Wednesday, May 6, 2026

The Latest Emergencies

 Monitoring Events,


  Global economy, primarily powered by oil, coal and natural gas, is being choked and is using up its reserves of oil and natural gas. Soon it will be forced to halt uses of oil and gas which are less vital. What is cut will be decided lobally through finance and politics. Fertilizer, and diesel fuel for tractors, harvesters and water pumps, drive modern agricultural production, which will be much reduced this year, with food shortages expected next year for staples of grains and legumes.
  Market economics is likely to become politically untenable in cases where it declares that the poorer half of a society will just starve if it can't afford rice. Command economics can be expected to take over, which is commonly the case during wars. Wars provide the public rationale for extreme economic measures and command economy more often than we might realize. To ruling elites, wars are a tool of control over societies, which maintain the ruling power structure and protect it from displeased citizens.
  It is my opinion that the war between US/Israel and Iran, mostly blocking the Strait of Hormuz, is a reaction to the rollover in global production of cheap oil + natural gas liquids, and puts a control lever in the hands of various elites. The ownership of that lever is contested. Several elite groups can turn the valve off,but only an agreement between those groups can open the valve and let the oil, gas, helium and fertilizer through to Afriva, Africa, Europe and South America. 
  Most of the nations in these regions will have increasingly severe hardships while the valve remains closed, with industrial collapse and famine included. The correction to these disruptions will be delayed by months, due to shipping logistics, partial, due to bomb damage to shipping and refining facilities, and largely enduring. The oil-shocks of the 1970s led to a lot of changes in engineering priorities for automobiles, building insulation and public transportation. Many of those changes remain in place, especially in legal and regulatory statutes.
  Adapt early. If you already adapted in 1973 this miight be easier for you. The move to make all transactions digital and intermediated by AI that serves our shadowy puppet-masters in their distant castles will not be made easier. I like to spend cash and write checks for now, but that is not their plan for us.

  Surplus Energy Economics, They first make mad​ - STRESS & GRIEF AT THE END OF GROWTH 
Economic growth is generally understood as a process that delivers a material betterment of living standards over time.
​  But growth has two other virtues, neither of which has hitherto attracted as much attention as they deserve. Both will be a sore loss now that meaningful growth has ended (and even its faked simulacrum can’t be maintained for much longer),
​  First, economic growth can rescue us from the consequences of our own mistakes or misfortunes.​..
​..These curative properties of growth also apply, though, to businesses and individuals. Governments, too, can grow their economies out of fiscal failures.
Growth, that’s to say, gives us hope. It’s associated with economic regeneration – we might even say ‘redemption’ – as well as with betterment, making it very important indeed from the point of view of collective psychology and expectation.​..
..The second great virtue of growth is that it can allow some to prosper without inflicting worsening hardship on others.​..
..Now that growth has ended, then, we face two fundamental shocks. The first is that we will have to own the consequences of our mistakes, and can no longer rely on economic expansion curing our ills.
​  Second, minorities will only be able to maintain or expand their wealth at the expense of majorities. This in itself is a massive political shift...
​..Should we, then, be starting to think in terms of a post-growth derangement syndrome combining the destabilizing characteristics of grief and shock?​ If we look at the world from a perspective of determined objectivity, it’s hard to avoid the impression that collective rationality has been breaking down.​ ..Some of us have been prepared to go further, noting that economic expansion has been in the process of reversing into contraction.
​  Yet society seems to be in the early – the denial and anger – stages of grieving over the loss of economic growth. Perhaps, more specifically, denial has become deeply entrenched, and anger is now starting to make its presence felt.​..
..Problems with “the cost of living”, for example, are visible wherever we look, yet this is still described as a “crisis”, implying some purely temporary phenomenon that wisdom or simply the passage of time will resolve.
​  This delusion is reinforced by an episodic narrative which blames worsening hardship and insecurity on the ‘bad luck’ of experiencing, in quick succession, a pandemic, a war in Eastern Europe and, now, a conflict in the Persian Gulf.​...
​..Meanwhile, the basis of economic value has been shifting, away from all forms of income and towards capital gains. The latter are, by definition, incapable of monetisation at the aggregate level. Obviously enough, the only people to whom the entirety of real estate, stocks and any other financial asset class could ever be sold are the same people to whom they already belong.​..American stock markets have reached new highs, despite the fact that closure of the Straits of Hormuz has already inflicted enough material damage to ensure, at the very least, a pronounced economic hit.​..
​..What “demand destruction” actually means is that a price is reached at which consumers opt to do without oil rather than chasing its price to ever-greater heights.
​  Given the profound material consequences of petroleum deprivation, a reduction in the demand-destruction price-point can only mean that consumers – and hence the economy – are poorer than was previously the case.​..
..Meanwhile, the Energy Cost of Energy has been rising relentlessly. ECoE is defined as “that proportion of energy which, being consumed in the energy access process, is not available for any other economic purpose”...
..The real costs of ​a person’s energy-intensive essentials could rise by more than 70% over the coming quarter-century.
In effect, discretionary (non-essential) affordability gets crushed.
​  None of this is all that difficult to anticipate, but even its early stages are proving remarkably hard to process collectively.
​  Denial, thus far, has taken the forms of runaway monetary claim expansion, and a willingness to accept all technological change as “progress”, even where, as Charles Hugh Smith has explained, it often actually constitutes anti-progress.
​  It’s not as though it’s even hard to predict that the undue faith invested in the false deities of limitless monetary stimulus and infinite technological possibility are likely to fail together, in an event at which the credibility both of money and of technology form a combined crisis.
​  In other words, we should anticipate a conjunction of technological disillusionment and a collapse of trust in money.​   
https://surplusenergyeconomics.wordpress.com/2026/05/05/323-they-first-make-mad/comment-page-1/#respond

​  Larry Johnson, The Bogus Blockade Claim of the US Department of War
Blockades are acts of war requiring effective enforcement (impartial, declared, and maintained by force). Violators (enemy or neutral ships breaching or attempting to breach) are subject to capture
​  Now that you understand the procedure, let’s look at the US Navy’s constraints. As I discussed in my last article, the US Navy is keeping its ships 200 miles off the coast of Iran. If the venture any closer to shore they are vulnerable to missile and drone attacks. The Iranian ships — when they leave port — normally stay within 50 miles of the Iranian coast, which means they are outside the reach of the US Navy.
​  Next, let’s look at the current US Navy order of battle (this is based on publicly available information). As of late April 2026, the US Navy has at least 14 actively operating or supporting in the broader region (Gulf of Oman, Arabian Sea, and relevant Indian Ocean areas). This includes three Carrier Strike Groups (CSGs); at least eight multiple guided-missile destroyers; six ships attached to the Amphibious Ready Groups (ARG) for the 31st and 11th MEUs, and two additional escorts (not part of the core ARG but often operate with it): the Cruiser USS Robert Smalls (CG-62) and the destroyer USS Rafael Peralta (DDG-115), forming a broader Expeditionary Strike Group. In other words, the US Navy only as 11 ships that could be used in a VBSS operation.
​  Do you see the math problem? The current US deployment means that the US Navy could do VBSS operations on 11 vessels… Tops! But that would mean that US destroyers, which have the mission of protecting the US carriers from air attacks, would have to be pulled off of their primary mission leaving the carriers to fend for themselves.​   
https://sonar21.com/the-bogus-blockade-claim-of-the-us-department-of-war/

​  Gold &  Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-05-06
Project Freedom collapses in under 48 hours. Trump announced suspension of the Hormuz kinetic operation on May 5, citing "great progress" toward a deal with Iran via Pakistani mediation. The blockade remains in full force...
..UAE hit by second Iranian barrage in 24 hours. Air defenses actively engaging missiles and drones. NOTAM issued closing Emirates FIR partially until May 11. Iran categorically denies targeting the UAE, alleging the US was responsible — despite Iranian state-affiliated sources having warned the UAE hours before the May 4 strike. CNN reports an Israeli Iron Dome system was used in UAE interceptions — the Abraham Accords' first publicly reported kinetic operation...
..Iran FM Araghchi lands in Beijing for talks with Wang Yi, eight days before Trump arrives for the May 14 summit. China simultaneously issued its first-ever blocking statute against US sanctions on five Chinese refineries...
..UK gilt yields hit generational highs. 30-year yield surged to 5.79%, highest since 199810-year above 5.10%highest since the GFC...
..Global oil reserves plunging at record pace. FT reports stockpiles fell ~200M barrels (6.6M bpd) even as demand collapsed ~5M bpd. S&P Global says even after Hormuz reopens, 7 months minimum to restore production, with the energy crisis potentially stretching into 2027...
​..Hormuz architecture: the permit system replaces the blockade​ - Iran's new "Administration for the Strait of Hormuz" requires prior permits and electronic instructions before transit — a permanent governance system, not a wartime improvisation
​  IRGC broadcast over VHF: no vessel permitted to transit without permission; any vessel attempting passage "will be destroyed"
Only cargo ship visible in the strait: Iranian​...
​..USAF tanker emergencies — two 7700 squawks in one day
KC-135R squawked 7700 emergency over the Persian Gulf, signal lost before confirmed landing — unclear if crashed
​  A second tanker, KC-46A, also squawked 7700 the same day
Both were replaced by aircraft from Ramstein sent to Tel Aviv — suggesting operational losses​...
​..AI job displacement goes operational​ - Coinbase cuts 693 employees (14%) — AI agents write 50%+ of code, resolve 60% of support tickets. Armstrong: target state is "rebuilding Coinbase as an intelligence, with humans around the edge"
​  Anthropic launches 10 agent templates for financial services; FIS built a Financial Crimes Agent compressing AML investigations from days to minutes
​  Goldman Sachs research shows AI displacing 16,000 US jobs/month. Goldman then invested in the $1.5B JV with Anthropic, Blackstone, and Hellman & Friedman to deploy the very tools doing the displacing​...
​..Markets at record highs while internals rot​ - S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 all hit new all-time highs on the same day
Warren Buffett sitting on $400B cash
, largest pile in corporate history: "We've never had people in a more gambling mood than now"
​  Buffett Indicator hit 227%, surpassing dot-com bubble and GFC
LEI/CEI ratio at 0.84, matching the 2008 GFC low — this level has never occurred outside a recession​   
https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-05-06

