Friday, September 20, 2024

Fortunes Of War

 Accepting Fate,


​  Gaza: Doctor dies in Israeli custody after being abducted from al-Shifa Hospital, officials say
Ziad Mohammed al-Dalou is the third physician from Gaza to die in Israeli detention within 11 months​   
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/gaza-doctor-dies-israeli-custody-after-being-abducted-al-shifa-hospital-officials-say

​  Nearly 1,000 Palestinian health workers killed by Israeli forces in Gaza named
Palestinian health ministry says latest data reflects Israel’s ‘systematic and deliberate’ attack on the health system​   
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/nearly-1000-palestinian-health-workers-killed-israeli-forces-gaza-named

​  Israeli Ministers, MKs Urge Netanyahu To Expel Palestinian Civilians From Northern Gaza and ‘Cleanse’ the Area
The plan would involve ordering an evacuation and imposing a complete siege on the area of Gaza north of the Netzarim Corridor​   
https://news.antiwar.com/2024/09/19/israeli-ministers-mks-urge-netanyahu-to-expel-palestinian-civilians-from-northern-gaza-and-cleanse-the-area/

​  Hezbollah’s Nasrallah Says Israel Has ‘Crossed All Red Lines’
​  “With this operation, the enemy crossed all laws and red lines. It didn’t care about anything at all. Not humanity, not morality, not legality,” the Hezbollah leader said. During the speech, Israeli warplanes flew over Beirut and appeared to drop flares...
​..Nasrallah said the Israeli operation “could be considered war crimes or a declaration of war.” He called the attack “unprecedented” and said it dealt a “blow” to Hezbollah. “We cannot be broken by this blow, no matter how big or strong it is. And I can assure you faithfully and with confidence, this hard, unprecedented blow did not bring us to our knees – and it will not,” he said
Nasrallah said that senior Hezbollah officials did not carry the electronic devices that were blown up and added that “what happened did not impact our command, control or infrastructure.”...
​..Nasrallah said civilians were targeted in the attack since explosions occurred in private homes and public places, including hospitals, supermarkets, pharmacies, and crowded streets. A source close to Hezbollah told Middle East Eye that the pagers were used by a “wide network of people, including administrators, medical workers, paramedics, media workers, and other civilian members.”
​  Nasrallah vowed Hezbollah would respond to the Israeli attack and that attacks on Israel would continue until there was a ceasefire in Gaza.​   
https://news.antiwar.com/2024/09/19/hezbollahs-nasrallah-says-israel-has-crossed-all-red-lines/

Israel planned pager attacks for 15 years – ABC News​   https://swentr.site/news/604338-pager-plot-years-abc/

​  Lebanon terror attacks 'long in the making' Israeli op
​  The dual terror attacks that rocked Lebanon this week, killing dozens and injuring thousands, were the result of a “complex and long in the making” Israeli operation, according to 12 current and former defense and intelligence officials who spoke with the New York Times (NYT).
​  “Even before [Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan] Nasrallah decided to expand pager usage, Israel had put into motion a plan to establish a shell company that would pose as an international pager producer,” the NYT report states, referring to Hungary-based BAC Consulting.
​  The shell company served as a front to manufacture thousands of pagers on behalf of Taiwanese company Gold Apollo that were acquired by the Lebanese resistance movement Hezbollah earlier this year. “At least two other shell companies were created to mask the real identities of the people creating the pagers: Israeli intelligence officers,” the report states.
​  “BAC did take on ordinary clients, for which it produced a range of ordinary pagers. But the only client that really mattered was Hezbollah, and its pagers were far from ordinary. Produced separately, they contained batteries laced with the explosive PETN,” three intelligence officers who spoke with the NYT are quoted as saying.
​  On Thursday, Budapest announced that the explosive-laden pagers were “never” in the country.
“Hungarian authorities have established that the company in question is a trading-intermediary company, which has no manufacturing or other site of operation in Hungary. It has one head of operations in Hungary on its listed address and the devices referenced have never been to Hungary,” government spokesman Zoltan Kovacs said via social media.
​  The shipments from BAC started making their way to Lebanon in the summer of 2022 “in small numbers,” but production ramped up earlier this year after Nasrallah denounced the use of smartphones among its ranks.
​  “Over the summer, shipments of the pagers to Lebanon increased, with thousands arriving in the country and being distributed among Hezbollah officers and their allies,” two US intelligence officials told the western news outlet.​   
https://thecradle.co/articles/lebanon-terror-attacks-long-in-the-making-israeli-op-report

​  Hal Turner,  Israeli War Cabinet Grants Permission for War
​  I have spent the past few hours speaking to my former colleagues in the Intelligence Community (IC) from around the world.  Several I personally worked with during my years working with the FBI Joint Terrorism Task Force, where, as regular readers know, I handled national security intelligence, terrorism, and foreign counter-intelligence.
​  To a man, each and every former colleague in the IC told me they believe Israel is in for a surprise when they enter Lebanon.
​  They went on to explain that, regardless of communications being down, every Lebanese village in the South has hundreds of local garrison units and independently functioning cells for Hezbollah.​..
..Moreover, the Lebanese Foreign Minister, in an unprecedented statement to the Lebanese state, said today:
"No one can ask Hezbollah to calm down after the attack that occurred, Hezbollah's response to the attack is necessary."

​  With this statement the Lebanese government is now openly giving Hezbollah free play to respond, instead of asking it to calm tensions.​ This is unprecedented.
​  With the backing of the Lebanese government, Hezbollah will be emboldened to act much harder than before, when they tried to appease the government to at least some extent.​   
https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news-selections/world-news/breaking-news-israeli-war-cabinet-grants-permission-for-war

​  Nine Killed, 59+ Wounded, In Israeli Attack On Beirut Which Took Out Hezbollah Elite Commander​   
​  The death toll has continued to grow following the Friday after Israeli aerial strike on a southern suburb of BeirutLebanon's Health Ministry says nine people have been killed and at least 59 injured, as emergency crews continue picking though the rubble of a leveled residential building.
​  Authorities say children are also among the victims in the neighborhood of Dahiyeh, which is densely populated. The Israeli Army says it has killed a top Hezbollah commander, identified as Ibrahim Akil; however, Hezbollah has yet to confirm or deny. He's said to have served as head of the group's elite special forces. The state-run Lebanese National News Agency has said five children are among the dead.​   
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/huge-israeli-strike-hits-beirut-after-hezbollah-launched-140-rockets

Netanyahu prevails:  No Gaza Ceasefire Before Biden's Term Ends: Admin's Drastic Narrative Shift​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/no-gaza-ceasefire-bidens-term-ends-admin-says-drastic-narrative-shift

​  Paul Craig Roberts notes:  The British Prime Minister and NATO Secretary General Say Putin’s Red Lines Can Be Ignored Because He Never Enforces Them
Putin declared wolf so many times no one believes him when he is finally serious.
​  Except perhaps the US military. The Pentagon seems to have told the White House and Secretary of State to stand down from approving use of long range missiles to attack Russia.
​  Otherwise we are on the verge of nuclear war.​ The irresponsible recklessness of the White House and Secretary of State Blinken should frighten every American.​   
https://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2024/09/19/the-british-prime-minister-and-nato-secretary-general-say-putins-red-lines-can-be-ignored-because-he-never-enforces-them/

​  The empty appearance of an army, in many respects. Ukraine - Recent Front Line Reports Point To Systemic Failures
Two recent piece published in Ukrainian media take a look at the situation in eastern Ukraine and describe the reasons for the crumbling of Ukraine's defense lines.​   
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2024/09/ukraine-recent-front-line-reports-point-to-systemic-failures.html#more

