Trump three weeks ago. That warning was one reason Trump decided to delay a strike.
No. The analysis KBS gave is not a reversal of the Saudi position. The Saudis are still cautioning against escalation. What KBS did there was to simply point out the calamity Trump has placed himself into.
To interpret that statement as a Saudi argument for an attack on Iran is a willful distortion of what was said. It is a typical primitive attempt by a Zionist ideologue to ‘create a reality’ that does not exist. https://www.moonofalabama.
But it may turn out that the window for Israel and the US to subdue Iran has passed, permanently. The US is not what it once was, militarily, while Iran has survived the US attacks and is getting more help from Russia and even China. Despite determined efforts by Zionist billionaires, the US public is turning ever-more against supporting Israel in funding costs alone, let alone actual expenditure of lives. As we have long said, this was a generational problem for Israel, since younger Jews in the US don’t identify much with Israel. Greg Stoker, who is in deep red Texas and warned loudly and clearly that he does not likely citing personal anecdata, nevertheless pointed out that he’s seen a pronounced shift against Trump. Among other things, Texans understand that the Venezuela crude is of little value to the US oil industry and will mainly be shipped to the Middle East. So he sees even generally foreign-policy-indifferent conservatives turning against Trump’s warmongering.
Israel can be expected to do the obvious, which is to continue to engage in what is too politely called asymmetric warfare or more accurately called terrorism, both to try to destabilize Iran and to preserve credibility among the warmongers in the Beltway. How far that gets in the next few months will be an indicator of how much Iran has been able to ferret out and destroy Mossad networks in Iran after its 12 Day War decapitation attacks and its recent protest escalations.
Trump is admittedly becoming more and more erratic every day. He might wind up concluding he has too much manhood at stake to back down now or any time very soon with Iran. But as you can see, he has manu many reasons to try to find a way to retreat, even if he tells himself it is only temporary. https://www.nakedcapitalism.
The weekend has passed without a U.S. attack on Iran.
Trump would have probably liked to strike if there had been a decent chance of a short, successful war. But there was and is none. Iran would retaliate sharply for any attack and set the region on fire.
An early sharp strike would have been Trump’s best chance of success. The longer he is deterred from a strike the smaller the likelihood that any attack will occur at all...
In the U.S. Trump is under pressure. His ratings are sinking. The brutal enforcement of immigration laws continues to erode his support. Over the weekend the Republicans lost a state Senate seat to Democrats in a formerly deep red district:
While Republicans including Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick had been sounding alarms about the North Texas race being too close for comfort in recent weeks, the 31-point-swing leftward was a surprise across the board. The loss is a “wake-up call for Republicans across Texas,” Patrick wrote on social media after the face. “Our voters cannot take anything for granted.”
It is a bad sign for Republicans hoping to maintain a Senate majority and an already-slim majority in the House, said Jason Villalba, a former GOP state lawmaker who now leads the Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation, a research group.
“Whatever inroads the GOP was making recently among Latinos in Texas has begun to really revert back to what it was originally,” he said, pointing to Saturday’s shifts in Texas precincts with large Hispanic populations. “That will have implications around Texas and around the country.”
Trump needs a victory. A war on Iran is unlikely to bring one. A new agreement that can be claimed to curb Iran’s non- existent nuclear weapons can be sold as one. For now Trump seems to have decided to try that route. https://www.moonofalabama.
Journalists Rafaela Cortez and Ricardo Esteves Ribeiro embedded with Palestinians during the 2025 West Bank olive harvest. They witnessed terrible violence and oppression, including the killing of a 13-year-old boy, but also inspiring resistance. https://mondoweiss.net/2026/
The plans for Donald Trump’s “Board of Peace” show that the goal is not just to make Gaza a playground for the wealthy, but to put it under permanent American occupation. https://mondoweiss.net/2026/
Petraeus, who was a major proponent of biometric gated communities in counterinsurgency, now works for KKR whose portfolio includes companies that have technology and defense interests in Gaza. https://www.dropsitenews.com/
Potential sales include AH-64E Apache Helicopters, Joint Light Tactical Vehicle, related equipment https://www.aa.com.tr/en/
The weeklong moratorium is to last until February 1 and is meant to “create favorable conditions for negotiations,” Peskov told journalists on Friday. He declined to offer additional details about the arrangement, including whether Kiev made any commitments for reciprocity.