​  Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-05-05
Iran-US ceasefire collapsing in Strait of Hormuz: Iran struck UAE's Fujairah oil facility with missiles/drones/cruise missiles (19 weapons total, 3 injured), hit an ADNOC tanker, fired on US patrol boats near Jask, and launched sustained attacks against USS Truxtun and USS Mason during their transit...
..US Treasury yield curve blew up simultaneously across maturities: Violent spikes hit the 2yr, 5yr, 20yr, and 30yr at the exact same moment — three times in succession. 30Y yield topped 5.01% for first time since July. Country-level selling profile...
..China issues first-ever blocking statute against US sanctions: MOFCOM invoked 2021 blocking rules to protect 5 Chinese refineries sanctioned for buying Iranian crude. Chinese companies legally ordered to ignore US designations...
..USAF KC-135R tanker squawking 7700 emergency over Persian Gulf: Signal lost before reaching Qatar. No confirmation of landing or crash. Possible shootdown or technical failure...
**Russia threatens massive missile strike on central Kiev if Ukraine attacks May 9 parade: MoD statement explicitly warns civilian population and foreign diplomatic missions to evacuate.**
​..IRGC broadcast over VHF that any vessel will be "targeted and destroyed" without permission
Iran published new control zone maps extending from Qeshm Island to Umm Al Quwain in UAE
​..Fujairah oil terminal (the Hormuz bypass route) on fire after Iranian strikes
UAE partially closed airspace May 4-11​...
​..UAE left OPEC on May 1
. Iran struck 72 hours later
​  Iranian military official denied targeting UAE, alleged US was responsible — information warfare...​  
​..Maersk confirmed a US-flagged vehicle carrier transited safely under Navy escort — first successful challenge to Iran's enforcement
CENTCOM claims helicopters destroyed 6 Iranian fast boats. Iran denies, says US killed 5 civilians on cargo boats
​  US Navy officially calls the Strait mined — "extremely hazardous"​...
​..Vessel traffic remains at a trickle; majority using Iranian-approved routes, not Project Freedom corridor​...
..Iran blockade timeline longer than expected: Detailed analysis puts Iran's remaining storage + tanker capacity + output reduction at 69-83+ days, well past Trump's "2 weeks" claim...
​..Trump-Xi Summit: Asymmetric Leverage​ - Four C-17s prepositioned in Beijing with presidential logistics — while China issues blocking orders against Trump's sanctions
​  China controls ~90% of rare earth supply chain, 80-90% of Iran's crude exports
, 37.7% of Hormuz throughput
Per shanaka86: "This is not a summit. This is a transactional audit of who actually holds which leverage in which chokepoint"​   
https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-05-05

​  Moon of Alabama,  War On Iran: – “Project Freedom” A One-Off Stunt – Tightening UAE Blockade – China Counters U.S. Sanctions
On Sunday night at around 20:35 UTC President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. Navy would help ships in the Persian Gulf to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.​..
​..Mercogliano explains that the U.S. most likely put Navy reserve officer onto those ships. They were equipped with secure communication equipment which allowed to coordinate the moves. On their way out of the Persian Gulf the two ship most likely hugged the Omani coast at the south side of the Gulf of Hormuz.
​  The U.S. additionally claimed that two of its destroyers had entered the Strait of Hormuz. Iran claims that it had warned off a U.S. military vessel by shooting at it. Neither of these claims has been confirmed.
​  The U.S. also claimed that it had destroyed 5 to 7 (sources vary) IRGC fast boats, likely by helicopter, implying that those were about to attack the ships the U.S. Navy protected. Iran refutes that and says that the U.S. attacked two small civilian cargo boats. (At any time there are hundreds of these in the Strait.)
​  The great “Project Freedom”, that Trump had announced, was supposed to allow for traffic to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. But it now seem to have been a one-off special operation to get only two of some 900 stuck vessels out of the Persian Gulf.​ 
​  In parallel to this operation Iran tightened control over the oil flow leaving the Persian Gulf. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has a pipeline which it allows it transport oil from its western oil fields to the Fujairah harbor at the eastern coast outside of the Strait of Hormuz. This has been used to export some 2 million barrels per day despite the blockade of Hormuz.
 ​ Yesterday Iran published a map which now includes Fujairah into the zone that Iran blockades. At the same time several Iranian missiles were fired at UAE installation. An Iranian drone hit Fujairah and left oil installations burning. Two UAE related ships were also attacked with one of them still burning.
UAE, the uppity sheikdom, has recently left the Arab led OPEC organization. It allied itself with Israel and the U.S. and has taken part in their attack on Iran.   
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/05/war-on-iran-project-freedom-a-one-off-stunt-tightening-uae-blockade-china-counters-u-s-sanctions.html

​  Iran War: Peak Chaos as Trump Announces “Humanitarian” Convoy to Enter Strait to Free Trapped Ships, Soon Walked Back by Officialdom; Negotiations Reported as Collapsing as Iran Toughens Position; UAE Enters War​   https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2026/05/iran-war-peak-chaos-as-trump-announces-humanitarian-convoy-to-enter-strait-to-free-trapped-ship-soon-walked-back-by-officialdom-negotiations-reported-as-collapsing-as-iran-toughens-position-ua.html

​  Tehran, May 5 (AFP) May 05, 2026​,​ Iran military 'categorically' denies launching attacks on UAE​ 
"The armed forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran did not launch any missile or drone operation against the United Arab Emirates these past days,"
 the Khatam al-Anbiya central command said in a statement.
​  "If such an action had been taken, we would have announced it firmly and clearly," it added.
​  "Therefore, the report of that country's Ministry of Defence is categorically denied and completely unfounded," it said, however, warning that any attacks launched from Emirati territory would be met with a "firm response".​   
https://www.spacewar.com/afp/260505205758.t8t06ag2.html

​  Iran Claims Two Missiles Hit U.S. Naval Vessel Near Jask; But Washington Denies Incident
Conflicting accounts emerged on Monday after Iranian state-affiliated media reported that missiles struck a United States naval vessel near the port of Jask, while U.S. officials denied that any such attack occurred.​ 
​  Iran’s Fars News Agency stated that two missiles hit a U.S. Navy ship operating near the southern Iranian coastline after it allegedly ignored navigation warnings issued by Iranian forces. According to the report, the vessel was sailing close to the entrance of the Strait of Hormuz and was forced to halt its movement and turn back. Iranian sources described the ship as a frigate or destroyer and claimed it had violated maritime safety protocols.​   https://www.thedefensenews.com/news-details/Iran-Claims-Two-Missiles-Hit-US-Naval-Vessel-Near-Jask-But-Washington-Denies-Incident/

​  Artificial Stupidity in the Persian Gulf
Let’s begin a few years ago when the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC) was first introduced at the September 2023 G20 Summit in New Delhi. The network of railroads, ship-to-rail, road transport routes, energy pipelines and high-speed data cables connecting South Asia, the Gulf and Europe was in theory supposed to be some sort of answer to China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). It never made much sense as a logistics corridor as it involves moving cargo via ships from India to the UAE, putting them onto trains going through the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Israel, and then back onto ships to go from Israel to Europe.
​  The Trump administration, however, followed Silicon Valley’s lead and shifted away from the Biden focus on a logistics corridor to more of a digital cesspit of corruption with each IMEC locale fortifying a lucrative new pole of American hegemony with Israel playing a lead role. It was an AI superiority invitation from Europe to India written in the blood of genocide, but it’s collapsing now as the Persian Gulf, which the “plan” depended on, goes up in flames.​   
https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2026/05/artificial-stupidity-in-the-persian-gulf.html

​  The internet has a Strait of Hormuz problem​ - Iranian state media circulating maps of the Gulf’s undersea cable routes in apparent threat to sever the global internet​   https://asiatimes.com/2026/05/the-internet-has-a-strait-of-hormuz-problem/

  ​Kyle Young, IMEC – Trump tears a page from the WEF playbook to launch his version of technocratic globalism
Since Trump began his second term I’ve had this thought rattling around in my head that there must be some connections between all of the bad things that are currently being imposed on us; the war on Gaza, the war on Iran, AI, digital ID, digital currency, the artificially induced fertilizer famine, the surveillance apparatus, the sudden explosion of data centers being built everywhere, Trump cozying up to all the big tech bro’s, and all of that being imposed on us even though none of us voted for any of it.​.. Since then, thanks to information from Escape Key, Patrick Wood, Meryl Nass and Catherine Austin Fitts, the puzzle pieces are beginning to fall into place.​..
..I think most would agree that a new world order of a private digital currency and a surveillance system, both run by AI and controlled by the Trump family - a system in which no one gets to vote - will be far worse than the old order...
..What’s being placed between any parties conducting a transaction in this new world order is... a machine, AI...

..The IMEC trade route begins at the port of Jawajarlal India. It then goes to ports in Oman and the UAE. At those ports goods will be transferred to trains and transported across Saudi Arabia, Jordan and on to the port at Haifa, Israel where goods will once again be loaded onto ships to be sent to ports in Southern Europe and on to the Eastern US.
​  Not only does the route bypass the Strait of Hormuz, it also bypasses the potential choke point at the Suez canal...   ​                                                    ..
Gaza lies just to the south of Haifa. Trump has said the US will be taking over Gaza. That’s not true. If these plans are allowed to proceed, Gaza will be taken over by the Board of Peace. We’re being told this will be this governance will be temporary, but there is no time frame for a transition.​                                          The Board of Peace was endorsed by the UN Security Council in November of 2025. It was formally launched at the World Economic Forum in Davos in January of this year.​.. The continuity of globalism is in the process of being passed from the worlds largest unelected, non governmental body, the UN, to a private global entity that will use AI, digital currency and surveillance to rule.​..   ​                                                                                                   ..IMEC and the Board of Peace answer to no one. Both entities sit outside of any national or international jurisdiction. Nevertheless, both involve partnerships with India, Saudi Arabia UAE, Israel, the US, France, Italy, Germany and the European Union.​..  ​                                                                   ..It’s the quintessential private/public partnership loved by globalist organizations like the WEF, the Bilderberg Group, the Trilateral Comission, the Council on Foreign Relations, the Rockefeller Fund, the Soros Fund, the Gates Foundation, the Fabians and so on.​.. Put another way, what we are witnessing is the implementation of the first big stage of the globalist Great Reset.​..    ​                                                                                                       ​..Jared Kushner designed the diplomatic preconditions for this entire architecture. He brokered the Abraham Accords in 2020 — the normalization agreements between Israel and the Gulf states that made IMEC conceptually possible. He left government, founded Affinity Partners, and raised $2 billion from Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund, $1.5 billion from Qatar’s Investment Authority and Abu Dhabi-based Lunate — the same Gulf sovereign entities that are cornerstone investors in IMEC infrastructure. He co-authored the Gaza reconstruction masterplan. He sits on the Board of Peace executive board.​..  ..Trump himself approved the Pax Silica coalition — the State Department initiative that exports the full American AI technology stack to trusted partners. The UAE signed on January 14, 2026, gaining preferential access to advanced semiconductors, AI compute infrastructure, and frontier models. Biden had restricted these exports.        https://secularheretic.substack.com/p/imec-trump-tears-a-page-from-the