​Previously "peace plan", and purported to completely involve NATO in war against Russia to "work" without giving up territory.  US Says Zelensky's Victory Plan 'Can Work'   https://www.newsweek.com/us-says-ukraine-peace-plan-can-work-1955639

  There was no second objective to follow the invasion... Ukrainian Commanders Urged Zelensky Not To Invade Kursk
POLITICO reports former Commander-in-Chief Valery Zaluzhny opposed the plan when Zelensky first proposed it​   https://news.antiwar.com/2024/09/17/ukrainian-commanders-urged-zelensky-not-to-invade-kursk/

​They were edging back to their historic neutrality:  Switzerland Dumps Neutrality as Senate Rejects Ban on Joining NATO Drills   https://sputnikglobe.com/20240918/switzerland-dumps-neutrality-as-senate-rejects-ban-on-joining-nato-drills-1120191488.html

 Kucinich is Obi wan Kenobi. I love his bright, cheerful, fearless integrity against militarism. Watch: Neocon Congressman Runs Away When Asked If He’ll Debate Opponent Dennis Kucinich   https://www.zerohedge.com/political/watch-neocon-congressman-runs-away-when-asked-if-hell-debate-opponent-dennis-kucinich

The U.S. Has Killed More Than 20 Million People in 37 “Victim Nations” Since World War II​   https://www.globalresearch.ca/us-has-killed-more-than-20-million-people-in-37-victim-nations-since-world-war-ii/5492051

​  Ritter revisits last weekend in an essay:  SCOTT RITTER: 72 Minutes,  To quote Nikita Khrushchev, “The survivors would envy the dead.”
​  Ukraine, together with many of its NATO allies, has been asking for permission from the United States, the United Kingdom, and France to be able to employ precision-guided long-range weapons systems provided by these countries against targets deep inside Russia.
​  On Sept. 6, at a meeting of the Ramstein Contact Group, a forum where U.S.-NATO military support to Ukraine is coordinated, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky personally appealed to the group for more weapons support from its Western allies and called on allies to allow Ukraine to use the weapons they provided to strike deeper inside Russia.​..
​..The stage was now set for Keir Starmer, the prime minister of the United Kingdom, to fly to Washington, D.C., last Friday, where he would meet with Biden and jointly agree to give Ukraine permission to use Storm Shadow and ATACMS against targets inside Russia.
​  Russia has long made it clear that it would view any nation which authorized the use of its weapons to strike Russia as a direct party to the conflict.
​  In comments to the media in Russia  last Thursday — one day before the Biden-Starmer meeting at the White House — Russian President Vladimir Putin made it clear that any lifting of the restrictions on Ukrainian use of U.S.- and U.K.-provided long-range weapons would change “the very essence of the conflict.”  He said:
​  “This will mean that NATO countries, the United States, European countries are fighting Russia. And if this is the case, then…we will make appropriate decisions in response to the threats that will be posed to us.”​ ...
..Just to drive the point home, Russia’s ambassador to the United Nations, Vassily Nebenzia, told the Security Council last Friday that NATO would “be a direct party to hostilities against a nuclear power,” if it allowed Ukraine to use longer range weapons against Russia. “You shouldn’t forget about this and think about the consequences,” he declared.
​  The finishing touches on driving home the seriousness of Putin’s warning was left to the Russian ambassador to the United States, Anatoly Antonov. Speaking to the Russian media also last Friday Antonov said he was surprised that many American officials believed that​  “if there is a conflict, it will not spread to the territory of the United States of America. I am constantly trying to convey to them one thesis that the Americans will not be able to sit it out behind the waters of this ocean. This war will affect everyone, so we constantly say – do not play with this rhetoric.”​ ... “Yesterday’s statements from Vladimir Putin were weighed very carefully here. Several ex-officials called me asking to explain what actually stands behind those statements. I simply replied: ‘Don’t play with fire.’”
​  Antonov’s sentiments were likely echoed through existing back-channel communications used by the Department of Defense and the C.I.A.
In the end, the message got through — Biden pulled back from giving Ukraine the permissions it sought.

​  Most Americans are unaware about how close they came to waking up Saturday morning, only to find that it was their last.
​  Had Biden yielded to Starmer’s pressure (the British, together with Ukraine and several NATO nations, believed that Putin was bluffing), and signed off on the permission, Ukraine was prepared to launch strikes on Russia that night.​  
(British soldiers deployed in Ukraine would be needed to operate the Storm Shadows and they are already there, according to German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, who has refused to send similar weapons to Ukraine.)
​  Russia would likely have responded with conventional attacks on Kiev using new weapons, such as the Avangard hypersonic warhead, which would each deliver a blow equivalent to 26-28 tons of explosives.
​  Russia would also most likely have struck NATO targets in Poland and Romania where Ukrainian fighters are based. And, lastly, Russia would have struck British military targets, possibly including those on the British Isles.
​  This would prompt a NATO retaliation under Article 5, using a large number of NATO long-range strike weapons targeting Russian command and control, airfields, and ammunition storage facilities.
​  The Russian response would most likely involve the launching of more Avangard conventional warheads against NATO targets, including Ramstein airbase and NATO headquarters, as well as airbases from which strikes against Russia were launched.
​  At this juncture the United States, using nuclear employment plans derived from a nuclear posture which emphasizes the pre-emptive use of low yield nuclear weapons to “escalate to deescalate”— i.e., force Russia to back down through a demonstration of capability — would authorize the use of one or more low-yield nuclear warheads against Russian targets on Russian soil.
​  But Russian doctrine has no capacity for engaging in a limited nuclear war. Instead, Russia would respond with a general nuclear retaliation targeting all of Europe and the United States.​ Whatever U.S. strategic forces that survived this onslaught would be fired at Russia.
And then we all die.
72 minutes.​   
https://consortiumnews.com/2024/09/19/scott-ritter-72-hours/

2 ​follow up Hal Turner stories from yesterday's post pertain to that Friday morning ("deconfliction message"?) and Monday:  

  Above-Ground "Incident" (Explosion) in Washington State, "Sends Message" to US - Device passed Right Over Naval Base Bremerton  9/13/2021
The United States Geological Survey reports an "Other Event" caused the equivalent of a Magnitude 2.7 earthquake, 0.8 km ABOVE ground  at 09:12 UTC this morning.  Word is this "Other Event" was . . . . an explosion - possibly of a Hypersonic missile --sent as "a message" to the Untied States...
..There are mountains in that area where the "other event" took place at a "Depth" of -0.8km.  Yes, that's a minus sign in front of the "Depth" meaning the "Other Event" took place above the ground by about 2,624 feet.  Some of the mountains in that area ARE that high.  So if a missile hit a mountain at that height, the resulting explosion could very well register as a Magnitude 2.7 earthquake "above" ground.
  For a frame of reference, when the World Trade Center in New York City collapsed in the attacks of September 11, 2001, seismographs registered the massive collapse as a Magnitude 2.1 "earthquake."   So the fact that this "Other Event" registers stronger . . . . as 2.7 . . . . gives readers an idea of how powerful this "other event" actually was.
  There is no visual evidence of any Landslide in that area.  There is no major snowpack yet, and so there is no sign of any massive Avalanche.
So what caused this "Other Event" as being reported by the US Geological Survey?
  Was it a "message" to the USA over its continued meddling in the Russia-Ukraine conflict?
Was it a clear warning from, perhaps, a Russian Submarine, that the US authorizing Ukraine to use West-supplied, long-range, precision missiles against Russia, could result in Russia using missiles against the USA?   
https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news-selections/national-news/above-ground-incident-explosion-in-washington-state-sends-message-to-us-device-past-right-over-naval-base-bremerton