Zelensky had previously said he would hold to the truce if Russia does, though some OSINT analysts had already noted that Ukrainian drone strikes on Russia had disappeared in the past day or two, while Russia had only been launching a few minor Geran attacks, presumably at non-energy-related infrastructure for several days.
But what’s interesting is Peskov said that the “week long” truce would end on February 1st, which appears to mean that the ceasefire had already been in effect all week. https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-13026-putin-flatters-trump
That’s not to say Ukraine will surrender as soon as the grid totally collapses—other countries have survived far longer on far less in wartime. But it simply does not bode well, particularly for Zelensky’s regime. And there is now talk that the power shortages are starting to acutely affect even the military’s needs at the front, particularly given fuel shortages due to inordinate requirements for keeping civilian generators going; not to mention the disruption of railways for supply and logistics, etc.
Also, it should be mentioned that Trump’s urgent begging of Putin for the energy ceasefire can now be understood in a new light. The timing makes it highly plausible that intelligence informed Trump that Ukraine’s situation was nearing the brink and an immediate “intervention” was necessary to prevent total national shut down. Either that, or Zelensky himself simply called and begged Trump for this favor for the same reason. https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/ukraine-suffers-unprecedented-nationwide
The New START is the last remaining nuclear arms control treaty between the US and Russia and is set to expire this week
Putin has offered that the US and Russia maintain the limits for another year to allow time for diplomacy to negotiate a replacement. So far, Trump hasn’t agreed to the proposal.
The poll, commissioned by ReThink Media and the Nuclear Threat Initiative, found that 87% of registered voters, including 86% of Republicans, believe the US should accept Russia’s offer. Even more respondents, 91%, agreed that the US should negotiate a new deal with Russia to maintain current nuclear limits or further reduce both countries’ nuclear weapons. https://news.antiwar.com/2026/02/01/poll-vast-majority-of-americans-want-trump-to-accept-putins-offer-on-new-start-treaty/
The Mexican president stressed the need for dialogue between the U.S. and Mexico in order to address a deepening humanitarian crisis in Cuba as the geopolitical rift deepens. https://courthousenews.com/sheinbaum-vows-solidarity-with-cuba-while-respecting-trump-oil-threats/
China and India have to regularly shift their oil purchases due to US sanctions on major crude exporters https://thecradle.co/articles/chinese-oil-firms-turn-to-iran-to-replace-venezuelan-crude#google_vignette
Emails and Documents In The Epstein Files Give Further Evidence Of His Mossad Connections. https://the307.substack.com/p/epstein-files-give-more-evidence
"We've had another serious incident since an American shot the trial judge in our child sex trafficking case here."
Sexual & ritualistic abuse involving the worlds most powerful people has been a common theme from accusers for multiple decades. Here we take a look at another example from the recent Epstein files. https://www.thepulse.one/p/epstein-accuser-implicates-george
The DOJ took down those files 20 minutes later, but not until some people archived them. https://mishtalk.com/economics/major-oops-by-doj-unredacted-epstein-files-show-trump-is-a-pedophile/
The statement was apparent confirmation that the Department of Justice would leave millions of files unreleased. https://www.notus.org/trump-white-house/trumps-deputy-ag-todd-blanche-epstein-document-review-photo-video-over
We’re not dependent on what anyone – the authorities, orthodox economists, propagandists, wild optimists or prophets of doom – tries to tell us...
One of these is that the material economy can be reinvigorated using monetary tools. But this isn’t how the relationship between the financial and the physical actually works. We can, indeed, create almost limitless amounts of monetary claims, but energy and other resources can’t be lent into existence by the banking system, or conjured out of the ether by central bankers.
Together the principles of two economies and of money as claim make it apparent that there needs to be a state of equilibrium between the monetary economy and its material counterpart. If we allow the monetary to out-grow the material, we set up forces tending towards the restoration of equilibrium.
What this means is that “excess claims” must, in one way or another, be eliminated. Under conditions of comparatively modest disequilibrium, the erosion of claims through inflation can suffice to meet this need for the elimination of excess claims.