​  USAF Says Former Qatari 747 Boeing Ready For USA Paint Scheme
The U.S. Air Force reports that the Boeing 747 donated by Qatar, now designated the VC-25B Bridge, has completed modification and flight testing and is entering the paint phase ahead of deployment as an interim Air Force One jet.
​  The bridge aircraft is a former Qatar head-of-state Boeing 747-8i that will serve as an interim presidential aircraft until Boeing's delayed VC-25B replacements are ready, now expected in 2028.​   
https://www.zerohedge.com/military/usaf-says-former-qatari-747-boeing-ready-usa-paint-scheme

​  Meryl Nass MD, How do you feel about AI governing all aspects of life? The United Nations has been quietly building the justifications and foundation for it.​   https://merylnass.substack.com/p/how-do-you-feel-about-ai-governing

​  John Helmer, NOT SO QUIET DEATH – THE US ORDER TO KILL THE IRANIAN NAVY’S DENA AND ITS CREW
In the early morning of March 4, Sri Lanka time, the Islamic Republic of Iran Ship (IRIS) Dena was attacked by the US submarine USS Charlotte with two torpedoes.
​  The first destroyed the Dena’s propeller shaft and stopped her dead in the water.  Her position was at coordinates 6.0073 degrees North, 79.8654 degrees East: that was nine nautical miles (nm) outside Sri Lanka’s territorial waters;  19 nm (35 km) west of the harbour of Galle, a port on the southwestern coast of the island.
​  At the 30-knot speed the Dena had been moving, she was 18 minutes from the safety of Sri Lankan territory. Immobilized, however, the Dena captain, Abuzar Zarri, gave the crew the order to assemble on the aft deck in full visibility of the Charlotte, and prepare to abandon ship. As the crew mustered, a second torpedo was fired by the Charlotte to sink the Dena and kill the crew.
​  The torpedo warhead explosion broke the keel;  the Dena sank in less than five minutes.
​  Of the crew’s 180-man complement, 32 were rescued from the water by the Sri Lankan coast guard, including Zarri and the first officer; 87 bodies were recovered; 61 were lost. Altogether, 148 were killed.
​  On the Charlotte, submerged at a distance from the Dena of less than 10 nm (18 km), there was an interval of approximately ninety minutes between the first fire order and the second, the kill order.​   
https://johnhelmer.net/not-so-quiet-death-the-us-order-to-kill-the-iranian-navys-dena-and-its-crew/#more-94129

​  Yeah... In a stunning escalation of partisan rhetoric, Rep. Seth Moulton (D-MA) declared on national television that Secretary of War Pete Hegseth is “guilty” of war crimes — and compared U.S. military operations against drug-smuggling boats to the actions of Nazi submarine captains executed after World War II.   https://www.zerohedge.com/political/dem-rep-suggests-hegseth-could-be-executed-war-crimes-nazi-sub-captains

It's up and down every day: WTI Holds Rebound Gains As US Fuel Exports Hit Record High, Production Dips, Huge SPR Drain   https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/wti-xxxx-us-oil-exports-hit-record-100mm-barrels-last-week-huge-spr-drain

Ahead Of Trump-Xi Summit, Beijing Tells Chinese Firms To Ignore U.S. Sanctions On "Teapot" Refineries​   https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/ahead-trump-xi-summit-beijing-tells-chinese-firms-ignore-us-sanctions-teapot-refineries

​  China Wants Iran War End, Pushes 'Immediate' Hormuz Reopening During Araghchi Visit Ahead Of Trump-Xi Summit​   
Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araghchi is currently in Beijing meeting with his Chinese counterpart, FM Wang Yi, and the timing of the visit sends a resounding message to Washington and the West. The highly anticipated Trump-Xi meeting is still scheduled for next week, expected for May 14-15, though there has been ample speculation the ongoing events of the unpredictable Iran war and Hormuz Strait crisis could derail the trip at the last minute.​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/china-wants-iran-war-end-pushes-immediate-hormuz-reopening-during-araghchi-visit-ahead

​  US Navy Jet Fires On Iran-Flagged Tanker Trying To Reach Iranian Port​   
Axios reports that the White House is nearing a preliminary deal with Iran to end the war, as Trump post appears to offer olive branch. Other reports say just hammering out at 'framework' for 'monthlong' talks.
​  White House says it expects a response to the latest offer within 48 hours.
Iran's initial response via media & national security spox: US demands are unrealistic & do not reflect reality, & Axios report based on too much 'speculation'.​   
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/sp500-futs-jump-bonds-rally-oil-tanks-axios-report-us-iran-nearing-deal

Israel Says Preparing For Escalation With Iran, Didn't Know Deal Was Close: 'Series Of Targets Ready'​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/israel-says-preparing-escalation-iran-didnt-know-deal-was-close-series-targets-ready

​  Larry Johnson, All Indicators Signal that Trump Will Restart the War Against Iran This Week
  A friend who is a resident of the UAE — someone who is well connected — sent me a note stating that his source in the Emirati government told him that hostilities would commence on Thursday, the 7th. However, I also know that among the leadership of CENTCOM there is not a lot of enthusiasm for initiating new attacks.    https://sonar21.com/all-indicators-signal-that-trump-will-restart-the-war-against-iran-this-week/

​  Celia Farber has some of the photos: Palestinian Photographer Saher Alghorra Awarded Pulitzer Prize For 'Breaking News Photography;' Hailed As A "Haunting, Sensitive Series Showing The Devastation And Starvation In Gaza.."​   https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/palestinian-photographer-saher-alghorra

​Caitlin Johnstone states it openly: Protest Laws Should Be Viewed As Efforts To Ban Criticism Of Israel   https://www.caitlinjohnst.one/p/protest-laws-should-be-viewed-as

  Thanks Eleni: Convicted Spy Jonathan Pollard Announces Political Campaign, Calls For Ethnic Cleansing Of Gaza
Pollard's run for a seat in the Knesset signals that the rise of ultra-Zionist political parties in Israel is only beginning.​   https://ddgeopolitics.substack.com/p/convicted-spy-jonathan-pollard-announces

​  Israel Confirms 500 Strikes Against Lebanon Since ‘Ceasefire’ Went Into Effect​ - Displacement and destruction continues as ceasefire fails to cease firing​   https://news.antiwar.com/2026/05/05/israel-confirms-500-strikes-against-lebanon-since-ceasefire-went-into-effect/

As in Gaza, Israel is targeting rescue workers in South Lebanon, killing more than 100 since March​   https://israelpalestinenews.org/as-in-gaza-israel-is-targeting-rescue-workers-in-south-lebanon-killing-more-than-100-since-march/

​  They burn out your eyes, nose, mouth and lungs. Israel targets southern Lebanon with internationally banned phosphorus shells
Artillery hits towns in Bint Jbeil as airstrikes strike multiple areas in Tyre district, state media says​   https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/israel-targets-southern-lebanon-with-internationally-banned-phosphorus-shells/3927936

“Spitting and humiliation are daily. People are afraid to walk in Jerusalem with Christian symbols.”​   https://israelpalestinenews.org/spitting-and-humiliation-are-daily-people-are-afraid-to-walk-in-jerusalem-with-christian-symbols/

​  “I Heard People Screaming”: Flotilla Activist Describes Israeli Navy Attack in European Waters 
Hannah Smith, a representative of the Global Sumud Flotilla who was aboard the ships when Israeli forces raided them, told Democracy Now that activists were held in a makeshift prison of shipping containers and barbed wire for nearly two days, denied water and sanitary supplies, subjected to physical force, and left in freezing temperatures with jackets confiscated. 
​  When activists refused to leave without the six held in solitary confinement, “many people were beat, many people were dragged, I was held in a stress position for many hours,” Smith said. “I heard people being beat. I heard people screaming. I heard people being dragged around. It was absolutely horrifying.”​     https://x.com/DropSiteNews/status/2051507631483650346

Israel’s brutality toward Gaza flotilla activists – 3 articles​   https://israelpalestinenews.org/israels-brutality-toward-gaza-flotilla-activists-3-articles/

With World Distracted by War, Extremist Settlers Intensify Attacks in West Bank​   https://israelpalestinenews.org/with-world-distracted-by-war-extremist-settlers-intensify-attacks-in-west-bank/

Trump Hits Cuba With New Sanctions; Rubio Warns Of Havana's Foreign Influence Ops​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-hits-cuba-new-sanctions-rubio-warns-havanas-foreign-influence-ops

​  Trump jokes US will be 'taking over' Cuba after Iran conflict
The president made the comment when recognizing attendees at a Florida event in West Palm Beach. The guests included former Rep. Dan Mica.
​  "He comes from, originally, a place called Cuba, which we will be taking over almost immediately," Trump said of Mica. "Cuba’s got problems. We’ll finish one first. I like to finish a job."
​  The president then jokingly suggested that the takeover could happen as some U.S. warships return from the Middle East.
"On the way back from Iran, we’ll have one of our big — maybe the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier — the biggest in the world," he said. "We’ll have that come in, stop about 100 yards offshore, and they’ll say, ‘Thank you very much, we give up.’"​    
https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/all-things-trump/trump-jokes-us-will-be-taking-over-cuba-after-iran-conflict

​Gold & Geopolitics goes into first, second and third order effects of the liquidity squeeze now beginning: The liquidity squeeze 2.0​ - A short update   https://no01.substack.com/p/the-liquidity-squeeze-20

All-Time High 55% Of Americans Say That Their Financial Situations Are Getting Worse​   https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/all-time-high-55-americans-say-their-financial-situations-are-getting-worse

​  Gilbert Doctorow explains that Russians are tired of wartime economy now: It’s the Economy Stupid! Russia’s economy is doing very badly and what that means for September parliamentary elections…   https://gilbertdoctorow.substack.com/p/its-the-economy-stupid-russias-economy