  ​That was last Friday, then Turner noted this on this past Monday, 9/16/24:  2:57 PM EDT -- Never Been This Many MILITARY Aircraft in-Flight Over USA
As of 2:57 PM eastern US time on September 16, 2024 there are literally HUNDREDS of military aircraft flying over the continental United States (CONUS).
The image above from Ads-B Exchange shows **ONLY** Military Aircraft! ! ! ! !   I am 62 years old and I have never seen this many military in the air in my entire life.
​  Those of you who think the likelihood of World War 3 is a "nothing burger" or that folks like me who point out where we are heading - right into World War 3 -- somehow makes me "Chicken Little, The Sky is Falling," would do well to wake up and see what is actually taking place.
​  The US, EU, NATO continue escalating the Russia-Ukraine conflict to the point where Russia has the United Kingdom surrounded by nuclear submarines (Story Here), awaiting orders to attack specific sites in the UK.  
​  At least eleven Russian submarines are off the US East coast (Story Here), as many as nine nuclear-powered cruise missile submarines and 21 diesel-electric attack submarines. off our West Coast from Alaska down to San Diego, CA (Story Here).  Several more subs are near the Gulf of Mexico.
​  Anyone who thinks this is a joke, or just "posturing" is either in emotional "denial" or is simply a fool.​   
https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news-selections/national-news/2-57-pm-edt-never-been-this-many-military-aircraft-in-flight-over-usa

​  Must Have World War or Lose Power!  Tucker Carlson: They Want a ‘War with Iran Before Election’ to Stop Trump
Former Fox News host Tucker Carlson made an unsettling prediction about what the Washington establishment may be planning before the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
​  Tucker warned that if Democrats are faced with a Trump victory in November, they would likely “throw the society into chaos” as a last-ditch attempt to hold on to power.
​  According to Tucker, the next black swan event could be “a war with Iran.”
The former Fox News host highlighted the COVID-19 pandemic and nationwide lockdowns that were used last time to incite such “chaos,” dubbing it “the pretext for changing the way [Americans] vote.”​...
​..“If they feel like they’re gonna lose, we will have some kind of crisis.”
“I think it’s most likely to be a war with Iran, which they want anyway, but who knows.”
​  Meanwhile, former congressman Ron Paul also warned of an impending black swan event.
Earlier this year, Paul urged Americans to prepare for an imminent catastrophic global event heading into the election.
​  “I think we’re reaching this point where some sudden thing is going to happen,” Paul told Carlson.“I believe in that theory of the black swan,” he added.
“Yes, It’s going to pop up, and it’s not going to be controllable,” Paul continued.​ He went on to explain how the next disruptive event could be worse than the 2008 financial crisis and the September 11th terrorist attacks in New York.“I think the most important thing they can do is understand what’s going on,” Paul said.
“You can have your guns and your stored foods and all that. It’s not going to work,” he said.​ “You have to understand what’s happening. You have to know it’s coming, and it’s very, very dangerous,” Paul continued.​   
https://www.dailyfetched.com/tucker-carlson-they-want-a-war-with-iran-before-election-to-stop-trump/

​  The truth of the latest bomb Trump assassination scare could be darker than you imagine
​  News spread like wildfire yesterday of yet another assassination attempt against Trump as explosives were allegedly found in a car near the location Trump was scheduled to speak at his Long Island rally.
​  James Lelino:​  Sources in the Nassau County Police Department just told me that “the perimeter was breached and a blue barrel was removed” from the area surrounding tonight’s Trump rally site.
​  Source said “During K9, doing their checks, they found an explosive device in one of the vehicles and that driver ended up running into the woods. No one saw if he had anything on him, they just saw him take off running. A lot of cars are now parking, they’re lining up on Hempstead Turnpike, just parking on the grass. Even over at Eisenhower Park, they’re just parking over there.”
​  Almost as quickly as the story spread, the media swooped in to debunk it as “misinformation.” Report after report came out suggesting that the paranoid Trump supporters just fell for another conspiracy theory—silly of them to take such reports seriously; after all, Trump had only experienced two assassination attempts before, so reports of a third couldn’t possibly be credible, could they?​   https://revolver.news/2024/09/truth-of-latest-bomb-trump-assassination-scare-could-be-darker-than-you-imagine/

 ​  No bomb went off. "Blue-Collar-Billionaire", "Orange Jesus"... New Yorkers Show Up by the Tens of Thousands for Donald Trump
​  The regular New Yorkers, the working people, showed up by the tens of thousands at the Trump rally in Nassau Coliseum on Long Island last night. The working people are moving more and more to Donald Trump because the elites are not there for them. In fact, quite the opposite. They want to rule over us.
​  There were a lot more people outside the venue, watching from the parking lot.​   
https://www.independentsentinel.com/new-yorkers-show-up-by-the-tens-of-thousands-for-donald-trump/

​  GOP Sen. Josh Hawley Releases Whistleblower Report On First Assassination Attempt On Trump In Butler
​  A 21-page whistleblower report about the July 13, 2024, assassination attempt on Donald Trump in Butler, Penn., arrived this week from the office of Sen. Josh Hawley (R-Mo.). The main takeaway is that the U.S. Secret Service is to blame for “failing to prevent it.”​  [Hitler "failed to prevent" World War-2.]​   https://conservativefiringline.com/gop-sen-josh-hawley-releases-whistleblower-report-on-first-assassination-attempt-on-trump-in-butler-have-a-look/

Democrat Sen Blumenthal: Biden-Harris Admin Is ‘Stonewalling’ Investigation into Trump Assassination Attempts​   https://slaynews.com/news/democrat-sen-blumenthal-biden-harris-admin-stonewalling-investigation-trump-assassination-attempts/

Rep. Gaetz: DHS Knows of 5 ‘Assassination Teams’ Targeting Trump​, 'Three of these teams are foreign-inspired, from my understanding—Iranians, Ukraine, Pakistan...'​   https://headlineusa.com/rep-gaetz-dhs-knows-of-5-assassination-teams-targeting-trump/

​  Trump has a bulletproof glass cage that travels with him, and would reflect UV away.   Was Trump Attacked With an Infrared Laser, Sending 20+ People to the ER? 

email from a reader:
​  My first take on the eye injuries at the latest Trump Rally is likelyhood of an infared (non-seeable) laser was aimed at Trump but injuring those behind him.
These injuries were common during the Gulf War (1992) when infrared targeting lasers swept the desert battlefield day and night. One cannot tell immediately when exposed but later when the eye inflammation starts.
​  The laser-eye injury threat was largely why desert soldiers wore protective eyewear day and night. At night the iris is more open and allows more eye damage. 
https://discernreport.com/was-trump-attacked-with-an-infrared-laser-sending-20-people-to-the-er/#google_vignette

​  Can Harris’s Cynical, Run-out-the Clock Campaign Succeed?
​  Cynically running out the clock has been the overarching principle of the entire abbreviated 105-day presidential campaign of Kamala Harris—ever since Joe Biden, at the 11th-hour, dropped out in July.
​  Harris seems unwilling or unable to answer any impromptu question that she has not been previously prepped for. Her answers at the debate were memorized and canned. They never addressed the questions asked.​   
https://victorhanson.com/can-harriss-cynical-run-out-the-clock-campaign-succeed/

​  Celia Farber: Border Patrol Agent Testifies Biden Admin Ordered Him To Conceal Arrests Of Terror-Affiliated Migrants: "The Administration Was Trying To Convince The Public There Was No Threat At The Border."   https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/border-patrol-agent-testifies-biden

​  Black Illegal Immigrant Who Stabbed Family Of Four To Death Labeled As "White" In Monroe County Jail Roster
A black illegal immigrant, already wanted for murder in his home country of the Dominican Republic, wound up stabbing a family of four, including two toddlers in upstate New York.​ Then, in the in the Monroe County Jail roster, he was recorded as "white".​   https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/black-illegal-immigrant-who-stabbed-family-four-death-labeled-white-monroe-county-jail