Beyond sheer scale, though, the big difference between the previous GFC and the looming “GFC II” sequel is that, this time, it’s not the banking system, but money itself, that will be in the eye of the storm.
Starting in the 1990s, we put banking at hazard in order to pursue the dream of infinite economic expansion on a finite planet. This time, we’ve gambled with the credibility, and hence the viability, of money itself. https://surplusenergyeconomics.wordpress.com/2026/01/30/318-the-surplus-energy-economy-part-one/
Chicago bank failure: Metropolitan Capital Bank & Trust shut down by Illinois regulators on Friday, first US bank failure of 2026 - Silver Santa. Cited unsafe conditions and weak capital. My confidence: HIGH
Epstein files release: Unsealed documents linking Trump and Kevin Warsh (new Fed chair) to Epstein network, released same day as metals crash https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-02-01
JPM closed 3.17M oz of silver shorts exactly at Friday’s crash low ($78.29)
Issued ALL 633 of Friday’s delivery notices at that settlement price
Silver started rebounding immediately after JPM closed shorts
Silver Santa: JPM closed shorts right at OPEX end-of-month expiries, avoiding billion dollar losses
JPM no longer short - no reason to suppress price further Confidence: HIGH (COMEX delivery data, timing correlation)
Ann Vandersteel: CME dropped circuit breaker designed to stop trading at 10% moves
Claimed they “fixed” the breaker Monday morning when markets don’t trade weekends https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-02-02
Friday wasn’t “just” a price crash. It was a credibility implosion. And Monday’s calm is the market equivalent of standing in a house with cracks spreading through the foundation saying “looks solid to me”...
They’re systematically attacking every paper silver vehicle to drain the physical metal backing them...
The question isn’t whether they’re going after physical. They’re already doing it. The question is: where is all that physical going? Who needs it badly enough to engineer a 40% crash to shake it free?
And who has historically been the largest accumulator of physical precious metals when Western markets panic? China.
The two federal immigration agents who fired on Minneapolis protester Alex Pretti are identified in government records as Border Patrol agent Jesus Ochoa and Customs and Border Protection officer Raymundo Gutierrez. https://www.propublica.org/article/alex-pretti-shooting-cbp-agents-identified-jesus-ochoa-raymundo-gutierrez?
SCOOP: A repurposed Navy contract to funnel tens of billions to ICE for a nationwide "ghost network” of concentration camps—just got a lot bigger. https://migrantinsider.com/p/how-the-pentagon-is-quietly-building
With ballots tallied from all but a handful of voting centers, Rehmet had 57% of the vote, besting the 43% for his GOP opponent, Leigh Wambsganss, who had a massive spending advantage. https://www.texastribune.org/2026/01/30/texas-senate-district-9-runoff-rehmet-wambsganss-special-election/
Three attempts were made to implement Maine’s constitutional protection of food rights, but bipartisan cooperation and grassroots organizing got the job done. Now other states are following Maine’s lead." https://www.themahareport.com/p/maine-leads-the-way-in-bipartisan
Iowa legislators are considering a bill that would require medical examiners to document recent immunizations on the death certificates of children who died from unknown causes. The bill is one of several similar pieces of legislation being weighed in states across the country. https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/iowa-bill-require-medical-examiners-include-vaccine-records-infant-death-investigations/
Nine new members have joined the Interagency Autism Coordinating Committee, which provides “advice and recommendations” on autism to U.S. Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. John Gilmore, executive director of the Autism Action Network, said he and the other new members “are picking up the pieces following a generation of profound failure.” https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/new-advisers-rfk-jr-seek-answers-interagency-autism-coordinating-committee/
Experts who analyzed two Cochrane reviews on HPV vaccines suggested the authors dramatically overstated the safety and efficacy of the shots. Media outlets parroted claims made in a Cochrane press release, without subjecting the claims to scrutiny. https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/scientists-accuse-cochrane-reviews-biased-studies-hpv-vaccine-prevents-cancer/
California is auditing 428 schools with “low” vaccination rates amid declining vaccination levels for kindergarteners and a rise in measles cases that health officials blamed on the unvaccinated, EdSource reported today. School districts with a vaccination rate of less than 95% are at risk of losing average daily attendance funding from the state. https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/california-threatens-funding-schools-low-vaccination-rates/