  Gilbert Doctorow, What is news and what is not news?
Today’s online edition of The Financial Times has a front-page article informing us that “US pullback on long-range missiles leaves Europe exposed.” What they are saying is that Trump has cancelled the delivery of US medium range Tomahawk and other missiles to Germany that President Biden had forced on Chancellor Scholz within a 2026-2027 time line. This change in U.S. nuclear strategy from intercontinental missiles based in the USA to medium range missiles based in Europe with very short strike times suitable for a decapitating attack were a key factor in Russia’s changing its nuclear doctrine in November 2024.
​  The article, of course, plays the readers for fools by explaining how Moscow must receive this news “with glee.” And they put this news up alongside the mention of Trump’s previously announced 5,000 man drawdown of the American troops stationed in Germany. Both are said to be the consequence of Trump’s pique over Merz’s criticism of the American president’s Iran war as lacking in strategy of attack and strategy of withdrawal. However, the weighted value of these two developments is like putting an elephant alongside a mouseThe drawdown is the mouse. Trump is removing only 5,000 out of the current 37,000 American soldiers in Germany. To take more would put him in direct conflict with Congress which does not want any drawdown.
​  However, cancelling the delivery of missiles is truly a big blow to the entire European defense (read offense) capability. And it could be justified to Congress if anyone bothers to ask by the serious shortage of these missiles in the US inventory due to the Iran war, which compounded earlier shortages from the Biden support for Kiev.
​  The removal of the threat of US missiles reaching all of European Russia within a 15 minute flight time must be an enormous relief to Russian planners and surely makes it easier for them to offer to Europeans a major concession, namely the removal of Russia’s medium range missilesespecially the hypersonic missiles from the western borders of Russia, Kaliningrad and Belarus to behind the Urals.​   
https://gilbertdoctorow.substack.com/p/what-is-news-and-what-is-not-news

​  Gilbert Doctorow explains a potential opening for Russian decapitation strikes against Kiev, Putin's muffled barking
We were told that President Putin also responded to the latest statements coming from Vladimir Zelensky during his stay at a European gathering in Yerevan, Armenia the same day. Zelensky said that his armed forces intend to attack the Victory Day parade in Moscow on the 9th with drones. The Ukrainians’ ability to get through Moscow’s very sophisticated air defenses was demonstrated a day earlier when one of their drones hit a residential building on Mosfilmovskaya, a thoroughfare just next to the Moscow River in the very center of the Russian capital.
​  Putin’s response was to warn Kiev that if it does attack, the Russians will then massively bomb the center of Kiev and he warned foreign diplomats to evacuate the city now.​   
https://gilbertdoctorow.substack.com/p/putins-muffled-barking

​  60% of voters believe France is witnessing ‘a replacement of the French population by non-European populations’
Marion Maréchal warns of leadership of successive French governments who stand idly by as France self-destructs​   
https://rmx.news/article/to-our-greatest-misfortune-our-rulers-are-among-the-40-french-politician-laments-french-rulers-who-do-nothing-about-population-replacement-and-surging-migrant-crime/

Taxpayers Foot Staggering £629 Million Bill For Foreign Nationals In UK Prisons​   https://www.zerohedge.com/political/taxpayers-foot-staggering-ps629-million-bill-foreign-nationals-uk-prisons

​  Volkswagen Likely to Allow Chinese Automaker to Build in Shuttered Volkswagen Auto Plants
SUMMARY: Volkswagen went to China to sell cars.  Volkswagen opened EV auto plants in China bringing in German industrial technology and equipment. China learned from Volkswagen and started their own EV auto companies to compete.  Volkswagen EV sales in China started dropping dramatically, and the Chinese EV brands took over.
​  Due to internal climate regulations in Europe, Volkswagen in the EU then begins giving money to China that subsidizes their competition.  China exports their EVs to Europe.  Volkswagen EV auto plants start closing.  China now takes control of the Volkswagen EV auto plants to build Chinese EVs in Germany.
​  With operations now inside the ​(EU) house, the Chinese government extract European wealth and pump subsidies into their EV operations in Germany, flooding the European market with cheap EVs that will undercut the German auto manufacturing sector.​   https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2026/05/04/volkswagen-likely-to-allow-chinese-automaker-to-build-in-shuttered-volkswagen-auto-plants/#more-283080

EU to Begin Censoring Emojis on Social Media — For ‘Safety’​   https://pjmedia.com/benbartee/2026/05/03/eu-to-begin-censoring-emojis-on-social-media-for-safety-n4952447

​  This is really a long summary list. Take a scan: The Mysterious Deaths Surrounding the Clintons
12 of their own bodyguards past away alone. Nobody has 47+ people close to them who all mysteriously died or took their own life.   
https://x.com/TheSCIF/status/2050975196182466622

Ghislaine Maxwell Wants to Expose ‘Big Name’ in Exchange for Pardon​   https://slaynews.com/ghislaine-maxwell-expose-big-name-exchange-pardon/

​  BREAKING:TRUMP ADMINISTRATION OFFICIALS HAVE SPOKEN TO EDWARD SNOWDEN ABOUT FULL PARDON, RETURNING HOME - Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, a LONG TIME ALLY OF AND ADVOCATE for PERSECUTED PATRIOT Edward Snowden, has reportedly spoken with him about the possibility of a looming FULL PARDON from President Trump and the facilitation of his PERMANENT RED CARPET RETURN HOME with a hero's welcome.​   https://x.com/JoshHall2024/status/2050381377254613239

​  BOOM! JOE ROGAN GOES NUCLEAR ON THE DEADLY COVID JAB HOLOCAUST — SHOCKING NEW STUDY EXPOSES UP TO 600,000 AMERICANS SLAUGHTERED BY THE SHOTS IN THE US ALONE! “That’s a lot of people, man. More than World War I, World War II, and Vietnam COMBINED!” The Deep State Pharma cabal’s experimental depopulation weapon just got caught red-handed — and they still want you lining up for more boosters!​   https://x.com/17QStorm/status/2050707200935358803

  ​A Midwestern Doctor, We Now Know How The Government Lied About the COVID Vaccines
For more than 250 years, the same playbook has been used to prop up toxic vaccines. At long last, we have a chance to end it.
​  Story at a Glance:
Since the dawn of vaccination, authorities have habitually doubled down on unsafe and ineffective vaccines, regardless of the pushback they received or the evidence against them.
​  Sustaining this has required increasingly brazen methods to censor and conceal the deluge of “extremely rare” injuries caused by an ever-expanding vaccination schedule.
​  Senator Ron Johnson, who has worked tirelessly to expose this coverup, recently held a Senate hearing aptly titled: “Unmasked: How Biden Health Officials Purposely Turned a Blind Eye Toward COVID-19 Vaccine Safety Signals.”
​  Faced with a tsunami of vaccine injuries too large for anyone to ignore, the FDA and CDC searched for a way to statistically dismiss it, eventually settling on effectively comparing Moderna’s injury rate to Pfizer’s and declaring the vaccines “safe” because there was no major difference between the two.
​  When a senior FDA analyst pointed out this obvious flaw and suggested comparing them to less toxic vaccines instead, documents show the entire FDA turned against her to suppress her findings. As a result, dozens of conditions we have all seen the COVID vaccines cause were never officially linked to them—despite the data clearly showing they were.​   
https://www.midwesterndoctor.com/p/we-now-know-how-the-government-lied

Sayer Ji, THE TEN-DAY COUNTDOWN: "Please Delete This Email" — How Fauci's Own Words May Seal His Fate​   https://sayerji.substack.com/p/the-ten-day-countdown-please-delete

​Sasha Latypova, Anthony Fauci will not be prosecuted for covid crimes. Mark this post.   https://sashalatypova.substack.com/p/anthony-fauci-will-not-be-prosecuted

  Steve Kirsch, VAERS safety signals for the COVID vaccine were being triggered so the FDA silenced the whistleblower
Thanks to the brilliant work of Ron Johnson and his staff, we now know that the FDA knew that a more accurate analysis method was throwing off safety signals so the FDA silenced the whistleblower.​   https://kirschsubstack.com/p/vaers-safety-signals-for-the-covid

​  BREAKING STUDY: Infant Mortality Surged 37% and Birth Defect Deaths Jumped 46% After COVID-19 "Vaccine" Rollout
Official Philippine government data show a 20-year decline in infant mortality was completely erased in just five years—alongside a collapse in live births.​   
https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/breaking-study-infant-mortality-surged

​  Nicolas Hulscher MPH, We now have clear evidence that the COVID shots have crippled the reproductive capacity of humanity.
In animal models, they destroy over 60% of women’s non-renewable egg supply. 
  In human data (n=1.3 MILLION), vaccinated women have ~33% fewer successful pregnancies than unvaccinated. 
  The latest study found “vaccine” mRNA and spike protein invade the human placenta and fetal cells. 37% of placentas from vaccinated mothers contained lethal spike protein.   https://x.com/NicHulscher/status/2050973600493007255

​  Kennedy Announces Historic Shift in U.S. Mental Healthcare Treatment
The HHS Secretary introduced a plan to help wean Americans off addictive and excessively prescribed antidepressants​   
https://www.themahareport.com/p/kennedy-announces-historic-shift

  ​Celia Farber, The Cruise Ship 'Hanta Virus' OP Has Grown To Include Its First Crisis Actors
Repeating Imagery And Symbolism From Covid--Along With Inverted Epidemiology, Like Trapping Passengers On Cruise Ships Said To Be Afflicted With New Plague Via Rats​   https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/the-cruise-ship-hanta-virus-op-has

  ​Peter McCullough MD, Silent Risks on the High Seas: A Survival Guide for Hantavirus Prevention
Cruise ship MV Hondius outbreak emphasizes importance of independent measures for cabin safety, environmental vigilance, and personal resilience against rodent-borne pathogens​   https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/silent-risks-on-the-high-seas-a-survival

​  Celia Farber again: The Hantavirus Op Has Escalated Since This Morning's Post - I Want To Ignore It But I Can't. We Have To Be Prepared. Whatever That Means   .https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/the-hantavirus-op-has-escalated-since

Paul Marik MD, Sunlight: Medicine or Carcinogen? Why sunshine may protect you—and why red light therapy might do the opposite   https://substack.com/home/post/p-196465174