House Passes Bill To Deport Illegal Immigrants Convicted Of Sex Offenses​   https://www.zerohedge.com/political/house-passes-bill-deport-illegal-immigrants-convicted-sex-offenses

​  Diddy’s Ex Reveals Underage ‘Rape Tapes’ Featuring ‘Household Names’ Used as Blackmail Material
​  Diddy’s ex-girlfriend Kim Porter, the mother of three of his children, revealed the existence of “rape tapes” featuring underage pop stars of both genders in recently published diaries of her relationship with the music mogul.​   https://thepeoplesvoice.tv/diddys-ex-reveals-gay-rape-tapes-featuring-underage-pop-stars-were-used-as-blackmail-material/

​  Report: Diddy Sold Child Rape Tapes of Bieber to Multiple Hollywood A-Listers
P Diddy filmed multiple videos of himself raping Justin Bieber when he was a young child and sold the tapes to multiple Hollywood A-listers, according to new allegations.​   https://thepeoplesvoice.tv/report-diddy-sold-child-rape-tapes-of-bieber-to-multiple-hollywood-a-listers/

“The UK Has Criminalized Dissent”: The Transition of Britain and the West Into Tyranny. Former British Ambassador Craig Murray​   https://www.globalresearch.ca/craig-murry-transition-britain-west-tyranny/5868297

  Meryl Nass MD, (It has lovely wording, I see.)  A very thoughtful analysis of the Pact for the Future
A long read but worthwhile to learn more about the Pact than I provided​   https://merylnass.substack.com/p/a-very-thoughtful-analysis-of-the

​  Steve Kirsch,  It's ridiculously easy to calculate a lower bound estimate on the number of Americans killed by the COVID vaccine: 500K
All you need is one honest paramedic, the number of paramedics, and knowledge of the Poisson distribution. This isn't rocket science. So why isn't anyone else making these estimates?​   https://kirschsubstack.com/p/its-ridiculously-easy-to-calculate

​This was disproven by March 2020,  Meryl Nass MD:  The usual suspects are at it again, claiming COVID came from the animal market.   https://merylnass.substack.com/p/the-usual-suspects-are-at-it-againclaiming

  Meryl Nass MD, They won't let up: More FRAUD to take down *hydroxychloroquine* before the next scamdemic  
Scientific misconduct needs to be made into a real crime with penalties like jail and big bucks. ​  
  Addendum: “Recently, a physician in India made this fascinating observation: “In the 1985-86 edition of ‘Harrison’s Principles of Internal Medicine’ [a highly recommended book for students in medical school], Dr. Fauci wrote that HCQ worked as an anti-viral agent despite being an anti-malarial drug. There was no COVID-19 back then. HCQ’s anti-viral properties were known.'”   https://merylnass.substack.com/p/they-wont-let-up-more-fraud-to-take

"Something completely different" (We look for old Toyotas in good condition.)  These Are The World's Most Reliable Car Brands   https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/these-are-worlds-most-reliable-car-brands

Spinning Wheel   (Pictured proceeding up that hill as Dad and kid jog towards car backing out of blind driveway. They were oblivious to 3 warnings, but the driver was careful.)


Thursday, September 19, 2024

Decision Trees

 Sharing Fairly,


  Picture yourself as a well-informed owner of the global economy, one of 1000, perhaps, who understands that the global economy, driven mainly by oil, has peaked and is looking at a long decline, The global economic pie will shrink for the rest of your life. A lot of people are entitled to their bits of that pie, and few of them know that it is inexorably shrinking. What do you think you will discuss as an action plan with the other 999 owners at Davos?

  Surplus Energy Economics,  Project 2050, part one   THE END OF MODERNITY AND A RACE TO THE BOTTOM
 Well before 2050, what we think of as “modernity” will have come to an end. Governments are going to try to counter this process by driving public debt up to stratospheric levels
  A reasonable interpretation might be that governments know we can’t borrow our way to prosperity, but have no options beyond ‘extend, pretend and distract’.
  As you may know, the time horizon of SEEDS projections has been extended by ten years, to 2050. This, as we shall see, captures the final era of modernity...
..There are many versions of the term “modernity”, but we’re going to use an economic definition here.
  For our purposes, modernity is a condition in which individuals and societies can afford to spend large sums on discretionary (non-essential) products and services. On this basis, “pre-modernity” societies were ones in which the vast bulk of economic resources had to be used to ensure the supply of necessities.
  What the SEEDS time extension is revealing is that this version of modernity will very largely be gone by the end of the 2040s...
..Our first conclusion can only be that it seems abundantly clear that government expenditures – stated in real terms – are already soaring. Interestingly, transfer payments (including benefits and pensions) seem to be rising markedly more rapidly than spending on public services (such as health care, education and defence).
  This implies that one reason for the rapid expansion of government spending might be to assist households – and thus minimise dissatisfaction – by providing support as the real costs of necessities carry on rising more rapidly than incomes (see Fig. 1A).   


..A picture may be worth a thousand words, but only two emerge from the graphs in Fig. 1.
  The first is “QE”, implying that central banks will have to finance an increasing proportion of government largesse with newly-created (“printed”) money. To paraphrase Milton Freidman, ‘excess money creation is always and everywhere inflationary’.
  The second word is “crash”. Anticipating what kind of crash, and when, requires a shift of focus from the purely monetary to the material...
..The primary purpose of the economy isn’t to move money around, but to supply material products and services to society.
It does this by using energy to convert raw materials into products, and into those physical artefacts without which services cannot be provided. It cannot be repeated too often that money has no intrinsic worth, but commands value only as a “claim” on these material products and services.
  The factors that determine the performance of the real (material) economy are: the supply of energy; its proportionate cost; the quality of the non-energy natural resource base; and the numbers of people between whom economic prosperity is shared...
..The biggest negatives in the “real” economic scene are (a) rising material energy costs, and (b) continuing (though decelerating) growth in the World’s population.
  The Energy Costs of Energy are climbing relentlessly, a process which can barely be moderated, let alone reversed, by the expansion of renewables (see Fig. 2A). These renewables have inferior qualities (most notably, lesser energy densities) than fossil fuels, and are fossil-dependent (making raw material demands that can only be met using legacy energy from oil, natural gas and coal).
  ECoEs from all sources of energy, having risen from 2% in 1980 to 10.6% now, are likely to reach 13% by 2030, 18% by 2040 and 25% by 2050.
  The advanced economies of the West cannot grow their prosperity at ECoEs above 5%, and neither can EM (emerging market) economies carry on expanding when – as is now the case – ECoEs get into double figures.
  As producer costs rise and consumer prosperity decreases, aggregate energy supply is likely to contract. But the really big problem is the fast-growing proportion of energy subject to the “first call” on resources made by ECoE (Fig. 2B).
  Top-line economic output is starting to inflect from growth into contraction, even as population numbers continue to increase (Fig. 2C). If we add population growth, and the relentless rise in ECoEs, into the equation, global average prosperity per person has already turned down, and this rate of decline can be expected to accelerate (Fig. 2D).
 

 
The critical points here are (a) that the economy of today can’t possibly co-exist with ECoEs of 13%, let alone 25%, and (b) that we have nothing that can prevent this surge in ECoEs from happening.
  In short, we’re going to get successively less prosperous over time. We can certainly try to manage this process, but we can’t stop it from happening...
..The impending end of modernity (defined as the age of discretionaries) is illustrated in the next set of charts. From here on, just as material prosperity decreases as the fossil fuels era winds down, so the real costs of essentials will carry on rising, primarily because of the high energy-intensity of so many necessities, including housing, transport, distribution and the supply of food and water.
  In 2023, estimated essentials accounted for 32% of ,material economic prosperity. This number is projected to rise to 38% by 203052% by 2040 and 79% by 2050 (see Fig. 3B). Discretionaries, as a proportion of global economic resources, actually peaked in 2004, at 49%, and are set to fall to just 17% by 2050... But, with population numbers still increasing, the per capita affordability of discretionary purchases has already turned down (Fig. 3C).
  Though global top-line prosperity per capita has long been flat-lining ahead of an unfolding downturn, only now are households starting to experience the ‘pincer effect’ imposed by rises in the real costs of essentials (Fig. 3D).

 ..
For now, though, here are some regional examples of discretionary compression. China can weather this transition better than most, whilst prospects are markedly better for the United States than for the Euro Area. In Britain, the projected costs of essentials actually overtake aggregate material prosperity by the mid-2040s.

What this really means in practice – in the United Kingdom and elsewhere – is that products and services currently regarded as “essential” will revert to the status of “luxuries”. Not even rampant, highly-dangerous debt expansion will enable governments to maintain current levels of public services whilst simultaneously trying to prop up the ability of all their citizens to meet the rising costs of household necessities.   

  Oil Man Supremo, Art Berman:  The End of Growth: Why Oil Prices are Falling  [High oil costs make weak businesses fail, lowering demand. Low oil prices shut down rigs.]
Paradigms hold on until they can no longer offer believable explanations for what’s happening. Oil markets and the global economy are now in the middle of such a shift...
..On Tuesday September 10, Brent futures price fell to its lowest level in three years as prices dropped more than $12 in fourteen days.
The old paradigm of “inventory deficits” has faded, swiftly replaced by “China weakness.” Ironically, inventory deficits remain as persistent as ever, while serious concerns about China’s economic slowdown have been prevalent for at least the past two years...
..The reality is that weak oil demand has been the main force pushing prices down in recent years, but geopolitical factors—including OPEC production cuts—have repeatedly stepped in to prop them up. The longer geopolitics artificially sustains the market, the more severe the price correction will be once the next crisis fades...
..Transportation is responsible for 60 percent of global oil consumption, and gasoline and diesel account for 54 percent of total petroleum use. Since 2021, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) has been projecting flattening consumption for these refined products...
..It’s difficult to get reliable data on current world consumption by fuel type but the United States is a major exporter and U.S. export data is a good proxy. The amount of crude oil going into U.S refineries has stabilized at more than 1 mmb/d lower than 2018-2019 average levels over the last two years. About half of that decrease is because U.S. consumption is lower, and the rest reflects lower global demand of which the U.S. is a big part—the U.S. uses about 25% of world gasoline and diesel...
..Oil traders are more bearish now than at any point in the history of the Brent futures market. That’s not just noise—it’s a signal you can’t ignore...
..Low supply urgency is the reason oil prices are dropping today, even as inventory levels decline. This is largely due to the slowdown in global economic growth, which goes beyond post-pandemic inflation or rising interest rates.
  The globalization of trade and manufacturing, which accelerated in the 1980s, gave a major boost to struggling developed economies. China’s rapid rise was a defining feature of this period, but its growth peaked in 2007.
  That was also about the time that U.S. oil, gasoline and diesel consumption reached their maximum levels. U.S oil consumption peaked in 2005 at 20.9 mmb/d. Diesel consumption peaked in 2007 and gasoline in 2017None have recovered to pre-pandemic levels...
..The global economy has matured. While there are regions where growth remains strong and others just beginning their development, the overall patterns are becoming clearer. It seems increasingly unlikely that we will see another China story—a rapid economic rise on the same scale...
..While world gasoline and diesel consumption continues to rise, its rate of increase is slowing. In fact, data through July suggests that 2024 consumption is likely to be flat with 2023.
 As critically, world gasoline & diesel per-capita consumption peaked in 2015. That reflects a fundamental demographic shift...
..At its most fundamental level, oil and refined product consumption is directly tied to population growth... In most advanced economies, growth is slowing, and China’s population size has actually declined since 2020...
..The global oil market is undergoing a significant transformation driven by a complex interplay of geopolitical events and shifting market fundamentals. While traditional paradigms have heavily focused on supply and demand metrics, it’s becoming increasingly clear that the influence of geopolitical factors has been consistently underestimated... Geopolitical risks to oil supply and concerns about an overextended and slowing global economy have been the dominant factors shaping oil price trends in the 21st century...
..Paradigms don’t change easily. They’re entrenched, comfortable, and persist until reality can no longer be ignored. Cracks start to show, anomalies pile up, but no one acts—at least not until the situation becomes critical. Only then, when the old model collapses under its own weight, do we see a shift. It’s not a smooth transition; it’s messy and uncomfortable, but the crisis forces us into a new understanding... Analysts and economists continue to force today’s realities into obsolete models. Oil isn’t just a commodity; it’s the foundation of the global economyIt signals where the future is heading. Right now, oil markets are flashing a clear message: the era of growth is over—not just for oil but for the global economy.   
https://www.artberman.com/blog/the-end-of-growth-why-oil-prices-are-falling/

  Caitlin Johnstone points out that it's not "terrorism" when we and our friends kill families.  On War Crimes And Western Hypocrisy
  The death toll has risen to 12 from Israel’s terror attack in Lebanon on Tuesday which detonated explosive materials hidden in thousands of pagers. Another 20 people were then killed in another attack on Wednesday with a second wave of explosions, this time using walkie talkies and home solar energy systems.
  The total death toll now sits at 32. Two children and four healthcare workers are among the dead. Thousands have been injured.
  As you would expect, western empire managers are getting really squirmy about this. White House spokesman John Kirby adamantly refused to answer any questions involving Israel’s responsibility for the attacks during a press conference on Wednesday, despite Israel being widely reported as the responsible party, with outlets like The New York Times citing US officials as their source.   
https://www.caitlinjohnst.one/p/on-war-crimes-and-western-hypocrisy

  Israel bombed a residential block in Gaza. Then drones shot at anyone trying to rescue the survivors
On September 17, the Israeli army bombed a block near the al-Bureij refugee camp
, completely destroying seven homes and trapping dozens under the rubble. When rescuers arrived at the scene to help, Israeli drones started firing at them as well.   
https://mondoweiss.net/2024/09/israel-bombed-a-residential-block-in-gaza-then-drones-shot-at-anyone-trying-to-rescue-the-survivors/

Blind amputees... 22,500 Palestinians Now Have Life-Changing Injuries Due to Israel’s Genocide   https://scheerpost.com/2024/09/16/22500-palestinians-now-have-life-changing-injuries-due-to-israels-genocide/

  Israel is joining the first global AI convention, here’s why that’s dangerous
Over the last year Israel has weaponized AI in its genocide in Gaza, deploying AI-driven surveillance and automated targeting systems which has killed tens of thousandsIsrael’s participation in the first global AI treaty raises serious questions.   
https://mondoweiss.net/2024/09/israel-is-joining-the-first-global-ai-convention-heres-why-thats-dangerous/

  In disturbing escalation against the Palestine movement, UK police arrest journalists and activists under Terrorism Act
In recent weeks, journalists Sarah Wilkinson and Richard Medhurst, as well as Palestine Action co-founder Richard Barnard were all arrested under the the UK's Terrorism Act. Critics say it is a direct attack on the Palestine movement.   
https://mondoweiss.net/2024/09/in-disturbing-escalation-against-the-palestine-movement-uk-police-arrest-journalists-and-activists-under-terrorism-act/