Paul Marik MD, The Serotonin Myth: Why SSRI's So Often Fail” - Depression - Part 1   https://substack.com/home/post/p-192474690

Paul Marik MD, Depression Is Not What We Think It Is (Part 2)   https://substack.com/home/post/p-192475493

Paul Marik MD, Intermittent Fasting, Metabolic Health, and Modern Disease - The Path to Metabolic Health   https://paulmarik.substack.com/p/intermittent-fasting-metabolic-health

Euthymic Vegetable Gardener (pictured recently in therapeutic milieu)


Friday, May 1, 2026

Frustrating Hormuz War

 Assembling The Puzzle,


  There is a lot of frustration with the Hormuz War not making sense within the constraints of common knowledge. Rather than concluding that the actions of nations are irrational, "Rational Actor Theory" would seek further information about current and projected circumstances, which might illuminate ways in which the interests of national actors might actually be served by the expected outcomes of their actions. It is assumed that governments lie and obfuscate their real intentions and objectives.
  I would like to present again the scenario which I see unfolding, within which the actions of the Trump Administration are rational and may be expected to serve national interests as it sees them.
  Israeli interests and actions are seen to direct US Mideast policy, without the reasons for that being completely clear, other than endemic bribery, blackmail and the currying of favor with American Christian factions, security agencies and police departments. American public opinion, including that of a growing fraction of American Jews, has been shifting away from Israel's genocidal and expansionist wars for the past 3 years. The faelty of American politicians to zionist nationalism is now strained. It remains plausible that Benjamin Netanyahu was killed by an Iranian missile strike in early March, with his public appearance at trial called off recently, and now his invitation to Washington to meet with President Trump again not being accepted. The images of him since early March have not been convincingly those of a live human, but more suggestive of AI creations. That does not change the calculus of the interests he has served. They still need ongoing acquisitions to feed the growing "greater Israel" in order to hold the Zionist project together politically. It appears that exit ramps are being put in place for "Netanyahu". They need further destruction of their regional rival, Iran, and to expand into Lebanon and Syria, while completing the takeover of Palestinian homelands and bulldozing Gaza to make way for the resort and business park developments, which might become confluent with the Port of Haifa, the final node of the India-Middle-East-Europe-Economic Corridor, IMEC, the corridor for trade, finance and data, from India, across Arabia, and on to Europe.

  The context within which Trumpian foreign policy to rapidly subjugate oil-producing nations by any means possible, and to destroy resistance to the $US global-hegemony protection-racket, is that the final peak of oil + condensates appears to have been in October 2025, after a previous peak in November 2018, followed by the Repo-Crisis in 2019, and COVID-lockdowns in spring 2020, during the financial crisis and going-direct-bailout.
  At this point in history economic collapse is assured as total oil + condensate production, which correlates 90% with real economy, declines, and financial collapse, in a world of exponentially expanding debt-money, is hastened. 
  Why not precipitate the inevitable and get some control-levers on it? The US has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, firmly holding that valve closed now.
  There is a shipping delay between the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and the oil and gas shortages that follow from it. Those shortages are starting to hit Europe and Asia. 
  The US controls Venezuelan oil, and is adding SPR contributions to the global market, as well as refined petrolium and lighter grades of oil and condensates. The US seeks for more of the world to depend on LNG exports from the gulf coast, especially now that Qatar is off-line, and will take years to rebuild. The US is composing a coercive control regime over the world's oil and gas, the energy lifeblood of global industrial economy, especially transportation, mining, farming heavy diesel equipment, food delivery and air travel.
  The US seeks cooperation from other oil and gas exporting countries, including Russia, whether voluntary or coerced. The US is holding the strait closed until certain political and economic objectives are met, and can be expected to open it and close it in the future, to tactically sustain the Petrodollar Hegemony. 
  There are competitors to this, notably China, and the many tributary states which have long been starved of their national resources by comprador elites, loyal to imperial financial directives, not their contrymen.
  Technocracy will be the new mode of global governance, instrumentalizing AI, digital money at all levels, tokenization of all assets within the monetary system, making them all contingent upon systemic approval, and denying any unapproved transaction. "De-banking" is to be the death-sentence by ostracizing.
  Hold this in consideration, and see if things make more sense going forward. 
  The Petrobuck Empire wanted to swallow Russia, as it did in the 1990s, and made some bad bets on that, particularly in London, but throughout the EU, and now needs to sustain the war in Ukraine to avoid having to book losses, which would be forced by a peace-settlement declaring most of the valuable Ukrainian assets to now be lost to Russia. That asset write-down would force major bankruptcies.

  Nate Hagens, Oil 301: The World After Cheap Energy
As energy becomes scarcer and more contested, geopolitics is not going to become more collaborative and more rational. It will become more desperate and focused on energy security, especially as nations hoard and alliances fracture. The most vulnerable countries, the ones that are dependent on importing energy and food, are going to be hit first and hardest. Currencies and bond markets built on an unending horizon of cheap, dense, and affordable energy will become unstable as trusted markers. The post-WWII global order was built on the foundation of cheap abundant oil tied to American military and financial might. That relationship is now in question.
​  Nations are now choosing sides based not on ideology, but on energy access. China has signed 27-year gas deals with Qatar and long-term oil contracts with Iran and Russia. The Gulf states are now hedging between Washington and Beijing. Europe, after cutting off Russian pipeline gas, now depends on liquified natural gas that transits the same strait that’s currently closed. We’re watching the real-time fracturing of a global order that was always – underneath the flags and the treaties – an unseen and unstable energy arrangement.
​  The alliances of the next 30 years will be determined by who has hydrocarbons and energy access and who needs it. All of this points in one direction – simplification.​   
https://natehagens.substack.com/p/essay-oil-301-the-world-after-cheap

​  Simplicius has been frustrated by lack of meaningful context recently: Beaten and Shopworn Trump Settles on Flaccid 'Forever-Blockade' Strat as Broken-Down Carrier Limps Home
​  Two interesting contradictory pathways are emerging for Trump on Iran, if we are to trust latest MSM reports.
On one hand, new reports claim that Trump now sees the twin options of either total withdrawal from Iran or resumption of hostilities as equally bad. The reports claim he therefore prefers to now maintain the blockade indefinitely as the chief operative posture toward the Islamic Republic.​..
​..We’ve known since the beginning that Trump was looking for a quick, easy out. It’s the height of absurdity and surreal risibility that advanced “intelligence agency” studies are required to determine what the IRGC’s response to this might be. The response could only be laughter, followed by triumphant exultation: it would be seen worldwide as a decisive US military defeat.
​  Though many still believe Trump is employing his usual artless wiles to lull Iran into a false sense of security before again attacking when the guard is down. But major news just broke that appears to dim any chances of a serious US military continuation of the conflict. It turns out that the USS Poopy Gerry—as Imetatronink has taken to affectionately calling the ever-troubled floating latrine—is ready to ditch the floundering conflict and head back home to await its uncertain future​... 
 
​..What was the point of all that CENTCOM bragging we saw last time, that whole routine about assembling the largest carrier strike group in the region in decades? Either it was meant as a last-ditch attempt to scare Iran into concessions, or was just another in a long line of emblematic erraticisms from the current administration’s headless policy.​.. Granted, two carriers is still enough to give Trump plenty to “play with”, should he choose to continue prosecuting his wayward and futile excursion.​..
..An obviously mentally-declining Trump even confused Iran and Ukraine in an Oval Office interview, telling Kaitlyn Collins that it is Ukraine that has been “militarily defeated” after the US sank “159” of their ships.​..
..Every pathetic attempt to subdue Iran has failed disastrously, and the only scraps left adorning Trump’s golden tabletop are various schemes of economic terrorism against Iranian citizens...
..El Pais reports that Gulf countries have been approaching the US for emergency currency swaps to “bail out” their foundering economies...
..This all after the announcement today that UAE is leaving OPEC and OPEC+, which some fear could induce a domino effect of other departures...​   https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/beaten-and-shopworn-trump-settles

​  The US is launching an operation to completely strangle Iran financially.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has officially announced a new phase of massive pressure on Tehran under a large-scale operation codenamed "Economic Rage." This time, the spearhead of US sanctions is aimed at dismantling the Islamic Republic's entire hidden financial system, which allowed the country to survive previous restrictions. This includes the shadow banking infrastructure that facilitates international transactions, as well as the cryptocurrency access mechanisms used by Tehran to circumvent dollar controls. Bessent emphasized that Washington intends to completely paralyze not only the shadow tanker fleet transporting oil to proxy customers, but also the deeply clandestine networks that procure weapons and military components.​   
https://avia-pro.net/news/ssha-zapuskayut-operaciyu-po-polnomu-finansovomu-udusheniyu-irana

​  He's questioning what Israel wants, isn't he? Vance Reportedly Questions Pentagon's Rosy Assessment Of Iran War
According to two senior White House officials cited by The Atlantic, Vance has expressed skepticism about recent Pentagon estimates on the depletion of US munitions since the launch of Operation Epic Fury. A report released last week by the Center for Strategic and International Studies found the Pentagon used roughly half of its stockpiles of advanced interceptors and standoff munitions in the first five weeks of the conflict, which we reported here. But the Pentagon has consistently downplayed and rejected such negative assessments.​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/vance-reportedly-questions-pentagons-rosy-assessment-iran-war

​  Rising Venezuelan Oil Exports Help Insulate The US From Energy Crisis​   
If the primary purpose behind the Trump Administration's snatch-and-grab operation against the illegitimate president of Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro, was not readily apparent in January, it should be crystal clear today.  Under Maduro, around 75% of the country's energy exports were going to China.  This year, the US will be receiving around 50% of the oil supply while China's share is reduced to 10%.  ​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/rising-venezuelan-oil-exports-help-insulate-us-energy-crisis

BREAKING: Netanyahu has unexpectedly cancelled his trip to Washington next week, declining Trump's personal invitation, per Israeli PM office.​   https://x.com/i/status/2049507252034257086

​  Times of Israel: PM’s office denies reports Netanyahu will visit Washington next week
Earlier this month, US President Donald Trump said he would invite Netanyahu and Lebanese President Joseph Aoun to the White House, though no visit has yet been scheduled.​   https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/pms-office-denies-reports-netanyahu-will-visit-washington-next-week/

​  Hezbollah FPV drone destroys Israeli armored vehicle, injures 12 soldiers in western Galilee
The operation marked the first time a Hezbollah fiber-optic FPV drone has reached the western Galilee​   
https://thecradle.co/articles/hezbollah-fpv-drone-destroys-israeli-armored-vehicle-injures-12-soldiers-in-western-galilee

​  Oil Spikes As Israeli Defense Chief Says 'Required To Act Again' In Striking Iran, Achieving Objectives
Israeli Defense Minister Katz: "soon we will need to act again in Iran to ensure that the regime cannot threaten Israel for years to come." Oil spikes on this and new reports of Israeli defense build-up at ports, air hubs.
​  Not giving up nuclear program: Iran will "guard" its "advanced technologies" like it does its own borders, Mojtaba Khamenei said in a written speech read aloud by state TV. It will “secure the Persian Gulf region and dismantle the hostile enemy’s exploitation of this waterway."​   
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/defiant-mojtaba-khamenei-says-gulfs-future-will-be-without-us-presence-vows-protect

​  Footage published on Iranian channels with the description that Iranian security forces installed these inflatable rocket launchers throughout the country 
and reported them to Mossad-affiliated ‘Iran International’, under the guise of an ordinary citizen. Many flight sorties and missiles were wasted on these mockups.​   
https://x.com/i/status/2049900932461105486

​  Trump Argues War 'Terminated' Before 60-Day Congressional Approval Deadline, As Iran Submits Latest Proposal To Pakistan Mediators
White House officials argue the current absence of fighting between Iranian & US forces means the 60-day timeline for Congressional approval (or US forces must leave) doesn't apply due to the ceasefire.​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-argues-iran-war-terminated-60-day-congressional-approval-deadline-iran-submits

​  No price drop happened, so how's the war? Trump Says Gas Prices Will Drop "Like a Rock" Once Conflict Ends, As Senator Breaks With GOP Leadership On War Powers   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/defiant-mojtaba-khamenei-says-gulfs-future-will-be-without-us-presence-vows-protect

​The S&P 500 is still at all time highs, but oil prices aren'ot buying any Mideast peace, with WTI stuck above $100/bbl:   https://oilprice.com/oil-price-charts/

​  Gold &Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-05-01
CENTCOM briefed Trump for 45 minutes on "final blow" options against Iran, including strikes on remaining military assets, leadership, and infrastructure (Fox News via Lord Bebo). Separate option includes US "forced control" over part of the Strait of Hormuz with ground forces...
..US national debt crossed 100% of GDP for the first time since WWII...
​..Israel's defense minister Katz says Israel may continue military campaign against Iran "in the near future" to "fully achieve" objectives (Lord Bebo). Israel received 6,500 tons of US military equipment in one day, with deliveries intensifying (ILRedAlert). US moving more equipment from South Korea bases to Israel​...
​..US considering first deployment of Dark Eagle hypersonic missiles to the Middle East, still under development, produced at ~1/month at $41M each​...
..IRGC Aerospace Force commander: "We saw the fate of your bases in the region; we will also see your warships"...
​..Iranian parliament member: "If Iran is attacked again, you must say goodbye to the oil and gas of the region for a long time" (Hormuz Letter)
Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei: the future of the Persian Gulf will be "without America" (multiple sources)
​  Putin warned Trump during phone call that resumed military action would lead to "extremely adverse consequences", called ground operations "particularly unacceptable and dangerous"​...
​..USS Gerald Ford heading home after 300+ days, longest modern carrier deployment — reducing US naval presence (Lord Bebo). USS Boxer crossing Malacca Strait, likely redeploying to Middle East​ [amphibious ass​ault ship]​...
..Strait of Hormuz traffic: all 12 verified crossings on April 29 were west-to-east only, no return traffic...
​..UAE lost its only GlobalEye early warning aircraft (~$1B) to a drone worth ~$20K (The Iran Observer)​...
..Hezbollah's fiber-optic FPV drones proving effective: 12 Israeli soldiers wounded in single Shomera attack, 4 Merkava tanks hit, 1 Hermes 450 drone shot down — all before noon...
​..S&P 500 new all-time high amid violent rotation​ - S&P 500 posted highest close ever, up +14.2% since March 30 low — $8.1T in market cap in 23 trading days (Kobeissi). April was best month since Nov 2020...
​..ECB stagflation trap​ - ECB held deposit rate at 2% but likely to hike in June unless energy prices ease (Kobeissi)
​  Eurozone Q1 growth was just 0.1% while headline inflation surged back above 3%
IEA called the current situation the "biggest energy security threat in history"
​  Lagarde: inflation "well above 2% in near term", economy "moving away from baseline"​...
..US economic data: hot inflation, strong labor, collapsing savings...
..75% of US Q1 GDP growth came from AI-related investment...
​..China's tungsten exports fell 22.65% in Q1, with APT exports down 98.37% YoY. Japan facing price surges in cutting tools (tphuang)
Belgium reversing nuclear phase-out:
 shuttered reactors being prepared for restart (dana916)
​  China unveiled first nuclear-powered aircraft carrier on PLA Navy anniversary (Lord Bebo)
Gas turbine backlog stretches to 2029-2030 for GE, Siemens, Mitsubishi — prices nearly tripled since 2019. Every AI data center queuing for same machine​.   
https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-05-01

​  Gold & Geopolitis, Daily digest: 2026-04-30
Oil breaks wartime highs - Brent above $120, WTI above $110. Brent crude surged past $120/barrel for the first time since June 2022 as Trump rejected Iran's offer to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and ordered preparation for an extended blockade. CENTCOM is briefing Trump Thursday on a plan for "short and powerful" strikes against Iranian infrastructure.​..
..US considering deploying Dark Eagle hypersonic missile to Middle East — first deployment of its kind...
..US depleting oil reserves at fastest pace since 2022. SPR drawn down 7.1M barrels (biggest weekly drain since Oct 2022)...
​..Hegseth contradicted himself in congressional hearing: said Iran's nuclear facilities "obliterated" while also claiming they were the justification for war per multiple accounts
​  Iran warns of "unprecedented military action" if vessel seizures continue
Putin warned Trump of "devastating consequences" 
in 1.5-hour call, offered Ukraine V​ictory-Day ceasefire​...
​..Agriculture crisis accelerating​ - US wheat futures at highest since June 2024, up +30% YTD per Kobeissi
Only 30% of US wheat crop rated good/excellent​ - US farmers planting least wheat since records began in 1919
​  Farm bankruptcies +46% YoY, 1.9M farms — the fewest ever...
​..China issuing new regulations allowing confiscation of assets of any foreign entity disrupting its supply chain — in direct response to US seizing Iranian oil bound for China. Also "factoring in US military constraints from Iran conflict" when assessing Taiwan strike.​   https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-04-30

​  Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-04-29
UAE exits OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1. Shock announcement blindsided partners. Energy minister says UAE "can go to 6 million" bpd if needed. JPM says medium-term prices lower but crude still driven by Hormuz... Pipeline capacity constrains actual near-term ramp to ~400-700k bpd.​..
..OpenAI misses revenue and user targets; CFO warns company may not be able to pay computing contracts. CFO Sarah Friar privately warned OpenAI may not afford its $1.5 trillion in spending commitments. Missed target of 1B weekly users. ChatGPT market share collapsed from 86.7% to 64.5% in 12 months...
​..Iran has 12-22 days of usable oil storage remaining per Kpler. Iranian crude exports collapsed ~70% from 1.85M bpd to ~567k bpd. Goldman estimates Iran already curtailed 2.5M bpd. Revenue impact 3-4 months away due to payment lags.​..
​..Iran blockade bypass corridors opening
Pakistan opened 6 overland transit corridors to Iran, 3,000+ containers in transit
​  First loaded LNG tanker and crude supertanker cleared Hormuz - Idemitsu Maru did not use Larak channel
Iran resumed Moscow flights after 2-month halt
​  IRGC operating toll booth at Larak Island charging $1-2M per transit, some payments in yuan and Bitcoin​...
​..Silver market migration to Shanghai
China imported record 836 tonnes of silver in a single month, 173% above 10-year average, while banning exports
​  SGE silver at $82.29 with ~$8 premium to spot
COMEX registered silver under 76M oz, open interest collapsed to lowest since Nov 2011​...
​..AI infrastructure spending crisis
OpenAI's $600B+ committed capex meets slowing growth: Deutsche Bank estimates $143B cumulative negative free cash flow through 2029
​  INTC and NVDA Chief Accounting Officers both resigned​...
​..AI bubble concentration hits same level that preceded dot-com burst per Barchart​ ...
  ..UK ambassador privately admitted "special relationship" era ending - leaked audio during King Charles' state visit. "There is probably one country that has a special relationship with the United States, and that is probably Israel"
​  Fed T-bill holdings doubled in four months from $195B to $425B - Hedgeye calls it "QE-lite"
China banning export of 7 rare earth elements including samarium, gadolinium, terbium - defense supply chain has ~6 months of inventory before lines stop per Lockheed 10-K disclosure
​  Gulf urea production down ~60% since war began. Only 11 fertilizer ships transited Hormuz, 44 stuck. US farm bankruptcies +46% YoY​   
https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-04-29

  ​Moon of Alabama, War On Iran: – Trump To Decide On Three Options
The stalemate in the war on Iran continues. The Strait of Hormuz is (mostly) still closed. The U.S. blockade of Iran related sea traffic, though leaky, is still in force. Iran is evaluating the war as being far from over:
  Overall, the perception in Iran is that the war is far from over; rather, the naval blockade is seen either as a prelude to further escalation or as a trigger that could bring about a new round of conflict sooner rather than later.
  Despite the recall of one of its three aircraft carriers in the region U.S. forces are still in the position and ready to strike at a moments notice.
In short – Both sides are ready to restart the war.
  U.S. President Donald Trump has three options:
to continue the blockade of Iran and, in consequence, the blockade of the Strait;
  to launch a new bombing campaign against Iran;
to declare victory and order his military leave the Gulf.   
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/04/war-on-iran-trump-to-decide-on-three-options.html

  Keep your girls home from school: US may use hypersonic weapons against Iran — agency
According to Bloomberg, if the plan comes to fruition, this will be the first time that the US has deployed hypersonic missiles​   https://tass.com/world/2124575

Israeli Navy Moves to Seize Gaza Flotilla, Activists Report Jamming and Warships​   https://www.palestinechronicle.com/israeli-navy-moves-to-seize-gaza-flotilla-activists-report-jamming-and-warships/