  UN General Assembly Calls for End to Israeli Occupation of Palestinian Territories   
The UN General Assembly on Wednesday voted overwhelmingly in favor of a resolution calling for an end to Israel’s occupation of the Palestinian territories.
  The resolution passed in a vote of 124-14, with 43 nations abstaining. The resolution affirmed an advisory opinion from the International Court of Justice that deemed the Israeli occupation of the West Bank, Gaza, and East Jerusalem to be illegal.
  The resolution sets a 12-month timeline for Israeli forces and settlers to leave the occupied territories. However, like the ICJ ruling, the resolution is not legally binding, and the UN has no way of enforcing it.   
https://news.antiwar.com/2024/09/18/un-general-assembly-calls-for-end-to-israeli-occupation-of-palestinian-territories/

"Such exports breached humanitarian law."  Germany has stopped approving war weapons exports to Israel, source says   https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/09/19/world/politics/germany-war-weapons-israel/

  MBS: No Saudi-Israel normalization until Palestinians get a state
The Kingdom's crown prince throws cold water on Biden’s ‘grand bargain,’ days after Oman does the same   
https://responsiblestatecraft.org/saudi-normalization-israel/

  Iran still holds the counter-attack card.  Iran reserves right to self-defense against 'Israel': Pezeshkian  
During his first press conference since assuming office, the Iranian President says his country is coordinating with its partners to confront "Israel".   https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/iran-reserves-right-to-self-defense-against--israel---pezesh

  Russian President approves proposal to conclude comprehensive strategic partnership with Iran
  A document published on the official website of legal affairs in Russia stated: "The proposal of the Russian Foreign Ministry, agreed with the interested federal government bodies and organizations, to sign a comprehensive strategic partnership agreement between the Russian Federation and the Islamic Republic of Iran has been accepted." The document refers to a recommendation to sign the agreement at the highest level.   https://www.saba.ye/en/news3373612.htm

  Iran says it's not from them, so Russian?  YAF release footage of hypersonic 'Palestine 2' launch toward Tel Aviv
The Yemeni Military Media unit releases footage documenting the Yemeni Armed Forces' launch operation against Tel Aviv, showcasing the "Palestine 2" hypersonic missile deployed in the attack.   https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/yaf-release-footage-of-hypersonic--palestine-2--launch-towar

  YAF publish footage of US MQ-9 Reaper shot down above Dhamar   The footage shows the Yemeni air defenses successfully targeting and downing a US MQ-9 drone in Yemen's airspace.   https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/yaf-publish-footage-of-us-mq-9-reaper-shot-down-above-dhamar

  Hal Turner returns us to that "communication" from Russia on a deconfliction channel last week, which George Galloway interviewed Scott Ritter about last weekend. Seventy-two minutes to end the world   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G4B-Cs51S34
  Above-Ground "Incident" (Explosion) in Washington State, "Sends Message" to US - Device passed Right Over Naval Base Bremerton  9/13/2021
The United States Geological Survey reports an "Other Event" caused the equivalent of a Magnitude 2.7 earthquake, 0.8 km ABOVE ground  at 09:12 UTC this morning.  Word is this "Other Event" was . . . . an explosion - possibly of a Hypersonic missile --sent as "a message" to the Untied States...
..There are mountains in that area where the "other event" took place at a "Depth" of -0.8km.  Yes, that's a minus sign in front of the "Depth" meaning the "Other Event" took place above the ground by about 2,624 feet.  Some of the mountains in that area ARE that high.  So if a missile hit a mountain at that height, the resulting explosion could very well register as a Magnitude 2.7 earthquake "above" ground.
  For a frame of reference, when the World Trade Center in New York City collapsed in the attacks of September 11, 2001, seismographs registered the massive collapse as a Magnitude 2.1 "earthquake."   So the fact that this "Other Event" registers stronger . . . . as 2.7 . . . . gives readers an idea of how powerful this "other event" actually was.
  There is no visual evidence of any Landslide in that area.  There is no major snowpack yet, and so there is no sign of any massive Avalanche.
So what caused this "Other Event" as being reported by the US Geological Survey?
  Was it a "message" to the USA over its continued meddling in the Russia-Ukraine conflict?
Was it a clear warning from, perhaps, a Russian Submarine, that the US authorizing Ukraine to use West-supplied, long-range, precision missiles against Russia, could result in Russia using missiles against the USA?   
https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news-selections/national-news/above-ground-incident-explosion-in-washington-state-sends-message-to-us-device-past-right-over-naval-base-bremerton

  ​That was last Friday, then Turner noted this on this past Monday, 9/16/24:  2:57 PM EDT -- Never Been This Many MILITARY Aircraft in-Flight Over USA
As of 2:57 PM eastern US time on September 16, 2024 there are literally HUNDREDS of military aircraft flying over the continental United States (CONUS).
The image above from Ads-B Exchange shows **ONLY** Military Aircraft! ! ! ! !   I am 62 years old and I have never seen this many military in the air in my entire life.
​  Those of you who think the likelihood of World War 3 is a "nothing burger" or that folks like me who point out where we are heading - right into World War 3 -- somehow makes me "Chicken Little, The Sky is Falling," would do well to wake up and see what is actually taking place.
​  The US, EU, NATO continue escalating the Russia-Ukraine conflict to the point where Russia has the United Kingdom surrounded by nuclear submarines (Story Here), awaiting orders to attack specific sites in the UK.  
​  At least eleven Russian submarines are off the US East coast (Story Here), as many as nine nuclear-powered cruise missile submarines and 21 diesel-electric attack submarines. off our West Coast from Alaska down to San Diego, CA (Story Here).  Several more subs are near the Gulf of Mexico.
​  Anyone who thinks this is a joke, or just "posturing" is either in emotional "denial" or is simply a fool.​   
https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news-selections/national-news/2-57-pm-edt-never-been-this-many-military-aircraft-in-flight-over-usa

COINCIDENCE? Both Attempted Assassins of President Trump Were in Blackrock Commercials​   https://joehoft.com/coincidence-both-attempted-assassins-of-president-trump-were-in-blackrock-commercials/#google_vignette

​I think Crooks was a ground level patsy for this shooter, myself:  Maxwell Yearick Has Gone Missing Since Trump Rally   https://www.caclubindia.com/assets/maxwell-yearick/  

  17% Say America Would Be Better Off If Trump Had Been Killed
Seventeen percent (17%) of voters believe America would have been better off if former President Trump had been killed in last week’s attempted assassination.
​  That figure includes 28% of Democrats who say that America would have been better off if Trump had been assassinated. Another 24% of Democrats were not sureFewer than half (48%) of Democrats could bring themselves to say that America would not be better off if the opposing party’s candidate for president had been assassinated.
​  Scott Rasmussen, president of RMG Research, said “It is hard to imagine a greater threat to democracy than expressing a desire to have your political opponent murdered.”
​  Despite two assassination attempts in two months, just over half of all Democrats (51%) don’t see a need to increase Trump’s security detail. Among all voters, 62% think Trump’s security should be increased and 32% disagree.
​  Forty-nine percent (49%) of Democrats think it’s at least somewhat likely that Trump himself or the Trump campaign was involved with the assassination attemptwith 21% saying it was very likely. Fifty-two percent (52%) of Republicans think it’s at least somewhat likely that the Democratic Party or the Harris campaign was involved, with 28% saying it’s very likely...
​..This Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 16-17, 2024. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.​   https://napolitaninstitute.org/2024/09/18/17-say-america-would-be-better-off-if-trump-had-been-killed/