​  Times of Israel: Navy intercepts 21 of 58 vessels in Gaza flotilla hundreds of miles from the Strip
Tracking data shows boats near Crete as they are confronted by Israeli forces; 175 activists detained; other vessels told to turn back or proceed to Ashdod if carrying humanitarian aid​   https://www.timesofisrael.com/navy-begins-intercepting-gaza-flotilla-hundreds-of-miles-from-the-strip/

Paramedic killed, woman injured in Israeli strikes in northern Gaza​   https://english-wafa-ps.translate.goog/Pages/Details/169941?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp

​  A Growing Rat Infestation Plagues Tent Cities in Gaza
“We are suffering from two wars,” 
Majd Sukar, the head of the Preventive Health Department in Gaza City, said. “The war of bombs, and the war of rats.”​  
https://www.dropsitenews.com/p/gaza-rats-rodents-disease-displaced-palestinians-tents

 IOA okays dozens of settler homes in Jenin​   https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/04/29/362154/

Colonists cut over 200 olive and almond trees south of Hebron​   
https://english-wafa-ps.translate.goog/Pages/Details/169944?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp

​  US-Born Netanyahu Advisor Was Tasked With ‘Relocating’ Palestinians From Gaza
Sources told Haaretz that Caroline Glick approached Somaliland and the DR Congo about the ethnic cleansing plan, but was unsuccessful​   
https://news.antiwar.com/2026/04/29/us-born-netanyahu-advisor-was-tasked-with-relocating-palestinians-from-gaza/

Three Lebanese Paramedics Killed by Israeli Double-Tap Strike​ - Family of five also slain as Lebanon death toll continues to mount​   https://news.antiwar.com/2026/04/29/three-lebanese-paramedics-killed-in-israel-double-tap-strike/

Israeli Commanders Say Lebanon Mission Is to Destroy Shi’ite Villages​ - ‘This is not about terrorist infrastructure, we are destroying everything,’​   https://news.antiwar.com/2026/04/29/israeli-commanders-say-lebanon-mission-is-to-destroy-shiite-villages/

​  Lebanese President Joseph Aoun said Wednesday that Israel must fully implement the ceasefire between the two countries before beginning direct talks, after Israeli strikes killed more than 20 people over the last two days.​   https://www.spacewar.com/afp/260429182832.e4iewo0j.html

​  IDF chief says there’s ‘no ceasefire’ in south Lebanon amid continued fighting with Hezbollah
Trump reportedly pushing back on Israeli efforts to limit talks with Beirut, return to large-scale war
; 1 million Lebanese will face food insecurity in coming months, monitor warns​   
https://www.timesofisrael.com/idf-chief-says-theres-no-ceasefire-in-south-lebanon-amid-continued-fighting-with-hezbollah/

​  A UN-backed report said Wednesday that more than 1.2 million people in Lebanon were expected to face acute hunger due to the latest war between Israel and Hezbollah.​   https://www.spacewar.com/afp/260429125323.b0vldnhs.html

​  Israeli Occupation of Lebanon Threatens Civil War Amid Growing Devastation
Analysts warn that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu may be hoping to push Lebanon into a civil war, and take advantage of the chaos to permanently occupy Lebanon, with the approval of the US and its allies.​   https://www.globalresearch.ca/israeli-occupation-lebanon-threatens-civil-war/5924274

Far Right Israeli Settler Movement Enters Syria in a Push for “Greater Israel”​   https://israelpalestinenews.org/far-right-greater-israel/

​  Ex-Mossad chief says Israeli settler violence reminds him of the Holocaust - Tamir Pardo adds that curbing settler assaults could spark a civil war in Israel​   https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/ex-mossad-chief-compares-settler-violence-holocaust

Israelis Outraged After Govt Sent Vital Arrow Missiles To Germany Mid-Iran War​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/israelis-outraged-after-govt-sent-vital-arrow-missiles-germany-mid-iran-war

Israeli army facing ‘continuous rise’ in soldier suicides: Report​ - Six active duty soldiers and three non-active reservists ended their own lives this month​   https://thecradle.co/articles-id/37399

​  UK judge gags Palestine Action defendants to secure ‘terror’ stitch-up
Desperate to secure a conviction of Palestine Action defendants, a draconian British judge has forbidden them from referring to the principle of jury equity in their closing speeches. It is one of countless restrictions aimed at blocking the activists from mounting an effective defense.​   https://thegrayzone.com/2026/04/29/uk-palestine-action-defendants-terror/

​  Gold & Geopolitics explains what Iran just found out: The CBDC we already have​ - crypto on a chain
The product was sold as the alternative.​ Permissionless, censorship-resistant, beyond the reach of any single government.
​  The whole pitch of crypto, repeated in white papers and conference keynotes for fifteen years, was that this was the exit. The dollar system had become weaponised, the rails could be cut at will, but the chain - the chain was sovereign.
​  Iran took it as advertised. After getting kicked off SWIFT in 2012 and again in 2018, Tehran did exactly what every sanctions-evasion playbook recommended. Bitcoin mining legalised in 2019Subsidised power rerouted to industrial farms.
​  Over $3 billion moved through digital assets in 2025 alone. The central bank held at least $507 million in USDT, the supposedly neutral dollar-substitute that wasn’t subject to any single government’s say-so.​..
​..On April 23rd, the US Treasury called Tether and asked them to freeze $344 million of Iranian funds on Tron. Tether did it in one single smart-contract call. Two wallets, blacklisted at the issuer level, $213 million in one and $131 million in the other.
​  That money didn’t move or got seized. It instantly became decorative. Visible on the chain, but immobile, a monument to a successful misrepresentation.​   
https://no01.substack.com/p/the-cbdc-we-already-have

​  Trump Is Putting Americans into Digital Prison​, Paul Craig Roberts
The Trump regime has shown that its true agenda is to dump Americans into captivity. Trump and his Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent, a George Soros lackey, are using undocumented aliens as an excuse to force American citizens into total digital surveillance.
​  The Burning Platform explains:
“In a move that exposes the true agenda behind the “America First” rhetoric, the Trump administration is barreling forward with an executive order that will force every American to hand over their biometric facial data or be locked out of the banking system entirely. 
​  Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, a longtime Soros protégé who helped wreck the British economy in the 1992 Black Wednesday raid [by Soros on the British currency], has confirmed the policy is “in process.” Banks will be required to verify every customer’s citizenship using a U.S. passport containing embedded RFID chips and government-ready facial recognition biometrics. No passport? No bank account. Period. Real ID, driver’s licenses, and every other common document will not suffice.​   https://paulcraigroberts.org/trump-is-putting-americans-into-digital-prison/

​  Ukraine damages energy facilities in Zaporozhye in course of attack​ This led to a partial power outage in populated areas of the region, reported regional governor Yevhen Balitsky​   https://tass.com/politics/2124533

​  Russian troops were already holding Chernobyl when it was attacked by Ukrainian drones. They still do: U.S. Commits $100 Million to Repair Chornobyl Nuclear Containment Damaged in Russian Drone Strike
​  Ukraine has established a dedicated national fund to manage incoming international assistance, with the Chornobyl Nuclear Power Plant formalizing grant agreements to initiate the restoration process...
​..The U.S. contribution forms part of a coordinated initiative among the Group of Seven nations to address nuclear safety risks at the site. Officials stated that total restoration requirements are currently estimated at approximately €500 million (around $530 million), following consultations with international partners and technical assessments.
​  The U.S. share represents roughly one-fifth of the projected total. The State Department indicated it will work with Congress to secure the funding allocation and has called on European partners and other G7 members to provide additional financial support.​   
https://www.thedefensenews.com/news-details/US-Commits-100-Million-to-Repair-Chornobyl-Nuclear-Containment-Damaged-in-Russian-Drone-Strike/

​  John Helmer, THE KURSK SYNDROME – PRESIDENT PUTIN IS DISPLAYING SYMPTOMS OF AN OLD PROBLEM RUSSIAN VOTERS RECOGNISE
In Putin’s public speech to a session of his economic ministers and advisors, including Central Bank chief Elvira Nabiullina, on April 15, the President acknowledged the obvious: “Statistics show that economic growth has, unfortunately, been slowing for two consecutive months. Overall, GDP contracted by 1.8 percent between January and February. Manufacturing and industrial production as a whole have suffered losses, as has construction, a strategically important sector.”  ​ He then told voters not to blame him.​..
..In Ushakov’s summary,  Putin reportedly told Trump that the US threat of “a ground operation on the territory of Iran is completely unacceptable and dangerous.”  For alternative, Putin offered “all possible support for diplomatic efforts to find a peaceful outcome of the crisis and proposed a number of considerations aimed at resolving the differences around the Iranian nuclear program. For these purposes active contacts with Iranian representatives, leaders of the countries will continue in the Persian Gulf, as well as with Israel and, of course, with the team of American negotiators."  
​  Putin omitted to record for Trump Russian support for Iran’s “interests”, as Putin had assured  Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on Monday.   Putin also did not register the Russian objection to the US blockade of the Hormuz Strait, nor to Israeli violations of the ceasefire in Lebanon, according to Ushakov’s read-out.
​  In a press gaggle in Washington, Trump referred to the telephone conversation with Putin.  “We talked,” he said, “more about the war in Ukraine, but he would like to be of help. And I said before,  you help me, I want to end your​ war. So, we had a good talk. I've known him a long time. I think he was ready to make a deal a while ago. I think some people made it difficult for him to make a deal, but we talked more about Ukraine.”​   
https://johnhelmer.net/the-kursk-syndrome-president-putin-is-displaying-symptoms-of-an-old-problem-russian-voters-recognise/#more-94103

​  Gilbert Doctorow, Judging Freedom’ edition of 29 April 2026: Is Putin on the ropes?
I owe Judge Andrew Napolitano...for discussing with me earlier the ‘unthinkable’ in Russian affairs, the possible political defeat of Vladimir Putin’s governing party, United Russia, in the September elections to the lower house of the legislature, the State Duma. As I mention in this chat, latest poll figures put United Russia at just 20% of the electorate, which is a one-third drop from its usual position of 30%,,,
​..If United Russia is indeed scoring 20% electoral support, then it will be neck and neck with the second largest party in Russia, the Communist Partyled by Gennady Zyuganov. And last week, on the anniversary of the birth date of Lenin, delivered a speech in the Duma in which he warned that if the economic and financial policies of the government do not change fundamentally, then there may be in the autumn a new Russian Revolution as in 1917. What he had in mind was the February Revolution, which was in effect a palace coup, that forced Tsar Nicholas II to abdicate. As we know, that put Russia on a slippery path which ended in the Communist Revolution of October 1917.
​  For all of these reasons, I say that the elections in September are as important for Putin’s continued hold on power as the November midterm elections are for Donald Trump.​   
https://gilbertdoctorow.substack.com/p/judging-freedom-edition-of-29-april

​  Alex Krainer on the dealmaking visit of King Charles, presumably on City of London business: Charles III and Britain's pathological obsession with Russia
Yesterday, Charles III called for World War III, echoing the 1945 "Project Unthinkable" Britain's obsession with waging war on Russia is now a mortal danger to all of us.​   https://alexkrainer.substack.com/p/charles-iii-and-britains-pathological

​  Revenge Is A Dish Best Served Cold. Russia Deals Germany Impeccably Timed Oil Blow
News broke last week that starting May 1 Russia will no longer transit oil exports from Kazakhstan to Germany via the Druzhba pipeline.  This is a disaster for Germany and couldn’t come at a worse time with the global supply disruptions caused by the US-Israel war on Iran.
​  The Kazakh oil that Russia delivers to Germany makes up roughly 17 percent of the supply at the Schwedt refinery, which provides the vast majority of diesel, petrol and heating oil for East Germany, including Berlin.
​  Schwedt itself was seized from the Russian oil company Rosneft in 2022, and as Germany scrambles to find new delivery routes for the Kazakh oil, this latest saga offers yet another reminder of how fantastical and self-defeating this whole conflict with Russia is for Berlin.​   
https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2026/04/revenge-is-a-dish-best-served-cold-russia-deals-germany-impeccably-timed-oil-blow.html

​  Not the Democratic​-Party version... Assassination attempt was Staged ~ Russian Special Forces Veteran
US presidential security is purpose-designed to be weak, says a top Russian FSB anti-terrorism expert.
​  The US Secret Service is kept vulnerable to allow for assassination attempts against American leaders, a Russian special forces veteran says.
The latest assassination attempt on US President Donald Trump was a complete security failure. It was a product of systemic weakness that may be deliberate, a special forces veteran of the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) has told RT. 
​  Cole Tomas Allen, a 31‑year‑old teacher from California, has been charged with trying to assassinate the US president during a dinner event at the Washington Hilton on Saturday.
​  Allen had checked into the hotel the day before. On the day of the attack, he used an internal stairwell to get to the hotel’s terrace level, where the event was held.​..
​..Reserve Lieutenant Colonel Andrey Popov, a veteran of the FSB’s elite Alpha Group anti‑terrorism unit, says the Secret Service made several blatant organisational mistakes.
​  He suggested that its repeated failures to prevent attacks on the American leader are ’part of the system.’
​  According to Popov, such an incident would have never happened if the Security Service had followed standard security and anti-terrorism procedures. If the US Security Service had done its due diligence ahead of the event
​  This means properly vetting all the hotel guestsreviewing building planssealing doors and ventilation, setting up proper metal detectors, and stationing additional security forces​...
​..‘In an ordinary decent hotel, a person from the budget zone simply cannot physically get into the VIP zone,’ he said.​ In Russia, such an incident could have never taken place​...
​..He pointed out that security systems in the Moscow Metro are of a much higher standard than at the Trump dinner.​ Metal detectors are installed that cannot be physically bypassed, and multiple security officers in high traffic areas.
  ‘Moscow can afford this, but the Hilton hotel apparently cannot,’ he remarked.​..
​..According to Popov, the Secret Service appears to be intentionally kept this way to allow certain forces to have the possibility of physically eliminating the US president if he does something against their will.
​  ‘This is not only about Trump. This has probably been going on since Kennedy.​ So that the president feels, as we say, someone’s hot breath on his back if he suddenly misbehaves and does not listen to someone’s advice,’ Popov suggested.
​  At the same time, Popov admitted that there are certain abnormalities in the latest attack on Trump, suggesting it could have been staged. He, as well as several keen-eyed users online, have noted the unusually calm response of some of the attendees to the gunshots and even Trump’s own demeanour during and after the incident.​ ‘To him, it did not seem like a surprise,’ Popov saidadding that Americans actively use such things to interrupt an information wave that is unfavorable to them at that moment.
​  ‘We see that already in the news summary. Nobody is reading the US reports on the war on Iran.​ Everyone is only laughing. Iran is winning. And that, in my opinion, does not make Trump very happy.’
​  Popov predicted that, as with the previous assassination attempts on Trump, nobody will be held responsible for this latest incident.​ No changes will be made in the Secret Service. The service must be ’kept in a deprived state’ to allow further attempts on presidents.
​  ‘It is part of their democracy. If they suddenly elect the wrong president, the truly democratic forces must have the ability to correct the situation by eliminating him.’​   
https://michaelwalshwriter.com/2026/04/29/assassination-attempt-was-staged-russian-special-forces-veteran/

​  The US Grid Wasn't Built For This
Global data center power demand is projected to hit 84 GW by 2027a 50 percent jump from 2023 levels—with AI workloads accounting for 27 percent of that total​...
​..The grid cannot keep up with AI. For decades, electricity demand grew slowly and predictably, giving utilities comfortable margins to plan capacity years in advance. That model broke almost overnight. Between 2023 and 2024 alone, utilities’ five-year summer peak demand forecasts jumped from 38 GW to 128 GW, a more than threefold increase in a single planning cycle.
​  Unlike traditional server loads, which are relatively flat and predictable, AI inference and training jobs generate sharp, near-instantaneous power spikes. Large-scale GPU clusters can produce fluctuations of hundreds of megawatts within seconds. That’s a load behavior utilities have no historical model for.
​  Energy companies are no longer treating hyperscale data centers as large customers to be served from the grid, but rather as anchor infrastructure to be co-built with.​   
https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/us-grid-wasnt-built

​  Claude-powered AI coding agent deletes entire company database in 9 seconds — backups zapped, after Cursor tool powered by Anthropic's Claude goes rogue​ - PocketOS founder blames ‘Cursor running Anthropic's flagship Claude Opus 4.6’ plus Railway’s infrastructure for data disaster.​  https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/claude-powered-ai-coding-agent-deletes-entire-company-database-in-9-seconds-backups-zapped-after-cursor-tool-powered-by-anthropics-claude-goes-rogue

​  Autonomous AI renews 192 drugs in Utah pilot, exposing safety and legal gaps
"If you look at the statute for refilling a prescription, it clearly says that the refilling must be authorized by a 'prescriber'—in other words, according to the statute, a 'practitioner licensed by law.'"​   https://medicalxpress.com/news/2026-04-autonomous-ai-renews-drugs-utah.html

GDP Shocker: 75% Of US Growth In The First Quarter Was Due To AI​    https://x.com/zerohedge/status/2049895327566561683

​  Paul Marik MD explains how cancer creates its own metabolic milieu, and how to thwart that:  Reprogramming the Tumor Microenvironment: The Metabolic and Immunologic Trap - The Role of Repurposed Drugs and Nutraceuticals in Metabolic Oncology   https://substack.com/home/post/p-195558467

 Dr. Marik gives detailed explanations for a simple intervention, Exercise and Eliminate Refined Carbs and Sugars: Insulin Resistance: The Silent Engine of Modern Disease - The condition driving obesity, heart disease, cancer, and cognitive decline—yet rarely diagnosed until it’s too late   https://substack.com/home/post/p-195033082

  This was top-down, concerted and is documented: BREAKING: Senate Investigation Finds FDA Officials Covered-Up 25 COVID Shot Safety Signals
FDA’s own data flagged sudden cardiac death, heart attacks, blood clots, neurological damage, and dementia… and the FDA analyst uncovering it was ordered to “cease and desist.”​   https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/breaking-senate-investigation-finds-f15

​  Celia Farber, As Social Media Posts Spike Quoting The 2025 Leaked Prasad FDA Memo Admitting "Career Staff" Certified The First 10 Pediatric Deaths From Covid Shots, Open Vaers Has 201 And Counting. 39,077 Deaths Total. And That's An Estimated 1 % Of The Actual Death Toll. Will Any Mainstream Journalist Investigate? No.​   https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/as-social-media-posts-spike-quoting

​Celia Farber has more, even worse: Unintended Oversights Corrected: The Real Numbers​ - Two Sources That Deserve Spotlight Attention   https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/unintended-oversights-corrected-the

Top Fauci Official, David Morens, Indicted In First Criminal Prosecution Against A Senior Covid Official​: Cause For Jubilation, or Too Little Too Late?​   https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/top-fauci-official-david-morens-indicted

​  Celia Farber, NIH Terminates All Grants To Ralph Baric, UNC Places Him On Leave
I'm Naming Fauci Stasi, The Cult That Crushed His Critics For Decades, And Openly Declared War On Independent Science Journalism In 2006.
 It Will Take Time; The Cult Of Fauci Did Not Start With Covid​   
https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/nih-terminates-all-grants-to-ralph

​  Steve Kirsch explains that after the clinical trial ended, many participants chose to get antibody testing to see if they had gotten the "vaccine" or not, and if they had active COVID that day, or not. The mRNA recipients had recently contracted COVID at the same rate as placebo recipients. Near universal RT-PCR testing at the end of the Moderna trial showed no significant difference between groups
​  Near universal RT-PCR testing at the end of the blinded phase of the Moderna trial showed positives 157 placebo vs. 153 vaccine. At best, after ~2-3 months, any "protection" was gone.​   https://kirschsubstack.com/p/near-universal-rt-pcr-testing-at

​ Climate Physicist, Anastassia Makarieva: China at an Ecohydrological Crossroads, Part III: New Perspectives​ - How ecosystem recovery dynamics can change long-term projections of China's water cycle
​  In this concluding post of the China at an Ecohydrological Crossroads mini-series, we consider what actually happened to China’s water cycle during the decades of re-greening and how the available data can be interpreted when ecosystem processes are taken into account.​   https://bioticregulation.substack.com/p/china-at-an-ecohydrological-crossroads-dc5

  Anton Petrov explains how fungi release ice-nucleation proteins which become airborn and seed rain clouds, complimenting Biotic Pump dynamics.   Mushrooms Have an Ability to Control Rain According to New Study   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3qYyhOjTtSk


Hydrologic Participant (pictured in spring garden after April showers)