​  Gilbert Doctorow's March 28, 2022 essay revisits a book he wrote in 2010.  Great Post-Cold War American Thinkers on International Relations
​  Considering the results of my dissection of the 1990s and early new millennium writings of the established names in the field, some readers of my book decided that I was insincere in designating them as “great.” However, my yardstick was not the intrinsic value of their writings but the degree of influence they bore across the profession and in the foreign policy community at large. There was little to quibble over my choices. Francis Fukuyama, Samuel Huntington, Zbigniew Brzezinski, Henry Kissinger and Noam Chomsky were all well known to the public for several bookshelves of works that have enduring interest up to present.  The less well known names in my “big ten” were Joseph Nye, Stanley Hoffmann, G. John Ikenberry and Robert Kagan.  They were fillers to give my volume enough bulk. I make no apologies for including them because they were still inescapable in 2010 though their residual value today is often negligible.  With one exception, of course, Kagan. I would be remiss not to mention that he is the husband of Victoria Nuland, with whom he shared a Neoconservative world view that he helped to define.
​  The stronger of the authors in my list were complex thinkers, and it took all of my efforts to get my mind around them to produce a critical analysis, including where they “borrowed” many of their ideas from, what was wrong with the sources and what remained wrong in their reworks.​   
https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2022/03/28/great-post-cold-war-americanthinkers-on-international-relations/

​  David Hughes, on the time when a new name had to be found for friendly Nazis:  The Ukraine Connection​  Part 3 - The World Anti-Communist League
​  This is the third part of a series on Ukraine’s historical association with Nazism. It is important to understand the history to be able to make sense of developments in the present. The story continues with the World Anti-Communist League.​   https://dhughes.substack.com/p/the-ukraine-connection-67d

​  What did they use to hit this Russian ammo depot at such great distance?  "Everything is already burning there": Ukrainian Armed Forces hit a large ammunition depot in the Tver region 
  The press service emphasized that air defense systems continue to repel a "massive drone attack in the skies above the city." The number of UAVs suppressed or destroyed is not specified.    https://en.topcor.ru/51657-gorit-tam-uzhe-vse-vsu-porazili-krupnyj-sklad-boepripasov-v-tverskoj-oblasti.html

  Zelensky is in a rush, expecting supplies to fall off when Israel invades Lebanon.  Ukraine's Zelenskyy says 'victory plan' is ready
​  Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on Wednesday that his "victory plan," intended to bring peace to Ukraine while keeping the country strong and avoiding all "frozen conflicts," is now complete after much consultation.
​  Zelenskyy pledged last month to present his plan to U.S. President Joe Biden, presumably next week when he attends sessions of the U.N. Security Council and General Assembly. While providing daily updates on the plan's preparation, He has given few clues of the contents, indicating only that it aims to create terms acceptable to Ukraine, now locked in conflict with Russia for more than 2½ years.​   
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/09/19/world/ukraine-zelenskyy-victory-plan/

​  Fyodor Lukyanov: Here’s the real reason why the US sanctioned RT
Washington’s extreme reaction is due to panic at the fact that it’s losing its monopoly on global media
​  At a meeting with US President Ronald Reagan in Iceland, USSR leader Mikhail Gorbachev raised the issue. He said “your radio station Voice of America broadcasts around the clock in many languages from stations you have in different countries in Europe and Asia, and we can’t present our point of view to the American people. So, for the sake of equality, we have to jam the Voice of America broadcasts.” Gorbachev offered to stop blocking ‘VOA’ if his counterpart agreed to let Moscow have a frequency to do the same in the US. Reagan evasively promised to consult when he returned home. In the end, the Soviets stopped jamming foreign radio stations unilaterally, without any deal​...
..At their meeting in Iceland, Reagan countered Gorbachev’s appeal by saying that, unlike the Soviets, “we recognize freedom of the press and the right of people to listen to any point of view.” The US president had no doubts about the superiority of the American system in all respects. Accordingly, the demands for information pluralism, then and later, reflected the confidence of Washington that it would emerge victorious from any competition. And so, after a few years, the US achieved a de-facto monopoly on the interpretation of everything.
​  Washington’s current extreme reaction is due to the feeling that it’s losing this monopoly. Alternative interpretations of events now arouse public interest. In fact, the total resources of the Western, mainly English-language media are incomparably greater than what all the carriers of alternative points of view can offer, at this moment. But internal insecurity is growing all by itself, fueling the desire to fence off the information space.
​  From the same US playbook comes attempts to explain internal strife and accumulated contradictions in America by pointing to a pernicious external influence. This was also the Soviet experience. However, the USSR didn’t solve its own issues by blaming them on external causes.​   
https://swentr.site/news/604221-us-losing-monopoly-sanctions-rt/

​  New Report: State Department Funded Fact-checkers to Censor ‘Lawful Speech’
The U.S. government’s actions fueled “a censorship ecosystem” that suppressed people’s First Amendment rights and made it difficult for some certain small independent media outlets to compete online.
​  The U.S. Department of State-funded domestic and international fact-checking entities that censored American independent media outlets and social media users who questioned the Biden administration’s COVID-19 and other policies, according to a congressional report.
​  The report by the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Small Business stated:
“The Federal government has funded, developed, and promoted entities that aim to demonetize news and information outlets because of their lawful speech.”
​  The government’s actions fueled “a censorship ecosystem” that suppressed “individuals’ First Amendment rights” and “the ability of certain small businesses to compete online.”
​  The report focused on the State Department’s Global Engagement Center (GEC), which promoted and funded “tech start-ups and other small businesses in the disinformation detection space … with domestic censorship capabilities.”   
https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/state-department-fact-check-social-media-censorship-funding-report/

​  X update allows app to bypass Brazil ban: Internet providers​ 
​  RIO DE JANEIRO, Brazil: Elon Musk’s X social network carried out an automatic update on phone applications that allowed it to bypass a ban in Brazil, an association of Internet providers said Wednesday.
​  Some Brazilian users were surprised to have access again to the platform, formerly Twitter, from their phones Wednesday after a Supreme Court judge last month ordered its shutdown in a bitter legal standoff with Musk.
​  The Brazilian Association of Internet and Telecommunications Providers (ABRINT) explained that the return of X was due to an update of the app to Cloudflare software that uses constantly changing IP addresses.​ The previous system used specific IPs, which act like a home address for servers or computers and could be more easily blocked.    
https://www.arabnews.com/node/2571949/media

​Meryl Nass MD, via Door To Freedom:  In 10 points, what does the Pact for the Future tell us?   https://doortofreedom.org/in-10-points-what-does-the-pact-for-the-future-tell-us-2/

  Meryl Nass MD worked on "Constitution Day":  Yesterday House Republicans gave a press conference about the UN and WHO's efforts to grab our sovereignty
How much MSM coverage of the UN Summit of the Future have you seen?​   https://merylnass.substack.com/p/yesterday-house-republicans-gave

​  What if regulation gets sloppy? Depressed? Is Assisted Suicide right for You?   UK: Starmer to “Rush Through” Assisted Suicide Legislation     https://europeanconservative.com/articles/news/uk-starmer-to-rush-through-assisted-suicide-legislation/

​  England: Outrage as Judge Blocks ‘Grooming Gang’ Victim From Calling for Rapists’ Deportation
​  A survivor of a rape gang was prevented in court from calling for two of her abusers to be deported. Seven men from predominantly Pakistani backgrounds in Rotherham were convicted of offences committed between April 2003 and April 2008.
​  As the case in South Yorkshire was concluding, the unnamed woman read out her ‘victim impact statement,’ legal paperwork intended not as evidence but to assist the judge in sentencingGB News, the sole UK national broadcaster to cover the trial, saw an unredacted version of the document which had a key section removed from her closing remarks—under official duress...
​..Groomed from the age of 11, the woman faced her seven abusers in court as they were sentenced to a total of 106 years imprisonment. Two of them were singled out for specific attention in the original version of the victim statement:
​  I’d like to request that after sentencing and upon Rudy [Mohammed Amar, 42] and Showabe [Mohammed Siyab, 49]’s release, that they should be deported back to Pakistan as this is where they originated from and came here to exploit children. Thank you.
​  This recommendation was removed under the orders of a judge. Barrister Matthew Bean.​   
https://europeanconservative.com/articles/news/england-outrage-as-judge-blocks-grooming-gang-victim-from-calling-for-rapists-deportation/

​  Celia Farber has follow-up:  Alexis Lorenze's Life Hanging In The Balance After Horrific Reaction That Began 10 Minutes After Three Vaccines Given At Once; Being Neglected And Gaslit, Denied Help, At UCI Irvine Medical Center  She Is Asking People To Share Her Story   https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/alexis-lorenzes-life-hanging-in-the

  Peter McCullough MD points out that the less you have had spike protein in your blood the better.  Anti-Spike Antibodies Among Vaccinated Predict Major Adverse Events after Myocardial Infarction,  Lab Test Indirectly Implicates Spike as Cause of Complications after Heart Attack   https://petermcculloughmd.substack.com/p/anti-spike-antibodies-among-vaccinated

mRNA COVID "vaccines" suppress the immune surveillance against cancer.  Top Oncologist Raises Alarm: Every New Cancer Patient Is Under 45​   https://www.globalresearch.ca/new-cancer-patient-under-45/5867952

From Turbo Cancer to Turbo Alzheimer's Disease: The Never-Ending Adverse Events of the "Vaccinated"​   https://www.2ndsmartestguyintheworld.com/p/from-turbo-cancer-to-turbo-alzheimers

  ​"Yes", for so many reasons:  Is being vaccinated by spike mRNA gene therapy shots at large indoor clinics treacherous?  Was there any Informed Consent on this Issue?   https://hervk102.substack.com/p/is-being-vaccinated-by-spike-mrna

Dry trees call for rain. Climate Water Project,  Hormonal metaphors for rain and climate : Bioprecipitation III, Signalling systems, terpines, aerosols, and cloud creation
​  The idea that plants and trees seed clouds and airborne water droplets was first proposed by Frits Went, a Dutch biologist. At Caltech university, in Los Angeles, he constructed some of the first greenhouses that could simulate different climates, with which he could study the behavior of plant emissions and aerosols. He pondered the origin of the blue haze that graced certain mountain ranges. In 1960, he proposed that blue hazes occur in places abundant in terpenes, such as the Blue Ridge Mountains of Appalachia, where terpene-rich coniferous oaks thrive. The terpenes react to form aerosols that seed tiny water droplets that hang in the air, scattering light into the blue part of the spectrum.​..
​..An experimental measurement of terpenes turning into aerosols was made in 1978 by Dennis Schuetzle, an environmental engineer, who found limonene, a terpene responsible for the citrus smell of fruits, reacting with ozone to produce aerosols.
​  In the 1970s, meteorologists conducted extensive research on aerosols and their impact on climate. Scientists researched how aerosols would impact the temperature of the earth, and how pollution circulated the earth’s atmosphere. But then in the 1980s interest in aerosols dropped, as climate scientists became much more interested in the carbon greenhouse effect.
​  Some scientists did continue to look at aerosols though. James Lovelock, who was working on his Gaia theory about how the earth behaved in ways similar to a living organism, proposed a provocative theory about how aerosols could help the earth self-regulate its temperature, in a similar way to how organisms could self-regulate their body temperatures. He, along with the atmospheric scientist Ray Charlson, proposed a feedback mechanismAs the planet warmed, algae would bloom more in the oceans. Since algae release into the air a sulfur aerosol called DMS that helps to seed clouds, then with more algae, more clouds would form, which would then cool the planet, and return it to its baseline temperature.​..
..Paul Crutzen, who won a Nobel Prize for his work on ozone hole, and who also did work on terpenes and aerosols, wrote with the biogeochemist Meinrat Andrae about how in the 1990s “Scientific interest in the climatic role of aerosols was rekindled after the proposal of a link between marine biogenic aerosols and global climate​"... 
​..In the 1990s and the new millenia, scientists continued to decipher the connection between terpenes and clouds.
​  The molecular structure of terpenes gives it a volatility that enable it to metamorphize into new structures that attract water vapor molecules to nucleate on them.
 This molecular structure has the grouping of five carbon atoms and eight hydrogen atoms... Terpenes belong to a category of molecules called BVOC’s( Biogenic Volatile Organic Compounds). Depending on atmospheric molecular concentrations, humidity, and temperature, the terpenes will undergo different biochemical pathways to turn into different types of aerosols with different water attraction properties.​..
​..As research progressed, it became clearer that the huge amounts of terpenes forests of were releasing into the atmosphere, were creating enough second order aerosols that they were significantly affecting global cloud production. For example the small clouds/fog that hangs just above forests are often seeded from terpenes.​..
..Christopher Pöhlker, a doctoral student at the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, led a study there in the Amazon in the 2010s. Working on a tower 80m up in the sky overlooking canopies of biodiverse green, his team collected samples of aerosols. Then peering through scanning electron microscopes, they made a surprising discovery. The aerosols contained potassium. The aerosols had two parts: a core containing potassium-rich salts and a gel-like coating made of volatile organic compounds derived from terpenes. It was a mystery why there should be potassium in the core. Then inspiration hit as the scientists realized that fungi use water containing potassium salts to launch spores into the sky. The potassium salts could, once in the air, then attract terpene-derived molecules onto them [Pöhlker 2012]. They had discovered the symbiotic poetry of fungi partnering with trees to make clouds...
​..Terpenes may play a role in helping regulate global warming. Moa Sporre, a physicist, modelled the feedback process of terpenes and other BVOC’s (Biogenic Volatile Organic Compo​unds) to understand how they might help the climate self-regulate. The feedback process is reminiscent of the one Lovelock proposed for algae. When trees get hot and stressed, they release more terpenes. World-wide temperature rises means more terpenes. More terpenes means more clouds, which help cool the planet again. Sporre found this feedback loop helps significantly reduce global warming​...
​..This is reminiscent to me of how signalling molecules work in the bodies of organisms. For instance a hormone molecule is a signalling molecule that can trigger a much larger cascade of reactions in a cell, when it lands on the cell membrane receptors. The endocrine system releases different hormones to regulate blood sugar, or energy production. The existence of messenger molecules means organisms can regulate bodily functions without a large expenditure of energyThe existence of bio-aerosols means the earth can regulate its functions - providing the right amount of heat and water to its lifeforms - without a huge expenditure of energy. When systems get complex enough, they begin to develop a language and a messaging/signalling system. The endocrine system using hormones is an example of a messaging/signalling system.
​  Surprisingly, there exists a kind of universal language and messaging system across different species and kingdoms. You might think that fungi, the bacteria, the animals, the plants, would each only evolve a language for their own kingdom. But no, they have a universal language. That language is the language of terpenes. Nature uses terpenes to communicate and self-organize. Plants give off certain terpenes (odors) to attract pollinators, and different terpenes to warn other plants about attacking herbivores and insects. Ant colonies organize into a superorganism, not via one leader ant giving top-down instructions of what every ant should be doing, but rather with a bottom up system of messages that every ant can send. Their messages are written in the language of terpenes.​..
..So the molecules which regulate bodily functions are also related to the molecule that regulate atmospheric functions. If the earth behaves with a physiology similar to that of a living organism, as Lovelock’s Gaia hypothesis suggests, then perhaps the Earth has an endocrine-like system that sends hormone-like messenger molecules to regulate its global functions, such as temperature and water regulation, coordinating itself through a messaging system written in the language of terpenes.​   https://climatewaterproject.substack.com/p/molecular-messengers-for-rain-and

​ Communing With Our Environment  (Pictured fixed-gear bike climbing a hill in Palestine jersey)